I have for almost two months been considering the wisdom of posting an analysis document I created before the coronavirus lockdown shut everything down and closed court proceedings and discussion about them to a crawl. The document is huge (13 pages, 11in x 17in), a work in progress, and it reflects my own (amateur) analysis of vehicle and cellphone activity (as reported in search and arrest warrants) in timeline table form from the day before JFD's disappearance through the next night with MY questions, MY assumptions, and MY conclusions. Any of those may be way off base and all of those are based on what limited information LE has publicly disclosed to date from their obviously very extensive investigations.
The reason I have debated with myself about it is that I do NOT want to do anything to lend a hand to the defense (formal or informal) of the three people who I believe have been properly charged in the conspiracy to murder JFD and who I hope will ultimately suffer serious legal consequences for their roles (at least those two who haven't killed themselves and lied about why). However, I feel certain that if I could come up with this, others who paid close attention could (and have - in their posts on this site), so it really isn't new information so much as that information put into organized form. And, if organized presentation could help the defense, it would equally help investigators or prosecutors by highlighting potential issues, holes, other ways of looking at a set of facts, or could confirm that their assumptions align with what amateur, unrelated observers of the facts also see or infer. If nothing else, it can serve as a starting point to re-engage currently stalled discussion if fellow Websleuthers challenge my own assumptions, opinions, or find errors in facts gathered from SW's or AW's and offer up better ideas/information.
Of course, there are many facets of this case beyond the limited scope of analysis of vehicle and cellphone activity, as discussed here for many threads. So, this is just amateur analysis of one piece of a much larger pie.
So, here goes. The document is organized as follows:
- "Contents" Table;
- 3 Separate "Vehicle & Cellphone Activity" Timeline Tables - ones for 5/23 Evening, one for 5/24 Morning, and one for 5/24 Afternoon to Evening;
- 1 Combined "Vehicle & Cellphone Activity" Timeline Table from 5/23 Evening through 5/24 Evening (THIS IS THE KEY TABLE - I created it after discovering that artificially breaking the time up caused me to miss large gaps of unaccounted for time and to miss the potential significance of particular vehicles);
- Table Summarizing Albany Ave Activity;
- Table Summarizing FD's Suspicious Actions Relating to Toyota Tacoma; and
- Key Questions relating to vehicle & cellphone activity (that remain at least publicly unanswered).
Note that the contents table only lists 12 pages, but there are 13 (Table D has expanded since I last updated "Contents" page). As I mentioned, it's a work in progress and I often tinker with it.
