margarita25
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Oct 10, 2012
- Messages
- 51,426
- Reaction score
- 207,185
Delete/consolidate
I'll try mine again as I was very interested in the diversity of opinion by obviously very bright posters, ranging last time from 95% "it was personal and Tristan Beaudette was targeted" down to my range, 10-25% and therefore very probably a random act.So what percentage chance do you think exists that the shooting was personal and that Mr. Beaudette was the target? Over or under 10%? Over or under 25? More?
Explain if possible. I'm over 10 but under 25. The head shot might not be coincidental.
Who knows, right?
I think it's pretty strange to say it's a theory he was shot inside the tent if they don't mean shot from within the tent. IMO his location when he was shot isn't a theory so much as an absolute based on the blood spatter evidence, with absence of blood spatter evidence outside the tent.Not definitive, but the statement that the children were also in the tent seems to indicate that the Lieutenant was only referring to TB's location when he was shot -- and that he was not referring to the shooter's location: "The theory we are working with is he was shot inside the tent," Lieutenant Moore said. "The children were inside the tent, too. " BBC Report -- Dad shot dead while camping with daughters
I think it's pretty strange to say it's a theory he was shot inside the tent if they don't mean shot from within the tent. IMO his location when he was shot isn't a theory so much as an absolute based on the blood spatter evidence, with absence of blood spatter evidence outside the tent.
I think my point is that the whole statement is irrelevant assuming it means he died in the tent. That isn't a working theory subject to change.Tent openings (entryway) are rarely large enough to stand up straight when entering, Anyone sneaking into a tent to shoot someone would have to bend down to enter and exit, carrying a shotgun. Taking a risk of getting the shotgun tangled in the door panels that are left askew if not tied back.
I think it is all in the poor wording of some. Yes, he was shot while he was inside the tent, but the shooter may not have been.
"Shots fired" or "check shots" - that's just standard LE call terminology. It being dispatched/reported as a "shots fired/check shots" call when there was really only one shot, doesn't raise my eyebrows at all."Shots Fired": The first link calls it a shot fired, not plural shots. The second link refers to shots.
The park being unusually empty: Maybe I'm reading it incorrectly, but when I follow the links to the CNN report, I only see CNN talking about the park being desolate on Wednesday, June 27, which was 5 days after the campground was closed because of the shooting: "On Wednesday, the park -- typically buzzing with vacationers enjoying the summer weather -- was eerily desolate. Silence enveloped its 63 campsites, including Campsite 51, where Beaudette was shot." Father killed while camping with 2 young daughters was shot in head, coroner says - CNN
Hmmm... plenty of space for ambiguity there. (A) the victim was shot by someone in the tent or (b) the victim was in the tent when he was shot We need more info so we don’t get hung up on wording IMO.“The theory we are working with is he was shot inside the tent,” Lieutenant Rodney Moore of the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department told the Los Angeles Times. “We are gathering evidence… It will take some time.”
Mystery over why father was shot dead while camping with two young daughters
Agree. I was just addressing the "shots fired" terminology that was pointed out by someone else."Shots fired" or "check shots" - that's just standard LE call terminology. It being dispatched/reported as a "shots fired/check shots" call when there was really only one shot, doesn't raise my eyebrows at all.
Tent openings (entryway) are rarely large enough to stand up straight when entering, Anyone sneaking into a tent to shoot someone would have to bend down to enter and exit, carrying a shotgun. Taking a risk of getting the shotgun tangled in the door panels that are left askew if not tied back.
I think it is all in the poor wording of some. Yes, he was shot while he was inside the tent, but the shooter may not have been.
I think it's pretty strange to say it's a theory he was shot inside the tent if they don't mean shot from within the tent. IMO his location when he was shot isn't a theory so much as an absolute based on the blood spatter evidence, with absence of blood spatter evidence outside the tent.
Agree, but this statement was made very soon after the killing. I don't think they were expressing anything definitive at that point. Apparently, they also said he was shot in the "upper torso." I just don't think they were ready to say much at that time.I think it's pretty strange to say it's a theory he was shot inside the tent if they don't mean shot from within the tent. IMO his location when he was shot isn't a theory so much as an absolute based on the blood spatter evidence, with absence of blood spatter evidence outside the tent.
Agencies Prepare for Pot Growing Season This would fit into the timeframes we discussed with the exemption of the January incident.Planting season usually begins in April and runs until November, according to local officials.
I picture they would have night-vision equipment at a minimum and from other sources I have found they are definitely armed and have shot at hikers that discovered their illegal growing fields.While the farmers typically live on locations while the plants are growing, the remote locales of the sites make it easy for them to tell when law enforcement is coming, and they are usually long gone by the time a tactical team actually reaches the site.
“They know where all the Las Virgenes Water District lines are, and have even run lines from [housing] subdivisions.”
The War On Drugs In Our Backyards? Rangers Warn Marijuana Cultivation A Growing Problem In SoCal“These are armed growers. The potential for violence is there,” Rose warned.
“You have hikers out there on our forest trails who are hiking with families and children and they unintentionally come across these sites. We want to ensure that our visitors and employees are safe out there,” Rose said.
Region's rugged terrain draws pot farmsAnother notable incident occurred in April (2010), when authorities arrested two men after locating nearly 1,000 pot plants and 3,000 seeds in a remote part of the park. Deputies and rangers found the operation near Malibu Canyon Road and Piuma Road while conducting a routine search for possible cultivation sites. The men fled but were tracked down.
Grass Roots - Los Angeles Magazinehikers had discovered the patch of plants and been fired at by a man with a high-powered pellet rifle, the kind used for hunting small animals....” The team found 2,000 plants valued at $3 million or more, two pellet guns, plus ammunition for a 9mm handgun and a .22-caliber rifle.
Agree, but this statement was made very soon after the killing. I don't think they were expressing anything definitive at that point. Apparently, they also said he was shot in the "upper torso." I just don't think they were ready to say much at that time.
I looked in the marijuana growing activity around Malibu Creek State Park and here are just a couple of tidbits that I found about it:
Agencies Prepare for Pot Growing Season This would fit into the timeframes we discussed with the exemption of the January incident.
I picture they would have night-vision equipment at a minimum and from other sources I have found they are definitely armed and have shot at hikers that discovered their illegal growing fields.
The War On Drugs In Our Backyards? Rangers Warn Marijuana Cultivation A Growing Problem In SoCal
Region's rugged terrain draws pot farms
Some interesting comments about Topanga State Park. It's not Malibu Creek State Park but still around Malibu:
Grass Roots - Los Angeles Magazine
Pro's of this idea being related: Big money at stake for the growers, so they have an interest in keeping people away from their growing operations. Growing does happen in state parks and has happened in Malibu Creek before. They are armed and probably mostly active at night, a high powered pellet rifle has been used to shoot at people before and ammunition has been found. They could be trying to scare people away at night from the park surroundings so they can move around undetected. With the warning to stay away from midnight to morning that would have been kind of achieved. Maybe the idea is to scare away hikers in general so they don't go looking deeper in the canyons.
Con's of this idea being related: These are older reports, no articles about recently discovered growing activity in the area. Now that it's legalized maybe this is less of an issue? TB and the couple sleeping in the car weren't actively roaming around in the hiking areas and the camping area specifically doesn't seem like it would pose a threat to the growers with the exemption that they want to keep people out in general?
As always just thinking out loud.
I still say RANDOM but I'm up top 30% that it wasn't.I still say RANDOM.
I looked in the marijuana growing activity around Malibu Creek State Park...