Glad to see you here, MsF. I was actually wondering if you,
@MsMarple or
@katydid23 would be able to provide some similar cases for references involving a M/F , random perps.
If they were previously trying to lure kids with candy, and with the abduction location not being Cupcake’s residence, I think we can indeed proceed with the notion of this likely being a random abduction (which LE stated as well, though they are not ruling anything out).
Again where those other kids females, and very small kids?
The only motive I can think of atm is child *advertiser censored*, jmo.
If someone was looking to have a child of their own, the way they’ve gone about it makes me worried that these could be violent individuals.
At this early stage I would venture to guess that perhaps the female abductor is a victim of abuse (childhood or other), moo. (I know that’s a leap atm. All brainstorming, speculation, could be way off here, just sharing some thoughts as they come.)
—
ETA: I wonder if the vehicle is stolen or a rental, or indeed their own vehicle.
<waving> Hi Margarita!
I'm still reading the thread but it seems like kids 7+ years are more "typical" targets for predators. I'm still looking for info/profiles/statistics which explains whether the age is preference or opportunity.
Here's one great resource page from NCMEC. I can't directly link to the PDFs - they automatically download to my pc. The first two articles -
Analysis of Attempted Abduction Trends and
A 10-Year Analysis of Attempted Abductions and Related Incidents are worth reading. From the second PDF:
Overall, hands-on force was the most common specific method that offenders used against children. However, offenders primarily used forceful methods against the youngest and oldest children while verbal ploys were the primary approach used against elementary and middle school-age children.
...
Of the 9,872 children:
• 67 percent were female and 21 percent were male (for 12 percent of children, gender was unknown).
• Overall, children had an average age of 11 yrs old, although male children had a significantly younger average age (10yrs) compared to female children (12yrs).
• The vast majority of children were of school-age (70 percent) - either elementary (6-10yrs) middle (11-13yrs) or high school-age (14-18yrs).
Only six percent of children were before school age (0-5yrs) (For 24 percent of children, age was unknown).
I couldn't cut/paste the section on offenders but highlights included:
- 96% were male, 3% were female, 1% unknown.
- Average age was ~35, 36.
- Children were most victimized by males working alone (87%).
- 7% by pairs of males.
- In both cases older children were targeted more than before school age children.
- Females were more likely to go after younger kids.
- Females targeting infants and toddlers more likely acted alone.
- Females targeting school age kids were equally likely to act alone or with a male partner
...
For the youngest children that were before school age, in addition to force, other common offender methods included directing or demanding the child to come with them (13 percent); engaging in conversation with the child or their parent (eight percent); impersonating someone, such as a trusted family friend/acquaintance, medical professional/patient, social worker or police officer and; (seven percent) breaking and entering into their residence, most commonly at night between 6pm-6am (six percent).
NCMEC Data
Interestingly, the candy ploy was more frequently used on elementary school children than younger and older ones. Much more info at the link.
Some recent cases in the news:
Minnesota - possibly a teenager attempting to lure with candy. No ages given for the kids.
Brooklyn New York - 4 men have been attempting to lure kids into their SUV with candy. The kids they've approached so far were 10, 11 and 12 years old.
Indiana woman is in custody after trying to lure some kids, including a 3 year old. However, her main target appeared to be a couple of older kids - 7 and 9.
Lehigh Acres Florida - single man, no ages given for the kids.
Interesting article on the different ways potential abductors use to lure children:
Child Lures
