• #18,081
I’m a hiker and the shoes look like a light-colored hiking or trail boot, low to mid height, with a rounded toe. Most of the big hiking brands make something similar (Merrill Moab, Keen Targhee, or Salomon X ultra).

I was thinking more like this

1770753801096.webp
 
  • #18,082
Camping out? As in nearby? I visited my aunt many time in the desert area of Tucson and every night around 4am would be awakened by coyotes howling. Also she told me about the javelinas that often walked around the streets. Not to mention rattle snakes etc. Braver person ( or more naïve) than I’d be to sleep out under the stars there. JMO.
Yes, essentially staking out until night when he would walk in to the neighborhood to avoid a traceable car (except for a getaway car). Given it sounds like he was possibly at NG's home for a while (up to 45 minutes or longer) it makes sense he wouldn't want a car on premise. I realize there are a lot of assumptions there. But to follow the theory of the investigator. I think it could make sense as well. I'm not sure how long he could have been camping out - could be a transient type person, or maybe only for a few hours until nightfall. But the backpack would imply some sort of supplies such as food or a blanket. I'm sure there are places that he could stay fairly concealed without worrying about coyotes (on/in an abandoned building, etc.) but I get your point.
 
  • #18,083
My opinion only:

The video of the assailant is earlier when they are disabling the camera.

Later, they gain entry to the house thru some other means.

Once they get inside 30 minutes later, the abduction is pretty quick.. and she is removed from the front door (where the camera is now disabled) and that is the difference in time.
Yes, just realized he might not have gained entry at 1:47am. I think you're right.
 
  • #18,084
I think you meant to type "Guthrie family." Interesting autocorrection...
I am a horrendous typist. Thus, sometimes the all caps, because I have to look at my fingers when typing. Then I look up and it's all caps! Yes, i spelled the name wrong..I thought it was obvious nonetheless, who I was referencing..
 
  • #18,085
The authorities should post that to help with tips! I don't think a lot of people know that.
Maybe the same day AG's website did?
 
  • #18,086
  • #18,087
I know we have the timeline released last Thursday stating the camera was disconnected around 2am on 2/1/26, but the above eagle eye observation of @desert-blue
re: Suspect wearing and not wearing backpack, combined with the official FBI poster stating images are from 1/31/26 makes me wonder if the suspect approached the house both before and after midnight? Obviously the 1/31/26 on the poster from X.com could be a typo but you’d think they’d get that detail correct before hitting publish … right?

View attachment 643420
It could be a typo. Or, despite the mention of Tucson right below it, it could be that the date was from a different time zone, reflecting either the time zone of the place that processed the video data or FBI HQ.

JMO
 
  • #18,088
Has LE said what time the video was taken?

Already answered. Slow reader.
 
  • #18,089
Who is DE?
Not supposed to post names, and not sure how much I am allowed to post. I'll just say DE is well known to the SIL.
 
  • #18,090
dbm
 
  • #18,091
Honestly though, someone will recognize him. Very clear shots of his body type, attire, eyes and mouth. It's a rarity in unsolved cases like this. No way he can get away with it forever.

I hope LE has an idea of the vehicle he was in and can give the public tips on that as well.
 
  • #18,092
  • #18,093
  • #18,094
Why would he want to expose his eyes and mouth? Like why not wear night vision glasses? Also, not cold in Tucson and he seems to wear such padded clothing.
 
  • #18,095
I’m never catching up, so apologies if I’m repeating anything.
That outfit screams layers, and it’s all so deliberately random and ‘vintage’ to me. IMO several layers, to distort looks and change top layer in case a BOLO went out, and purposefully be unlike clothes/bag/holster the subject is widely known to have in regular life. It looks like it’s a thrift store/garage sale/lost & found costume. For example, the outer balaclava is old school, (looks to me like a couple of layers of mask underneath) and the holster is a good style, but ill suited for the gun the subject has. Everything about the outfit looks staged to my mind.
JMOO
 
  • #18,096
It’s most certainly a man. No need to even question it
I agree. The eyes look feminine, but I do think this is a man who has good lashes.

jmo
 
  • #18,097
Maybe something like this
My husband and I have little flashlights like that on our key rings. They are quite small but very bright.
 
  • #18,098
I would feel better about Nancy's current state if her blood wasn't present.
 
  • #18,099
Mustache looks fake or drawn on. But JMO, could be real.
Eyes look very dark brown, flash in middle. Hard to tell, just a guess.
I’m so glad they were able to revive these images, video. It took a while, now we have them.
So great! I’m pretty sure someone will recognize.
JMO
 
  • #18,100
Absolutely a good point. It would be difficult and cumbersome at best to draw and get a finger in a trigger guard.

He switched from concealed earlier in the frame to a low hanging open appendix carry as he approached, thus brandishing the gun and removing all doubt to anyone watching what his intentions were. That is strange. Even hitman and pros or common burglars would not let the person behind the door --or if someone came upon him outside by chance-- their nefarious intention. You see a guy with a mask, gloves, brandishing you immediately react defensively. So it seems mainly for intimidation.

The whole get up seems thrown together to me. Reflective stripes on a backack, really? Mismatched holster. Bulky nitrile chemical proof style gloves? Pros dress a certain way for a reason. "High speed, low drag." All black is a cliche for a reason.
Not to make light of it or anything, but the gun being in that position if he were male, wouldn't it get in the way of his kahunas? If he was male would it be rubbing up against them. Many of the people in our area have firearms---and I have never once witnessed someone carry a gun like that. Definitely not someone who has been trained with a firearm.

Which brings me to my next point---have they checked the local firearm ranges and film footage from there? IMHO, this person is inexperienced with a firearm and they had to go somewhere to practice.
 
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