Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #63

[jjenny]

"At least 85 people have tested positive for COVID-19 after contracting the virus at a restaurant in Michigan, officials said."
Coronavirus updates: 85 people test positive after contracting virus at restaurant

 

[Tillicum]

Pence postpones Florida, Arizona campaign events amid increase in coronavirus cases there

 

[SoCalDavidS]

Nevada sees another record daily rise in reported coronavirus cases

The number of additional cases reported Saturday more than doubled the previous record of 507 additional cases reported Thursday.

Gov. Steve Sisolak mandated for people to wear face coverings in public places effective Thursday.

Sisolak said the requirement was an attempt to stem an increase of coronavirus cases that has hit the state as casinos, restaurants and other businesses began reopening.

I'm really shocked by this. I figured there would be no problems with opening the casinos.

 

[MuddyTires]

Twitter

Dr. Tom Frieden
@DrTomFrieden

It took the world about 100 days to go from 0 cases to 1 million detected cases. Then:
1 to 2 mil: 12 days
2 to 3 mil: 13 days
3 to 4 mil: 12 days
4 to 5 mil: 11 days
5 to 6 mil: 10 days
6 to 7 mil: 8 days
7 to 8 mil: 8 days
8 to 9 mil: 6 days

The pandemic is accelerating.

Emphasis mine.

That this tweet is from a past CDC Director may help explain some things.

1 to 2 mil: 12 days
+100% rate over a 12-day period

2 to 3 mil: 13 days
+50% rate over a 13-day period

3 to 4 mil: 12 days
+33% rate over a 12-day period

4 to 5 mil: 11 days
+25% rate over an 11-day period

5 to 6 mil: 10 days
+20% rate over an 11-day period

6 to 7 mil: 8 days
+16% rate over an 8-day period

7 to 8 mil: 8 days
+14% rate over an 8-day period

8 to 9 mil: 6 days
+12.5% rate over a 6-day period

That’s a substantial deceleration in the rate of new cases from the 1-million-to-2-million period to the 5-million-to-6-million period. And from then to the 8-million-to-9-million period, the rate of new cases has essentially remained flat.

Meanwhile, what had been accelerating during at least some if not much of that period was:

• the increase in the rate of tests among the population;
  the decrease in the rate of deaths from COVID cases; and
• the decrease in the rate of hospitalization for COVID cases.

Those are all good trends. Indeed, we achieved the original purpose for the lockdowns of flattening the curve so that our medical system would not be overrun beyond capacity a long time ago.

 

[tresir2012]

For third day in a week, L.A. County reports more than 2,000 new coronavirus cases

It’s “highly likely” that the surge is connected to mass protests that erupted in recent weeks over the death of George Floyd, L.A. County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said.

But because contact tracers do not track cases that stem from public settings, it’s often impossible to pinpoint the origin of spread at such events, particularly given that the protests occurred while the county was lifting many of its stay-at-home restrictions.

 

[MimosaMornings]

Hey, hey no sipping on it.

No worries! I drank some wine to cover up the smell lol.

 

[MimosaMornings]

What is Pongfest? Summer tradition could cause COVID-19 surge in Lakeway

“They start planning it early in the year, there's a small committee of people who know everything about it. They sell wristbands and everything and it's apparently only four or five hours [before] that the location is released," said Kotal

Kotal works for a babysitting company in Lakeway and said some parents are concerned that babysitters attended the party.

"I've already had five or six parents go, 'So-and-so babysits for me can you please privately message them and ask them if they're at this party?'" said Kotal”
———————-

Holy cow! Baby sitters?

 

[tresir2012]

To people shaming 1 girl for spreading coronavirus around Chappaqua, you’re wrong. People weren’t social distancing OR wearing masks. She may have brought it, but to blame it on her while you allow it to transmit It’s not right. The source doesn’t matter as much as the flow,” the person tweeted, Patch reported.”

“The infected student also participated in a non-school related “Field Night” event the same day along with juniors and seniors and students from surrounding school districts, Cuomo said.”
————————-
Okay, if the source doesn’t matter as much as the flow - then shame the ones who organized all of the parties, field nights, etc.

If not sanctioned by all the various schools - then who was in charge and paid for it?
Parents?

I don't think anybody should be shamed. The example of the reporter getting tested after the Trump rally is a perfect example. He had no symptoms, doesn't know where he got it and they are contact tracing 14 days back from the test date. Not sure if everyone got tested at the rally or after a temp check but that was a good thing for him.

 

[MuddyTires]

A stark comparison of a flat curve and a very un-flat curve!



Florida’s daily COVID deaths per population — flat.

New Jersey’s daily COVID deaths per population — very un-flat.

 

[JerseyGirl]

I don't think anybody should be shamed. The example of the reporter getting tested after the Trump rally is a perfect example. He had no symptoms, doesn't know where he got it and they are contact tracing 14 days back from the test date. Not sure if everyone got tested at the rally or after a temp check but that was a good thing for him.

Good for him? How about bad for the 3,000 others in attendance that he potentially infected.

 

[musicaljoke]

We are normally just so mobile between our two countries...Canada and the USA. This border closure is a real shock and will have many wondering about the future of their summer or winter homes in each other’s countries. Our next door summer neighbours ( B.C. Canada) are not here from Texas; unable to get through the border. Our friends and neighbours down the beach have a veterinarian son is Washington State they haven’t seen.....other friends here have their three young adult kids ....two in Portland and one in South California.....and on and on it goes. At least half of our tiny town leaves for either California,Arizona or Mexico for the winter, many owning houses, condos or mobile homes in those areas. It will be a very different fall and winter if this virus isn’t brought under control and even if it is I suspect a large fear factor will remain over a possible sudden resurgence. We were fortunate.....we almost booked to fly to New York for a week this spring and to then board a cruise ship down the east coast to South America, through the Panama Canal and up the west coast to Los Angeles before flying home. It sounded wonderful, but we hedged when we were quoted a price for medical insurance coverage thinking we might find a better deal. It turned out to be a fortuitous delay as Covid broke out. I suspect at our age future travel is now over.

Maybe soon you can come and see me! I'm due east, just 3876 kms from you.

Alberta still has travel restrictions, but it looks like you may have clear sailing through Saskatchewan and Manitoba.

Ontario is accepting visitors from across the country, but due to our shameful Covid numbers, we've got no takers. :/

Quebec, well no one knows what's going on in Quebec because Quebec's new minister of health figured reporting once a week would be fine. Sheesh! Following a near universal cry of "WTH!", he will resume reports on Monday. Expect a whopping surge in reported cases as they catch up.

Can I go to another province? The latest coronavirus travel restrictions, by region

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-daily-numbers-covid-19-1.5629030

 

[MrX]

I'm really shocked by this. I figured there would be no problems with opening the casinos.

Maybe folks that have never been in a casino in their lives can sit home and ruin that for the rest of us, as well.

 

[MuddyTires]

American Academy of Pediatrics—an organization of 67,000 pediatricians—had now weighed in on the upcoming school year.

https://services.aap.org/en/pages/2...ons-return-to-in-person-education-in-schools/

Short version — get kids back in school.

Longer version (bold emphasis is from the original AAP document):

“[T]he AAP strongly advocates that all policy considerations for the coming school year should start with a goal of having students physically present in school. The importance of inperson learning is well-documented, and there is already evidence of the negative impacts on children because of school closures in the spring of 2020. Lengthy time away from school and associated interruption of supportive services often results in social isolation, making it difficult for schools to identify and address important learning deficits as well as child and adolescent physical or sexual abuse, substance use, depression, and suicidal ideation. This, in turn, places children and adolescents at considerable risk of morbidity and, in some cases, mortality. Beyond the educational impact and social impact of school closures, there has been substantial impact on food security and physical activity for children and families.

Policy makers must also consider the mounting evidence regarding COVID-19 in children and adolescents, including the role they may play in transmission of the infection. SARS-CoV-2 appears to behave differently in children and adolescents than other common respiratory viruses, such as influenza, on which much of the current guidance regarding school closures is based. Although children and adolescents play a major role in amplifying influenza outbreaks, to date, this does not appear to be the case with SARS-CoV-2. Although many questions remain, the preponderance of evidence indicates that children and adolescents are less likely to be symptomatic and less likely to have severe disease resulting from SARS-CoV-2 infection. In addition, children may be less likely to become infected and to spread infection. Policies to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 within schools must be balanced with the known harms to children, adolescents, families, and the community by keeping children at home.

Finally, policy makers should acknowledge that COVID-19 policies are intended to mitigate, not eliminate, risk.”

 

[JerseyGirl]

'It's Horrible:' Arizona Doctors, Nurses Feel Coronavirus Strain

An intensive care nurse in metro Phoenix nurse said she cries when she thinks about all the people who have died from the virus in her hospital, or the times she clutched a frightened patient’s hands during an intubation.

Medical staff describe crowded emergency rooms where patients are put on ventilators waiting for a spot in the intensive care unit to open up.

There are tearful goodbyes through a patio window in Tucson.

 

[musicaljoke]

Twitter



Emphasis mine.

That this tweet is from a past CDC Director may help explain some things.

1 to 2 mil: 12 days
+100% rate over a 12-day period

2 to 3 mil: 13 days
+50% rate over a 13-day period

3 to 4 mil: 12 days
+33% rate over a 12-day period

4 to 5 mil: 11 days
+25% rate over an 11-day period

5 to 6 mil: 10 days
+20% rate over an 11-day period

6 to 7 mil: 8 days
+16% rate over an 8-day period

7 to 8 mil: 8 days
+14% rate over an 8-day period

8 to 9 mil: 6 days
+12.5% rate over a 6-day period

That’s a substantial deceleration in the rate of new cases from the 1-million-to-2-million period to the 5-million-to-6-million period. And from then to the 8-million-to-9-million period, the rate of new cases has essentially remained flat.

Meanwhile, what had been accelerating during at least some if not much of that period was:

• the increase in the rate of tests among the population;
  the decrease in the rate of deaths from COVID cases; and
• the decrease in the rate of hospitalization for COVID cases.

Those are all good trends. Indeed, we achieved the original purpose for the lockdowns of flattening the curve so that our medical system would not be overrun beyond capacity a long time ago.

Deceleration? Did it take 12 days to infect one million people, then 10 days, then 6 days? That sounds like the pace is kicking up substantially.

1 to 2 mil: 12 days

5 to 6 mil: 10 days

8 to 9 mil: 6 days

ETA, I went to the link and Dr. Tom writes: "It took the world about 100 days to go from 0 cases to 1 million detected cases.
Then: 1 to 2 mil: 12 days
2 to 3 mil: 13 days
3 to 4 mil: 12 days
4 to 5 mil: 11 days
5 to 6 mil: 10 days
6 to 7 mil: 8 days
7 to 8 mil: 8 days
8 to 9 mil: 6 days
The pandemic is accelerating."

 

[MimosaMornings]

Big neighborhood block party next weekend! Come join the fun!
Bouncy Kids House!
Hot dogs!
Bring your own chair!
(Maybe they will provide patriotic masks?)

Two doors down from the house. People that bring food and make pharmacy runs for mom. In a state/area that is a hot spot.
Will be able to at least watch some fireworks.

 

[jjenny]

Twitter

...Those are all good trends. Indeed, we achieved the original purpose for the lockdowns of flattening the curve so that our medical system would not be overrun beyond capacity a long time ago.

OMG. We are not flattening anything in the US. Our cases are going through the roof.
"At least five states Friday reported single-day records of Covid-19 cases, adding to the growing concern over case tally spikes that has sent many states backpedaling on their reopening plans."
US coronavirus: 5 states reported their highest number of Covid-19 cases in one day - CNN

 

[jjenny]

Houston is on code red.
""I cannot stress enough the severity of this situation," Dr. Umair Shah said as Harris County moves to Level 1, which means COVID-19 is "severe & "uncontrolled.""
Red level l | Harris County Judge announces new Stay Home Work Safe advisory

 

[jjenny]

Florida is breaking all kinds of records.
"Florida health officials said Saturday that more than 9,500 new COVID-19 cases have been confirmed, surpassing the previous day’s total. The Department of Health said 24 more Floridians had died with COVID-19, raising the death toll to 3,390."
https://www.wmfe.org/florida-covid-...-miami-beaches-close-rental-assistance/157850

 

[CharlestonGal]

'Million Man March' planned for downtown Charleston on Sunday

Really?