I spent a few hours today on crankycrankerson's site, reading the articles and viewing the videos. After yesterday's discussions about the girls never making it to the lake, I need to refresh my memory on a few things.
One thing that jumped out at me was this information provided on 9/13/12:
Chief Deputy Richard Abben said they're getting tips every day, although not as many as they received the first few weeks.
They have confirmed additional people saw Lyric and Elizabeth the day of their disappearance.
Thursday, they issued a plea for anyone who was in the Arbutus Avenue, Gilbert Drive, and Elmer Avenue areas on July 13th, and who may have seen the girls, to call police.
Several witnesses reported seeing the cousins in this area between 12:30 and 1:00 that afternoon.
http://www.wxow.com/story/19544827/marking-two-months-since-elizabeth-lyric-disappeared
BBM
So if "additional people" and/or "several witnesses" reported seeing Lyric and Lizzie in the areas of Arbutus Avenue, Gilbert Drive, and Elmer Avenue between 12:30 and 1:00, that indicates the girls DID ride their bikes much further than just looping around the Collins' house. And that puts them fairly close to the lake, right?
This is one thing that makes me feel the girls did make it to the lake, and were not abducted in the area near Lizzie's home.
I don't want this to be an extremely long post, so I'll put some additional thoughts in another post.