My apologies for the delay — I’ve been travelling extensively. There have been some really thoughtful points over the past few days. I’ve also been doing more reading, including the filings in the omnibus motion, and I want to clarify a couple of things and explain where I’m coming from.
First, on the medical side:
Child-abuse pediatrics is a field where experts often work under enormous emotional pressure, especially when a baby has died. There is a well-documented tendency for some practitioners to approach cases with a confirmation mindset — not out of bad faith, but because the subject matter is so emotive and the stakes so high. Group-think can happen, and second opinions have changed causes of death in more cases than many people realise. That doesn’t mean anyone here is wrong; only that early medical conclusions shouldn’t automatically be treated as infallible.
And at this stage, we still don’t know what exact bouncer or bassinet was used, how it was positioned, or how the baby was placed in it. Without those specifics, none of us can say definitively what was or wasn’t mechanically possible. That part will have to come out through testimony.
Second, on the mechanics and the injuries:
Several posters have made a strong case that a 6-week-old is extremely unlikely to exit a seat on their own, and that the force involved is a central question. I agree this will be a major point of dispute. But again, until we know the exact device, its setup, and whether it was used correctly, I think it’s reasonable to reserve judgment.
Third, on the confession:
This is where things become complicated. According to the filings, Nicole had around 3 hours of sleep, was jet-lagged, and was kept locked in an interview room for nearly 13 hours, crying, shivering, repeatedly asking for her parents, and was told there were cameras in the apartment before any incriminating statements were made. Under those conditions, the reliability of what she eventually said is highly suspect.
This isn’t hypothetical. There are well-documented cases where people confessed under similar stressors in child-injury investigations:
Adrian P. Thomas (New York) — Interrogated nearly 10 hours, repeatedly told he killed his baby and threatened with his wife’s arrest. Eventually agreed with the narrative police pushed. Later medical review showed the child died from sepsis, not abuse. Conviction overturned; charges dismissed.
Krystal Voss (Colorado) — Under intense pressure, she “confessed” to swinging her child into a wall — a scenario later shown to be medically impossible. Independent review undermined the initial diagnosis. Her conviction was vacated and she was exonerated.
Paul Ingram (Washington) — After lengthy interrogations and suggestive questioning, he came to believe he had committed acts he had never initially been accused of. A classic example of how highly suggestible individuals can internalise false narratives under pressure.
These cases aren’t identical, but they show that confessions — especially in emotionally charged child cases — must be evaluated in full context, not taken at face value.
Fourth, on behaviour (“why didn’t she…”, “why didn’t she say…”):
Some of Nicole’s actions are indeed difficult to interpret. But behaviour from someone exhausted, frightened, grieving, or panicking is rarely logical. Sometimes panic looks like deception; sometimes guilt looks like panic. Without the full picture, these cues aren’t diagnostic.
Where I currently stand:
She is innocent until proven guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. And I personally have strong doubts the prosecution has yet dispelled. There are multiple layers here — medical interpretation, mechanism of injury, interrogation dynamics, procedural issues, and human behaviour under severe stress. Given how many cases nationally have shifted once all evidence was examined, I’d rather stay cautious and open-minded until this goes through the proper evidentiary process.
I fully respect that others here have formed firmer views. Let’s see how things play out.