I want to start with something based on direct work experience, because I think it’s important context when discussing whether Andrew could realistically still be alive and living under another identity.
I’ve worked multiple jobs in the UK, and in 2024 a new employee was hired at one of the factories owned by my employer. This was a very basic, entry‑level factory line role. During probation, HR ran the usual checks against HMRC systems and the individual was flagged as a missing person. Police attended the site and removed the employee. Beyond one brief local news article, none of us ever found out what happened afterward, but the point is this: you cannot quietly exist long‑term in the UK system without eventually being flagged. Even for low‑level work, identity checks catch up with you.
It’s also worth noting that even something as simple as being added as a second tenant on a rental property requires submitting your passport and work paperwork. It’s not just employment where your identity is verified—almost every official step in daily life in the UK requires documentation.
Because of that, I personally do not believe Andrew Gosden is alive and living a double life. The idea that he has avoided detection for this long doesn’t hold up in reality. While documents can be forged, they are also routinely uncovered. Sustaining a false identity for nearly two decades—working, housing, healthcare, taxes—would be extraordinarily difficult, if not impossible.
I also don’t believe he survived by working “under the table” for years. That kind of existence might be possible short‑term, but not indefinitely, and not without someone eventually coming forward.
For those reasons, I think the most likely outcome is that Andrew is deceased and that his remains are somewhere undiscovered—possibly in a body of water, private land such as a garden, or woodland. I’m not convinced he died by suicide either. When people enter major rivers, particularly in urban areas, they are often seen. A relevant comparison is the YouTuber Carnage, who jumped into the Thames in 2015 and was rescued within minutes. Andrew disappearing without any witnesses makes suicide less convincing to me.
I also struggle with the grooming theory. There is no digital trail. No known emails, accounts, messages, or online activity tied to Andrew that support this. While it’s often argued that he could have had secret accounts, that explanation relies entirely on speculation rather than evidence. Grooming cases almost always leave some form of trace, even years later.
Overall, I think many theories persist because there is so little concrete information—but based on real‑world systems, identity checks, and how difficult it is to vanish completely, I don’t believe Andrew could still be alive without having surfaced by now.
