Interested Bystander
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Thanks Mr Jitty, the only way we'll ever get close to cracking this is with a bit of 'crowd sleuthing' and I have a very open mind.
First bangs - I agree. I think they're earlier than Roux and Masipa. What they are remains a mystery but I'm now favouring anything that keeps Reeva out of the toilet so that her screams are easily heard. Warning shots is quite possible IMO but so too are other things as you suggest.
Second bangs - agreed, they must be the gunshots (I don't think I've ever thought otherwise time-wise, just hadn't figured that maybe there are three possible sets of sounds until I suggested it to Giles a little while ago). The time has to be a few seconds after the Johnson call (but I think his time is wrong so that doesn't help), before Dr Stipp's successful call at 03:15:51, allowing him time for a failed 082-something call first, and allow time for Mike N to check the house and hear crying "no, please, please, no". Hence I have it 03:14:43-03:14:59 but a few seconds later may also work. Mike N would not have taken long to go round the house checking doors.
What Mike N hears in itself confirms the shots are before he calls.
The fact that the judge totally ignored this very clear statement I found unbelievable. I also find that the fact she is able to totally disregard any of the earwitnesses accounts very worrying. With so many witnesses hearing a woman scream and for her to disregard these people, who do not know each other and had not heard each other's versions, is a travesty.
I don't think the bat strikes were heard but I do think they come after the shots. It is the most logical explanation (JuneBug67 I hope you're reading this!)
I think we may be almost agreeing?
BiB
Mrs Stipps thought the screaming was coming towards her. She even looked out into the street to see if anyone was coming down the street. I have always thought OP threatened Reeva and chased her to the bathroom. She must have thought this was her nearest place of refuge

I listened again to Mr Stipps evidence last night and he clearly said (in my words) after the first 3 bangs he went out on the balcony and heard 3-4 female screams. He made a point of saying this was AFTER the three bangs, not during. The bathroom light was on and he went in to try to ring security but he had to make a number of calls as the first one did not connect, he then tried 10111 which made a strange sound and so he assumed it was out of order. Whilst he was still trying to get through to Security he heard another three loud bangs which he thought were also shots.
This, to me, clearly indicates the first three bangs were not shots (unless out of the window) and it was probably OP bashing things hard enough to make very loud sounds (the bathroom being fully tiled will have enhanced those sounds). Hitting the door hard with a flat bat would probably make plenty of noise but little damage, if any, to the toilet cubicle door. We also have evidence the steel panel on the bath was badly damaged yet nobody asked him about this. He may have found that difficult to answer. Behind the panel was the void beneath the bath. This could have created quite a sounding box IMO.