Madeleine McCann: German Prisoner Identified as Suspect, #38

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  • #301
It's not extraordinary, Mex, it's true crime discussion. Folks compare the conduct of current cases to the conduct of past ones. It's a long, established tradition. Especially I dare say in cases when investigators set off as gung ho as the Germans did. They set themselves up for criticism.
 
  • #302
Likewise we can find examples of hundreds of cases where lengthy police investigations resulted in successful prosecutions of the right suspect. None of them however are reliable indicators of what is happening in this case.
As with everything connected with the MM case from start to finish, what has happened is absolutely unique. Particularly what is happening before anyone is even charged with crime against her.

Sadly for justice and those affected by the present holdup in the five trials which don't concern MM, charges and trial for her case are a paramount consideration.
My opinion
 
  • #303
It's not extraordinary, Mex, it's true crime discussion. Folks compare the conduct of current cases to the conduct of past ones. It's a long, established tradition. Especially I dare say in cases when investigators set off as gung ho as the Germans did. They set themselves up for criticism.
If you're referring to HCW's 2020 announcement that CB was the prime suspect in the MM case I don't believe that was when the German police "set off gung ho". Were there not years preceding that announcement where they were quietly gathering evidence against him?
 
  • #304
If you're referring to HCW's 2020 announcement that CB was the prime suspect in the MM case I don't believe that was when the German police "set off gung ho". Were there not years preceding that announcement where they were quietly gathering evidence against him?
They were quietly doing something yes. Then they announced in June they were certain. So certain did they sound people listening thought charges must be imminent. Then it just turned into tabloid hysteria again, as had happened so many times previously. Nothing has changed since. Even by late July 2020 the ITV documentary had a weary, 'we've seen all this before' tone to it.

So imo they either made a big mistake in June 2020 with the language they used, or the investigation re: MM itself is badly flawed. But you can't broadcast to the world the way they did and not expect criticism when you can't back up your words.
 
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  • #305
Interesting that the same paper also had an article about the Charlene Downes case, in which the police and prosecution were so convinced they knew who was guilty they totally lost touch with rationality. British police and prosecutors of course. Not Portuguese. Something similar may have happened in Braunschweig. Jmo of course.
After the BKA inv, after their appeal, after all this, if not CB, who was?
Really cannot see a different scenario.
With the global exposition and mediatization this case easily gained, the time that has passed with many doubting on BKA work and their conviction is the same time that doesn't bring any other different clue or path. I do not believe BKA hasn't tried the counter-check, counter-arguments, "testing" negation.
 
  • #306
After the BKA inv, after their appeal, after all this, if not CB, who was?
Really cannot see a different scenario.
With the global exposition and mediatization this case easily gained, the time that has passed with many doubting on BKA work and their conviction is the same time that doesn't bring any other different clue or path. I do not believe BKA hasn't tried the counter-check, counter-arguments, "testing" negation.
But that argument - if not him, who? - has been the reason for so many miscarriages of justice over the years, in all countries. It's dangerous when investigators start thinking that way. We've seen it many times in the UK e.g. the prosecutions of Barry George, Colin Stagg and - imo - Michael Stone.
 
  • #307
They were quietly doing something yes. Then they announced in June they were certain. So certain did they sound people listening thought charges must be imminent. Then it just turned into tabloid hysteria again, as had happened so many times previously. Nothing has changed since. Even by late July 2020 the ITV documentary had a weary, 'we've seen all this before' tone to it.

So imo they either made a big mistake in June 2020 with the language they used, or the investigation re: MM itself is badly flawed. But you can't broadcast to the world the way they did and not expect criticism when you can't back up your words.
"quietly doing something"? If not building a case against their suspect then what?
 
  • #308
"quietly doing something"? If not building a case against their suspect then what?
We know they managed to secure prosecutions in the other cases they've investigated allegedly involving CB. I've absolutely no idea what they've been doing for six years re: MM.
 
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  • #309
But that argument - if not him, who? - has been the reason for so many miscarriages of justice over the years, in all countries. It's dangerous when investigators start thinking that way. We've seen it many times in the UK e.g. the prosecutions of Barry George, Colin Stagg and - imo - Michael Stone.
The argument goes if the BKA can prove murder then they don't need to go to the route of abduction, which is all very well but it's joining the investigation 10 years after the fact (alleged sort of confession after a beer or three in 2008) is there any sign that the BKA have actually visited Luz to see where the phone call was made, the actual lay of the land, Ocean club complex etc?
 
  • #310
But that argument - if not him, who? - has been the reason for so many miscarriages of justice over the years, in all countries. It's dangerous when investigators start thinking that way. We've seen it many times in the UK e.g. the prosecutions of Barry George, Colin Stagg and - imo - Michael Stone.
It was me, here in the forum, not them.
And it was more to the ones who think CB does not have nothing to do with MM case. In that case, would there be any other route to explore?
IMO BKA does not think that way (if not him, who?). In any case, again, I believe they have tried the counters/negation along the investigation with the info they have collected. Nothing appeared that have suggested that was not CB. And above all, again, HCW confirmed they have material evidence. And we are at a level of having three police forces in the searches in Arade last May.
 
  • #311
The argument goes if the BKA can prove murder then they don't need to go to the route of abduction, which is all very well but it's joining the investigation 10 years after the fact (alleged sort of confession after a beer or three in 2008) is there any sign that the BKA have actually visited Luz to see where the phone call was made, the actual lay of the land, Ocean club complex etc?
There will be more masts around now? Difficult to recreate the conditions existing in 2007 I reckon. Tricky imo.
 
  • #312
CB remains the prime suspect in the murder of a little girl. Seldom can there have been such a surge of opprobrium for those building an evidence based case against such a person as this abuser and rapist is.
Quite extraordinary indeed.

My opinion
Snipped, that sums up the difference of opinion imo, as of this moment CB is innocent of all wrong doing in anything related to Madeleine , the criticism levelled at those who hold the line of innocent before guilty is in itself extraordinary ,showing a level of opprobrium to those that hold the view.
 
  • #313
It was me, here in the forum, not them.
And it was more to the ones who think CB does not have nothing to do with MM case. In that case, would there be any other route to explore?
IMO BKA does not think that way (if not him, who?). In any case, again, I believe they have tried the counters/negation along the investigation with the info they have collected. Nothing appeared that have suggested that was not CB. And above all, again, HCW confirmed they have material evidence. And we are at a level of having three police forces in the searches in Arade last May.
We're all as keen as you are to know what they mean by 'material evidence'. Whatever it is it doesn't seem to have impressed the Braunschweig court though.
 
  • #314
There will be more masts around now? Difficult to recreate the conditions existing in 2007 I reckon. Tricky imo.
I'll refer to the Ricky Neave case, cold case investigators revisited the scene using pictures from the initial investigation, it's how they trapped the killer.
 
  • #315
It was me, here in the forum, not them.
And it was more to the ones who think CB does not have nothing to do with MM case. In that case, would there be any other route to explore?
IMO BKA does not think that way (if not him, who?). In any case, again, I believe they have tried the counters/negation along the investigation with the info they have collected. Nothing appeared that have suggested that was not CB. And above all, again, HCW confirmed they have material evidence. And we are at a level of having three police forces in the searches in Arade last May.
One really doesn't know how hard they've looked.
If they have decided beyond all shadow of a doubt that CB is the man, they are looking for evidence to implicate him, not exonerate him.
IMO
 
  • #316
We know they managed to secure prosecutions in the other cases they've investigated allegedly involving CB. I've absolutely no idea what they've been doing for six years re: MM.
Put it this way - do you think it's likely that June 2020 was when they decided to name CB as the prime suspect in the MM case without conducting any prior investigation into his possible involvement in the case?
 
  • #317
Put it this way - do you think it's likely that June 2020 was when they decided to name CB as the prime suspect in the MM case without conducting any prior investigation into his possible involvement in the case?
I don't know what they had done. We know they definitely talked to one or two or more of CB's former acquaintances, who told them they were certain he killed MM. And now the German investigators are also certain. After three years we still don't know if there's anything more to it than that.
 
  • #318
One really doesn't know how hard they've looked.
If they have decided beyond all shadow of a doubt that CB is the man, they are looking for evidence to implicate him, not exonerate him.
IMO
Yes to implicate him. I was just mentioning that along the way, IMO, they should have tried if the info they collected, their scenario on CB would not be denied or countered by any other clue/data. Was this poor or dependent on further external support? IMO they "only" want the "final piece", to charge beyond the slightest doubt.
 
  • #319
Yes to implicate him. I was just mentioning that along the way, IMO, they should have tried if the info they collected, their scenario on CB would not be denied or countered by any other clue/data. Was this poor or dependent on further external support? IMO they "only" want the "final piece", to charge beyond the slightest doubt.
The final piece is only likely to be a remains imo and if it's unobtainable?
 
  • #320
I don't know what they had done. We know they definitely talked to one or two or more of CB's former acquaintances, who told them they were certain he killed MM. And now the German investigators are also certain. After three years we still don't know if there's anything more to it than that.
IMO until such a time as it's shown that they simply decided to pin the MM disappearance on CB for no other reason than someone told them he did it, I will continue to give the German police and prosecutor the benefit of the doubt that they know what they are doing. I really don't see any point in criticising them from a position of ignorance though of course everyone's entitled to voice an opinion even an uninformed one.
 
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