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Technically it could have been someone local with a grudge who hired an outsider. But the grudge would have to be pretty big (obvious motive to investigators) if they were willing to pay.
It seems that Karen was organized and a planner. Great reputation in the village. When she got a lover, she kept it under wraps until she was sure that it was serious. And, from the papers, it appears that JFG was much respected in that expat community.
Same with her barn. It started like a summer vacation place and ended a profitable business.
She was not an open book. I assume that there are many people, acquaintances and business connections that we don’t know about.
It may take quite a time. Wishing the police good luck.