Hurricane Florence - September 2018

[otto]

If I ever get stuck in a bar during a hurricane, I want it to be sitting next to you to laugh and make jokes!

Your comment of "I would just as soon guess which way a cockroach will run when you turn the light on" is killing me with laughter, and if I was smart enough, I would redo this with cockroaches instead of spaghetti on it!
View attachment 146929

Spaghetti on a wall is always a dead end.

 

[Al Hoffman]

BBM

Presumably scientists in the 1950s thought that dropping a nuclear bomb will change weather patterns? I remember it differently.

National Geographic - 30 November 2016 - Nuking Hurricanes: The Suprising History Behind A Really Bad Idea

"In a speech delivered to the National Press Club on October 11, 1961 Francis W Riechelderfer, the head of the U.S. Weather Bureau, said he could imagine the possibility someday of exploding a nuclear bomb on a hurricane far at sea."

Jack W. Reed, a meteorologist at Sandia Laboratory had the opportunity to present his research at the 1959 symposium on the Plowshare Program - a government initiative to develop "peaceful" uses for nuclear weapons. Reed speculated that a submarine could travel underwater to penetrate the eye of a hurricane where it could launch and detonate one or more nuclear missiles. Reed calculated that a 20 megaton explosion could slow a storm with a 100 knot peak wind to 50 knots.

In the words of Robert Nelson who studies nuclear weapons - "It's just wacky."

You get the idea......Where is the Seaview and Admiral Nelson (no relation to Robert Nelson) when you need a Hurricane nuked?

 

[Al Hoffman]

The barrier weather system is blocking the hurricane from turning out to sea, but it has yet to be seen whether the hurricane or barrier system hits the coast first.

What barrier system? Do you mean the "Bermuda" high to the North blocking the storms movement to the North? Are you trying to say that the high pressure system could move Southwest and inland to block the storm?

 

[Jax49]

OUTER RAIN BANDS OF FLORENCE ARE APPROACHING THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL EXPECTED...

5:00 AM EDT Thu Sep 13
Location: 32.8°N 74.7°W
Moving: NW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 956 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph

Cat 2
205 miles ESE of Wilmington, NC

 

[CARIIS]

At least she did not keep her intensity as anticipated - so the height and amount of water riding under her will be less than the initially thought!! Yea

Also surprised at her forward motion at this point / 17 is cruising for a hurricane!!

Trying to be a dash optimistic here

bara press only up 1 mb so at this point we ought not to see much intensification at this point in time!

I used our trusty Windy and water temps ahead of her are 80

 

[Jax49]

Cantore is in Wrightsville Beach, NC.

 

[CARIIS]

Ha

I am blind with no attn span!!

Were getting close

gona do a quick find trending post from Jx posts TY Jax!- !


500

Moving: NW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 956 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph

11:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12

Moving: NW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 957 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph

8:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12

Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 956 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph

5:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12

Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 949 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph

 

[CARIIS]

I just saw Jax latest

well shoot ==bar pressure is heading down

darn

lets all meet at buoy 121 in 6 hours and we can just push her to keep her from stalling bring swimming attire or.........................skinny dipping is permitted!

 

[Jax49]

Cat 2 is still scary but 110 is a lot better than 140.

ETA: But it's only one mph below cat 3.

 

[CARIIS]

hi bravo !!

 

[Bravo]

This is terrifying. I wish folks in the direct hit had not stayed! I do wonder if a drop in winds will even matter. Given the relentless pounding as she stalls.

 

[Bravo]

hi bravo !!

Good morning to you and all other early birds

 

[Jax49]

Good morning to you and all other early birds

Hi Bravo.

I tried posting radar out of Jax (showing the storm) but couldn't figure out how.

ETA - Link if anyone is interested:

Jacksonville Weather on WTLV in Jacksonville

 

[CARIIS]

Cat 2 is still scary but 110 is a lot better than 140.

ETA: But it's only one mph below cat 3.

It is so helpful that winds are lower as it relates to surge cause it is carrying less water underneath it kinda like a crappy vacuum compared to a Dyson!!

They like drag water underneath them as they move above the ocean --140 can move more water underneath her than 110 - but the barm pressure is like a fortune teller -- so it does not seem like winds will decrease

up is down and down is up (wind speeds/pressure)

 

[CARIIS]

hi jax

 

[CARIIS]

I hope they are filled with Beer and MREs. You have NO idea how disappointed many of New Orleans' "chronic" drinkers" were when they stood in line, in the hot sun, for food and drink, and were given a silver can with a black Anheuser-Bush logo on the front, only to open it to find pure water canned on the beer plant can line for FEMA.

Are you a lightweight! Why are you not hoping for 151 proof anything !!

 

[Jax49]

There's still saying 9-13 foot surge in some areas. (CNN)

 

[Jax49]

Frying Pan camera - live video from the Outer Banks | Explore.org

The Frying Pan Tower is a Coast Guard Light Station located 34 miles off the coast of North Carolina that has been turned into a unique adventure b&b.

ETA: Youtube link.

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[Jax49]

Anyone else listening? Waves are cranking and wind is howling.

 

[Bravo]

I could never stay even close to it. The sounds would do me in.