• #25,121
Could it blow out the back of a truck? Probably not, but who knows...
I am writing from an area in Texas, not all that much different from NG's area in Tucson. Almost no one does their own lawncare/landscaping here. My wife and I like to walk daily for exercise. You cannot imagine the number of gloves laying along the roadways. Latex, rubber, leather, cloth, you name it, they either get tossed or blow out of landscaper's trailers very often. Finding gloves beside a road is common here.
 
  • #25,122
From the details of this post, they are confirming they are looking for a male.
[...]
The suspect is described as a male, approximately 5’9” - 5’10” tall, with an average build. In the video, he is wearing a black, 25-liter ‘Ozark Trail Hiker Pack’ backpack.
[...]

JMO

ETA - Ozark backpack is only $10.20 at Walmart
 
  • #25,123
This could easily of been planted there as a diversion. Honestly, you would have to be pretty dumb to throw a glove outside your car that you used in a crime. Or a troll could’ve done it, just to be stupid. After all, it was found after the camera footage was released.
Taking NG out the front door, bleeding, maybe screaming, fighting, crying could have been a chaotic scene. Could the kidnappers have dropped the glove at the scene, or NG could have grabbed it off the hand of one of the kidnappers.

I don't know the weather in that area. Are there high winds which could have blown a lightweight glove around? Some areas have storms with high winds and light weight objects are all over the vicinity.

Could one of the evidence techs at the crime scene have not secured it in the back of a police van?

IDK I am trying to think of all options since it is so odd to have evidence floating around like this so long after the crime took place.
 
  • #25,124
I don’t like that it says:

“information leading to the location of Nancy Guthrie and/or the arrest and conviction of anyone involved in her disappearance.”

Most rewards I see offered say “safe recovery” or something to that effect. Something that indicates the reward is for an alive person.

I think that’s a good thing. If someone knows something, including if NG is deceased, they might still be enticed to report it.
 
  • #25,125
I honestly believe Nancy died from the fright of being awoken by a masked intruder, prehaps he woke her to open a safe or to see if there was one

He could have been creeping the home first and couldn't find it so decided to awaken a vulnerable elderly lady

A robber can be so light footed that often times people don't realise their homes have been ransacked until they wake to the mess . It depends how deeply you sleep imo

The reason she was not left on the premises is because prehaps he placed a hand over her mouth as he woke her and if she struggled being on blood thinners she may have bled from her gums or nose from force

The sheriff did say the home was evidently left in a way that was disturbed, this prehaps ties in with a home rifled through looking for something.

If she died in the home of a heart attack and the perp touched her or was in close proximity shouting at her he may have been worried about dna transfer so moved her so as not to implicate himself in a homicide

He may have no problem due to morals serving time for breaking and entering and stealing but may have taken umbrage to serving life without parole so hid her

The ransom demand may or may not be the same perp but likely one of the ransom notes may be if a description was given of things only a perp would know , prehaps it was demanded as a deflection rather than a want to extort

I really hope Nancy is found so her family can grieve and gain closure in the future
 
  • #25,126
Details of suspect from this tweet:

The suspect is described as a male, approximately 5’9” - 5’10” tall, with an average build. In the video, he is wearing a black, 25-liter ‘Ozark Trail Hiker Pack’ backpack.

This height is atypical/an outlier for a central American Latino male. Average is 5'6 or so if I recall correctly. I've never really been of the mind that he appears native central American Latino anyway. I'm thinking Caucasian, Mediterranean, Middle Eastern, or perhaps non-native South American (Skewed more towards European descent).

JMO.
 
  • #25,127
Um... 60 miles an hour=60 miles in 60 minutes. I'm not a math whiz but, if I'm not mistaken, driving 40mph, you would cover .6 miles per minute so you could cover 5 miles in under10 minutes.
I was joking because people were saying he/she couldn't possibly get from 5 miles away to Nancy's house in 19 minutes.
 
  • #25,128
Sheriff Nanos said there were multiple cameras.

In the official timeline they specifically said "doorbell" camera was disconnected at 1:47 a.m.
Yeah, sorry, I should have been more precise about the point I was trying to make.

Earlier, in response to @MassGuy, I said it was unlikely that there is any video from the doorbell camera after the 1:47 AM "disconnect" event on the timeline. I was assuming that the disconnect correlated with the doorbell camera being removed from the mount and disabled or taken out of range, and that after that, it was gone for good. If the newly-revealed timestamps on these images are correct, then I was obviously wrong about that. The doorbell was apparently still on the wall well after 1:47, and was able to upload video during that time.

Given this new information, if it proves true, there are a few scenarios I can think of, some more likely than others.
  1. The doorbell camera did disconnect at 1:47, but for a reason unrelated to being removed from the wall. Maybe a wifi jammer or other RF or internet disruption, maybe just random coincidence. At some point after that, it re-connected to the network so that it could upload the images we have seen of the unknown subject. This re-connection could have happened before, during, or after the subject was on the porch. At some point after that, it was physically removed (which we know because we've seen the now-removed empty bracket on the door).
  2. The doorbell camera did not disconnect at 1:47, and this was an error on the official timeline. Maybe there were multiple Nest cameras, a different one disconnected, and the notifications were confusing. Or the time was written down wrong. Or the clock was incorrect on whatever device investigators saw the disconnection notification on (assuming a notification is how they knew the camera disconnected; it's possible they got this information via other means).
  3. There were multiple "doorbell" cameras, one disconnected at 1:47 and one stayed connected, to capture the images of the subject.
  4. The time stamps on the images of the subject are wrong, and those were actually captured before 1:47.
If I had to guess (we see how well this has gone for me so far), I would say it's the first option. But who knows.

I'm sure there are more possibilities, and this is all just my opinion based on the scant information we have. But the most likely scenarios suggest that I was wrong in my prior post, and I apologize for that.
 
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  • #25,129
  • #25,130
I think that she didn't survive the first day of the kidnapping. And I also think that it would have to be the work of at least three people. The 2 kidnappers, the driver, and maybe an informant who knew the house or was there. I also think that they probably have a video of him or them taking Nancy out of the house. But it's too sensitive to make public.
I dont think it ever was a kidnapping, I think it was a staged kidnapping to hide a murder.
 
  • #25,131
  • #25,132
Taking NG out the front door, bleeding, maybe screaming, fighting, crying could have been a chaotic scene. Could the kidnappers have dropped the glove at the scene, or NG could have grabbed it off the hand of one of the kidnappers.

I don't know the weather in that area. Are there high winds which could have blown a lightweight glove around? Some areas have storms with high winds and light weight objects are all over the vicinity.

Could one of the evidence techs at the crime scene have not secured it in the back of a police van?

IDK I am trying to think of all options since it is so odd to have evidence floating around like this so long after the crime took place.
Don't forget he had a gun. Courage in the face of a gun probably poking into you is not always as brave. I could imagine complete compliance. She was powerless
 
  • #25,133
I think that’s a good thing. If someone knows something, including if NG is deceased, they might still be enticed to report it.
Absolutely. Usually that’s not how they come out of the gate with rewards though, so it just concerns me…wondering if they know something. Though I personally don’t think she was alive much longer after being taken out of the house.
 
  • #25,134
I hope that's the case. He really seemed out of his element with any news conferences he gave-and he hasn't had to deal with any massively major news story that is nationwide IMO
I think it’s definitely out of his element too. I’m hopeful that with the increased reward, someone will come forward with information soon.
 
  • #25,135
Ah, that makes a lot of sense. Perp has info that the camera is inactive, but sees the light and gets worried that it's still on. Wants to knock on door, but camera will let NG see him and ruin his ambush. Improvises with flowers to temporary block camera so NG can't see him; NG opens the door blind to the danger.
I agree that the guy knew that the doorbell camera was active due to the light. But I don't think NG would've opened the door to him or to anyone she couldn't see, especially at that time of night. I think the flowers were a crude attempt to shield his face from the camera while he was disabling it. After dealing with the camera, I'm guessing that he either picked the lock, waited for an accomplice who was already in there to let him in, or maybe went around the back to break in.

JMO
 
  • #25,136
<snipped>
Gloves found at Guthrie's house are being sent out for testing, the Pima County Sheriff's Department said in a statement this afternoon.

The department said "several items of evidence" were found at the residence, but provided no details beyond the gloves.
I'll admit, I'm watching this thread off and on throughout the day but I've not seen anything about gloves found at the house. A few miles down the road, but not at the Guthrie's house. Which Guthrie house?
 
  • #25,137
I agree that the guy knew that the doorbell camera was active due to the light. But I don't think NG would've opened the door to him or to anyone she couldn't see, especially at that time of night. I think the flowers were a crude attempt to shield his face from the camera while he was disabling it. After dealing with the camera, I'm guessing that he either picked the lock, waited for an accomplice who was already in there to let him in, or maybe went around the back to break in.

JMO

Unless she recognized his voice...

But yeah I don't know. Trying to adequately explain bizarre behavior is pretty futile.
 
  • #25,138
I can’t imagine it’s very likely he would have seen something relevant 5+ miles away. That would be on the complete opposite side of town from me, for example.
Disagree. I think it possible for a vehicle to have been driven a whole 5 miles away from the crime scene.
 
  • #25,139
I'll admit, I'm watching this thread off and on throughout the day but I've not seen anything about gloves found at the house. A few miles down the road, but not at the Guthrie's house. Which Guthrie house?
NG house. The easiest way to find it is to look through the much more manageable Media, Maps, Timeline thread.
 
  • #25,140
Thank you @MassGuy.

Unless LE can pinpoint that NG hand or face blood is from early AM 2/1, then as I've suggested ^, I wonder if that was blood from an everyday bleed for an 84 year old likely on an anti-coagulent (my suspicion per recent pics).

She could have had a bleed that started when she got out of a car in her driveway - maybe caught her hand on something... or maybe her return from her mailbox where she bumped her had.

Then in this scenario, when she stopped at the door to get in (get keys?), she would have dropped a concentration of blood, likely from her hand. IMO.
The article describes the blood spots that look like donuts with a clear center as blood being mixed with air, meaning it came from her nose or her mouth as a bubble. Like the ring/circle that is left when a soap bubble hits the ground - it's not a solid soap ball. Which I think is a kind way of saying it was a bubble of blood and air coming from her lungs out her mouth or nose, not a primary source of a nose or mouth bleed. The droplets that are solid would come from a cut or tissue damage somewhere where it couldn't mix with air before dropping to the ground. The article also states it doesn't appear there was any attempt to stop the bleeding. I have no idea how someone can confidently say the regular non-aerated blood drops were from her hands or face (not mouth or nose) unless they have video of her bleeding from her face or hands. IMO
 

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