It has been well established that SCPD ruled-out both JB & MP as suspects. Now they are convinced that she drowned on her own. Here are the reasons behind their conclusions;
To understand the police theory you first must understand how they are interpreting the fact that SG was described as having a history of being "bipolar". This is extremely important because it will give you a good understanding of why everyone acted the way they did on the night of May 1st 2010. I mean absolutely no disrespect for SG (may she rest in peace) when I say what I am about to say. It's something that is obvious to the police yet I have not heard one member here say it so here it goes;
When a woman is described as being "bipolar" or having bipolar disorder, it is a very kind way of saying that she has uncontrollable mood swings that can become quite a handful to deal with. On the upside of those swings, the bipolar woman can be extremely irritable and can often become so enraged by her anger that she acts like a complete maniac (blood pressure boiling, acting viciously, extremely short-tempered, agitated beyond belief).
In a nutshell, such a woman would be described in slang terms as a "psycho B*tch".
(once again, I mean no disrespect to SG. Just trying to paint a picture of the way it is and why the police feel the way that they do).
So just for a moment, put yourself in a police investigator's shoes and stop thinking of SG as a poor unfortunate victim who was a kind, sweet & intelligent young woman who lost her entire future and consider that a police investigator might be looking at this from the angle that SG was a woman with an explosive temper who could really dish out some anger on the spur of the moment. Now with that picture of SG in your mind, imagine if you will that SG was on a war path that night. For whatever reason, she was not in the best of moods. Perhaps she was pissed because it was a slow night and she had to make that long journey all the way out to the Island. Or perhaps it was MP who set her off when he argued with her and refused to drive to CVS upon her request. As a matter of fact, we have read from several sources that MP & SG argued intensely that night. Their argument ended with SG telling MP to "go to hell I will find my own way back to New Jersey " ( well maybe not in these exact words but something very close).
If you have ever known a young woman who was bipolar then you can appreciate what the police investigators know. And that is how it is common for just one argument to set a bipolar woman off on a warpath against everyone she encounters. Now the police investigator had to imagine what JB experienced. He hired this young woman for companionship (agreeing to pay her by the hour) but instead of receiving the optimum value for his dollar, he sits there listening to her as she starts going off on a verbal rampage about how upset she is with MP. If she is like most bipolar woman, she not only starts complaining about the grief that MP just gave her, she starts going off about all of the other recent times MP pissed her off.
You can easily imagine JB starting to be a clock watcher. Ten minutes turns into a half hour and then the next thing he knows a whole hour passes by (an hour that he paid for most likely in advance) and instead of receiving sexual favors, his head is pounding from listening to a girl he has now concluded is a lunatic with an out-of-control temper. Out of left field she starts quizzing JB about whether or not he ever hired any escorts who were transvestites. The conversation further supports his theory that this girl is nuts. Eventually it becomes apparent to JB that he is simply wasting his money because there is no sign of SG's temper cooling down (which means there is no chance of her transforming any time soon into the sensual bedroom companion that he hoped for). JB himself might be a bit of a hot head (especially after being up all night and having his "buzz" or "high" now turning into a morning hangover). So when he decides "enough is enough" and asks SG to leave (and says it with a macho meat-head attitude) he doesn't realize that SG (on her current rampage) is a force to be reckoned with. She completely loses it when he informs her that he has no intention of paying her for their time together since all she did was spend all that time complaining about MP.
All police investigators understand how a bipolar woman's rampage can easily be redirected to more than one person. So all of that rage... all of those ill emotions stirring in SG's head that were initially directed towards MP are now directed towards JB for suggesting that she leave. Once JB realizes that he is in over his head and that SG will not honor his request to vacate his premise, he brings MP into the house to assist him. The only problem is that the very source of SG's anger was MP all along. So as you can imagine, MP is the LAST person SG wanted to see. And if the situation could not get any worse, JB makes the one crucial mistake that any woman (bipolar or not) could verify is the ultimate no-no;
He puts his hands on her.
MP has stated on the A&E special that he watched as JB physically put his arms around SG in an attempt to lift her out of his house. We were told that this did not work. What all of us failed to do when we heard that was to ask ourselves why?
It's not like SG was too heavy for JB to lift.
So the only conclusion we can possibly make is that the moment JB put his arms around SG and attempted to lift her off the ground, SG fought back (punching and kicking) with an extreme vengeance. It's also not far-fetched to assume that MP may have attempted to aid JB by trying to lift SG's feet off of the ground. A police investigator would know that the moment SG put some hurt into JB (and most likely MP if he was helping JB do the lifting), it is very possible that one or both men reacted spontaneously by putting some hurt right back into SG (either by squeezing her tightly, slamming her against a wall or even throwing a punch).
The moment SG felt real raw pain would have been the moment she began to fear for her life.
Hence the 911 call.
On the tape of her 23 minute 911 call the police clearly heard an irate woman and the voices of both MP & JB attempting to be the voices of reason to calm her down. If/when we someday hear that tape, we are more than likely going to hear SG on a full blown manic rampage and then we are going to hear the calm and collective voices of both MP & JB repeating words like
"nobody is trying to hurt you"...
"all we want you to do is get in the car with Michael and go home"...
"he promises to take care of you"...
Get the idea?
I'm not saying that either man is innocent. I'm just trying to paint the picture of what the police are being forced to consider (and that is the actual facts).
If you have ever listened to 911 tapes then you are aware that some (not all) of the 911 operators can be a bit short tempered themselves. Sometimes they don't intend to sound nasty when they speak abruptly and to the point in an attempt to extract information from the caller. Imagine if you will how it is very possible that SG (with her temper flaring) lashed out verbally against the 911 operator. I would not be at all surprised if SG possibly even called the 911 operator a few choice words when it became obvious to SG that the 911 operator was having problems pinpointing SG's exact location. It is even possible that SG took out all of her rage over the phone against the 911 operator if that 911 operator refused to believe that SG was in any kind of danger. It is very possible that SG's 911 call contains an argument back and forth between them.
So her rage starts off against MP, turns towards JB and then towards 911 & the police.
If a police investigator can imagine all of this then he can also imagine SG's grief with GC when first he refused to let her into his house. Then she gets even more pissed off at him when the only aid he offers her is for him to call 911 (because at this point, the 911 operator is already on her S h*t-list along with MP, JB & now GC). If MP was aware that SG's rage turned towards 911, then that would explain his comment to GC ("you should not have done that") when GC told him that he called the police.
Now fast-forward to the police officer who eventually responded to the scene. Imagine if he was told by 911 dispatch that he was responding to the aid of a drunk woman with a horrible temper. Upon arrival he meets GC (who he does know). His friend GC tells him how the girl had a short temper and was running around on a rampage. When the responding officer interviews JB, he gets an honest "off the record" confession from JB regarding how he hired the girl but then she went psycho on him before anything ever happened sexually. He then explains how her temper turned violent once he asked her to leave and refused to pay her for her companionship.
Polygraph tests on both JB & MP pass with "flying colors" (as MP put it) and the recording of SG's 911 call fully support the statements of both men regarding how SG just basically flipped out. MP goes on record with the police by stating that he figured she would just find her way back home just as she insisted she would do (because she was angry with him). He comes out looking like a hero because initially he did not leave her stranded as she requested but rather he stayed there hoping she would calm down and come to her senses. JB comes out clean as a whistle because he cooperates with the police every step of the way (including allowing them to search both his Oak Beach home and his family's home in West Islip as well as allowing them to impound his suv). Neither JB nor MP show any sign of guilt. The police actually appreciate the fact that neither man has chosen to "lawyer-up". For all we know, some sort of off-the-record deal may have been cut with one or both men for them to receive full immunity from sex-trafficking charges in exchange for agreeing to disclose everything they know about SG's drug & alcohol consumption that evening.
Surely the investigators interviewed SG's mom, sisters, foster mom and the rest of her family. And surely they inquired about SG's temper. I never heard MG state it publicly, but there is history there in that family regarding SG that we are not aware of regarding exactly how/why SG came to live with a foster mother (and what anger/resentment issues SG had with her mom & her family over that arrangement). There is also never any mention about SG's family's initial reaction to learning that she chose to be a prostitute or their reaction towards her choosing to say with her boyfriend AD even after he broke her jaw. Surely the detectives had their work cut out for them investigating all of these scenarios. And I would not be surprised if they learned from everyone who knew SG that although she was normally a very nice person, she indeed did have an explosive, uncontrollable temper.
When attempting to construct a theory on what happened to SG, everything about her case points away from the LISK investigation. Other than being a prostitute who advertised online, there are no facts that link SG to the other victims. The fact that she traveled with MP as her personal driver was enough to convince the investigators that SG was not a victim of the LISK.
The missing surveillance tapes, CPH's phone calls to MG, CPH's letters & the way he appeared suspicious, SG's missing jacket, the discovery of SG's earring, these are all regarded as irrelevant "white noise". They do not erase what the police consider to be the true relevant facts of this case. Most important of all of those facts is what they have constructed to be SG's mental state.
Even the source of the now infamous & mysterious "tip" that led the investigators to examine the wetlands in greater detail is irrelevant to the facts of this case. But once SG's personal belongings were found scattered throughout the wetlands it became obvious to the investigators that in her state of mind, SG would have had a very difficult time attempting to navigate the unforgiving terrain as she tried to make headway towards Ocean Parkway's lights. When one of the police investigators sunk down in water up to his chest and had to receive assistance from several other officers to pull him out of the quick-sand-like "muck", the investigators realized how easy it would have been for SG to drown in the dark.
And that was it.
All of the pieces fit.
All that was left was to find her body intact (which they did) and her case would be ruled an accidental drowning (which it probably will).
Case closed.
I don't necessarily agree with all of these conclusions but I can see how the police can make a very solid argument in favor of them.