Australia Australia - William Tyrrell Disappeared While Playing in Yard - Kendall (NSW) #79

From what I saw of the last tranche of the inquest, a theory had been formulated around the FFC, based upon her being a suspect that couldn't be cleared. The FFC according to the evidence, has no corroborated alibi for when WT disappeared. The most likely scenario needed to be investigated.
What you highlighted there sums it up well I think - ‘the most likely theory’.

An incident involving anyone other than those in the house that morning would require the pure chance of someone stumbling by that house in the 5-odd minutes that WT was ‘unsupervised’ - or having been waiting for such an opportunity. Of course, this MAY have happened, it just introduces a whole new lot of variables that aren’t involved if whatever occurred only involved the parties present in the house. I can see why LE focused where they did after reviewing all the ‘evidence’. There simply wasn’t enough to conclusively clear the parties of the house, and as it requires the least variables it became the focus of the new investigation.

Now that it hasn’t seemed to result - LE need to decide what the next step is. This is an investigation that has gone on for far longer than it should have, ruined careers, traumatised witnesses and other associated people, and so far failed to bring justice for WT. I’m sure we all hope this case is resolved the right way as soon as it can be, it just seems that LE aren’t any closer now than they were on day one.

Whoever the guilty party truly is has gotten away with this for far too long.
 
What you highlighted there sums it up well I think - ‘the most likely theory’.

An incident involving anyone other than those in the house that morning would require the pure chance of someone stumbling by that house in the 5-odd minutes that WT was ‘unsupervised’ - or having been waiting for such an opportunity. Of course, this MAY have happened, it just introduces a whole new lot of variables that aren’t involved if whatever occurred only involved the parties present in the house. I can see why LE focused where they did after reviewing all the ‘evidence’. There simply wasn’t enough to conclusively clear the parties of the house, and as it requires the least variables it became the focus of the new investigation.

Now that it hasn’t seemed to result - LE need to decide what the next step is. This is an investigation that has gone on for far longer than it should have, ruined careers, traumatised witnesses and other associated people, and so far failed to bring justice for WT. I’m sure we all hope this case is resolved the right way as soon as it can be, it just seems that LE aren’t any closer now than they were on day one.

Whoever the guilty party truly is has gotten away with this for far too long.

It's not about "odds" though, is it?

What were the odds that Madeleine McCann would be abducted from a locked room with her parents sitting metres away at a dining table?
What were the odds that Azaria Chamberlain would be taken by a dingo with her parents sitting metres away at a campfire?

imo
 
It's not about "odds" though, is it?

What were the odds that Madeleine McCann would be abducted from a locked room with her parents sitting metres away at a dining table?
What were the odds that Azaria Chamberlain would be taken by a dingo with her parents sitting metres away at a campfire?

imo
What is it about then, please?
 
It's not about "odds" though, is it?

What were the odds that Madeleine McCann would be abducted from a locked room with her parents sitting metres away at a dining table?
What were the odds that Azaria Chamberlain would be taken by a dingo with her parents sitting metres away at a campfire?

imo
The end result isn’t always about odds of course, but when LE started a renewed investigation it certainly was. Not that it should be to the exclusion of all others, but it makes sense to focus the initial inquiries of the investigation where the most likely scenario lays before you can exclude that and move forward. This is assuming a lack of evidence pointing elsewhere of course, which in WT’s regard seems to be a lack of any evidence at all.
As the commenter I replied to inferred, LE hadn’t been able to exclude FFC via evidence or her statements to that point.

Now of course the ‘renewed’ investigation has dragged on this long without result and perhaps the focus on ffc HAS been to the exclusion of all other scenarios, which would just be bad police work, but we just have to hope that there has been more work being done in the background that we haven’t seen publicised just yet… Don’t get me wrong - I don’t think this renewed investigation has gone well by any means at all!
imo
 
The end result isn’t always about odds of course, but when LE started a renewed investigation it certainly was. Not that it should be to the exclusion of all others, but it makes sense to focus the initial inquiries of the investigation where the most likely scenario lays before you can exclude that and move forward. This is assuming a lack of evidence pointing elsewhere of course, which in WT’s regard seems to be a lack of any evidence at all.
As the commenter I replied to inferred, LE hadn’t been able to exclude FFC via evidence or her statements to that point.

Now of course the ‘renewed’ investigation has dragged on this long without result and perhaps the focus on ffc HAS been to the exclusion of all other scenarios, which would just be bad police work, but we just have to hope that there has been more work being done in the background that we haven’t seen publicised just yet… Don’t get me wrong - I don’t think this renewed investigation has gone well by any means at all!
imo

Yes, I agree that Laidlaw's team were about the odds. But in this case that hasn't panned out. It is one of those 'once in a decade' crimes - as the profilers said it was, a long time ago.

I just hope it is not too late to find out what happened to William. People who may have been involved are dying of old age and illness.
As you say, the FM investigation dragged on for too long at the exclusion of others.

imo
 
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Yes, I agree that Laidlaw's team were about the odds. But in this case that hasn't panned out. It is one of those 'once in a decade' crimes - as the profilers said it was, a long time ago.

I just hope it is not too late to find out what happened to William. People who may have been involved are dying of old age and illness.
As you say, the FM investigation dragged on for too long at the exclusion of others.

imo

I don’t believe the odds were ever in W’s favour—from the day he was born to the day he was gone.
His life deserves to be honoured and laid to rest with dignity. The Doorway of Hope Missing Persons Remembrance Garden is one of the few memorial gardens in NSW. It offers the loved ones of a missing person a place to visit, remember them, and find a sense of peace and healing. I sincerely hope DCJ make contact with the biological parents and offer to arrange a plaque in memory of their son William Tyrrell, in a memorial garden of their choosing.
 
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I have not been back on WS for a while.

<modsnip>

To me it is impossible to believe the FM narrative, no matter how it is dissected.

She got sooo lucky IMO.
bbm
Probably she got lucky. Although I think, she didn't do harm to him, because she either does it with a wooden spoon and yelling or let others do it perhaps. But I believe, she is involved in his disappearing and knows more to it. And if she has done something re disappearing, meanwhile her husband would know, no matter, if he was also involved or not. It is something, that binds them together, at least for the public. There is something, which they know and which isn't allowed to become public, because it would harm both their reputation. - MOO
 
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Witness: William Tyrrell podcast is returning next week


"I never expected this investigation to get so dark, or that we would end up investigating other murders beyond William Tyrrell's disappearance. but that's what happened"

4 new episodes. People have come forward to help. Some tips have been passed onto authorities.
 
bbm
Probably she got lucky. Although I think, she didn't do harm to him, because she either does it with a wooden spoon and yelling or let others do it perhaps. But I believe, she is involved in his disappearing and knows more to it. And if she has done something re disappearing, meanwhile her husband would know, no matter, if he was also involved or not. It is something, that binds them together, at least for the public. There is something, which they know and which isn't allowed to become public, because it would harm both their reputation. - MOO
We should all be so lucky as to have a child abducted and probably murdered.
 
"I never expected this investigation to get so dark, or that we would end up investigating other murders beyond William Tyrrell's disappearance. but that's what happened"

4 new episodes. People have come forward to help. Some tips have been passed onto authorities.
Interesting. I wonder who the person was who attended the inquests.
 
"I never expected this investigation to get so dark, or that we would end up investigating other murders beyond William Tyrrell's disappearance. but that's what happened"

4 new episodes. People have come forward to help. Some tips have been passed onto authorities.
IMO From the opening line alone, it’s clear that DB is shifting direction over the next four episodes—from impartial, fact-based reporting to a more biased story that suits the narrative. It will be interesting to see if objectively is swapped out for agenda
 

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