2020 Hurricane Season Starting Early, "High Activity" Expected This Year

[Gardenista]

Picture of what Mike is talking about in above video

First Alert Hurricane Tracker

 

[Gardenista]

Bryan Norcross

 

[JudgeJoe]

Bryan Norcross

Didn’t want to “like” that. Really wanting a Sept free of evacuation crap. The last 3 years have been expensive & unfun.

 

[PayrollNerd]

Stop the world, I want to get off. Gee Whiz Mother Nature!!

Hurricane center monitoring 4 areas for development, including 2 with 'high' chances

 

[PayrollNerd]

I can't remember what thread I was on that someone was helping me decide which back up charger to get for my electronics. Anyway, this is the one I got. It arrived today and is a tad heavier than I expected. I did a lot of research specific to iPhone/iPad. This one seemed like a bit more than I probably needed but for the difference in price, I thought it was a good choice. I have it charging. I feel better already!

Portable Charger Anker PowerCore 20100mAh - Ultra High Capacity Power Bank with 4.8A Output and PowerIQ Technology, External Battery Pack for iPhone, iPad & Samsung Galaxy & More (Black)

<b>PowerCore</b> 20100

 

[MimosaMornings]

Stop the world, I want to get off. Gee Whiz Mother Nature!!

Hurricane center monitoring 4 areas for development, including 2 with 'high' chances

 

[Gardenista]

Stop the world, I want to get off. Gee Whiz Mother Nature!!

Hurricane center monitoring 4 areas for development, including 2 with 'high' chances

Hoping the high pushes them north as is currently predicted

 

[Gardenista]

Mike's Weather Page
1m ·
TD #17 forms into Paulette today... most spaghetti models turn north. www.spaghettimodels.com

 

[JudgeJoe]

Mike's Weather Page
1m ·
TD #17 forms into Paulette today... most spaghetti models turn north. www.spaghettimodels.com

I like these noodles way better than the WC app trajectory.

 

[anneg]

I can't remember what thread I was on that someone was helping me decide which back up charger to get for my electronics. Anyway, this is the one I got. It arrived today and is a tad heavier than I expected. I did a lot of research specific to iPhone/iPad. This one seemed like a bit more than I probably needed but for the difference in price, I thought it was a good choice. I have it charging. I feel better already!

Portable Charger Anker PowerCore 20100mAh - Ultra High Capacity Power Bank with 4.8A Output and PowerIQ Technology, External Battery Pack for iPhone, iPad & Samsung Galaxy & More (Black)

<b>PowerCore</b> 20100

I gave my grandson one of these last Christmas and he is pleased with it.

 

[JudgeJoe]

“Paulette” has now been joined by “Rene”. Haven’t looked at this morning’s pasta chart, but feeling hopeful they will arc up Atlantic far from land.

 

[Gardenista]

Mike's Weather Page
Just now ·
11am NHC update on Paulette. Bermuda watching. www.spaghettimodels.com

 

[Gardenista]

Tropical Tidbits
· 1 hr ·
A weak low SW of Bermuda (#94L) will track toward the Carolinas, bringing showers to the region Thursday/Friday. The system is expected to struggle due to conditions not conducive for organized thunderstorms, but a small chance of development into a tropical cyclone exists

 

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical Storm Rene and Tropical Storm Paulette formed Monday afternoon breaking hurricane season records in the process. Both are moving west through the Atlantic while the National Hurricane Center keeps its eyes on two other developing systems .

Tropical Storm Rene is the earliest ever for a hurricane season’s 17th storm by 11 days. The record had been held when Tropical Storm Rita formed on Sept. 18, 2005.

Rene was located about 55 miles south-southeast of Santo Antao moving west at 15 mph with sustained winds of 40 mph and tropical-storm-force winds extending out 45 miles, according to the 5 a.m. Tuesday update. The Cabo Verde Islands are under a tropical storm warning as Rene is predicted to drop 2-5 inches of rain across the islands through Tuesday along with swells that could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Forecasters predict Rene growing into a hurricane by Thursday and strengthening to sustained winds of 80 mph, but turning to the north in the mid-Atlantic and no threat to land.

As of the 5 a.m. Tuesday update, Tropical Storm Paulette is about 1,285 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands and is moving northwest at 6 mph with maximum winds that have grown overnight to 65 mph. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. Despite encounter wind shear, Paulette has continued to strengthen. Paulette could become a hurricane Tuesday night. Paulette is not predicted to pose a threat of landfall, though it could affect Bermuda.

Two tropical storms moving west through Atlantic, 2 more systems could develop

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hmmm, I just realized they do not pick Q hurricane names. They went from P to R.

 

[Gardenista]

 

[JudgeJoe]

Paraphrased...
“Rene guaranteed to NOT make landfall”. TD will bring rain to the Carolinas. No guarantees with Paulette & the gathering storm behind Rene.

 

[PayrollNerd]

That rain storm that is now off the SW coast of FL came thru today. Lots and lots of rain. My oldest, the marine biologist, steamed back onshore this afternoon. She was offshore SWFL for 9-10 days. She said they had some heavy rains a few times, including one storm where they were in a water spout or something and the wind was crazy.
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
No video tonight, but there's plenty to track in the tropics during the next 2 weeks. #94L not expected to bring much weather to NC. Disturbance east of FL a weekend shower-maker. #Paulette could near Bermuda in ~5 days. #Rene not a land threat. New wave about to exit Africa.

 

[PayrollNerd]

We had that mess off the SWFL coast bring a horrendous storm this afternoon. Booming thunder. Monsoon rains. I could see the lightening reflection on the side of my vehicle! The power flickered, cable went out, pooling water in the yard. Even the little foster pup, who doesn't give a rip about storms, jumped up on the couch and stared out the front window like, WTH??

Watching Paulette, a Disturbance East of Florida, and a New Wave off Africa

Thursday evening video update on Tropical Storm #Paulette, a disturbance east of Florida, and a new tropical wave off of Africa:

 

[PayrollNerd]

Tropical Storm Sally - so far we have occasional wind here just south of Tampa. No rain yet. My aunt & uncle had torrential rain on the east coast near Palm Bay last evening.

NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center

...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...
NHC has upgraded Tropical Depression Nineteen to Tropical Storm Sally, the 18th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Sally is the early appearance of the "S" named storm on record. The previous record was held by Stan on October 2, 2005.

A Tropical Storm Watch continues in effect for the Florida Panhandle from the Ochlockonee River to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Florida Panhandle by Sunday night. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible across southern portion of the Florida peninsula today, especially over the Florida Keys. A tornado or two is possible today and tonight over South Florida.
Interests elsewhere along the northern Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm or hurricane watches, and storm surge watches, could be issued for a portion of that area later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office - www.weather.gov

At 2 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Sally was located about 35 miles (60 km) south-southeast of Naples. Sally is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today or tonight. A west-northwestward or northwestward motion is then expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center is forecast to move over the southeastern and eastern Gulf of Mexico later today and Sunday, and then move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) south and southeast of the center, just to the south of the Florida Keys. Additional strengthening is expected to occur during the next couple of days, and Sally is forecast to become a hurricane by late Monday.

Sally is expected to produce total rainfall of 3 to 6 inches with isolated 8 inch amounts over the Florida Keys through tonight with 2 to 4 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches across southern Florida and the western Florida coast to the Tampa Bay metro area. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding across South Florida and prolong high flows and ongoing minor flooding on rivers across Central Florida. It's then expected to produce through Tuesday rainfall of 3 to 6 inches with localized amounts of 8 inches along the Gulf Coast from the Florida Peninsula to southeast Louisiana Sunday and 2 to 4 inches farther inland over far southern Alabama, Mississippi and southeast Louisiana. This is expected to be a slow-moving system that will likely continue to produce heavy rainfall and considerable flooding near the central Gulf Coast through the middle of next week. Flash, urban and rapid onset flooding along small streams and minor to isolated moderate flooding on rivers is likely.

The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. EDT - www.hurricanes.gov