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It's difficult to assess how much they would get from the estimated 200 plants. Assuming these were growing indoors, it depends entirely on the amount of light: both it's brightness and square footage. The plants will grow to whatever size uses the available light, ie you can have 50 big plants or 200 smaller plants, they'll produce the same harvest. http://www.growweedeasy.com/how-many-plants-to-grow
As you say, we don't know whether these were only female plants, we also don't know if these were at different stages of growth. We don't know how much money they'd invested in high tech grow lamps. My tendency is to assume, not much.
150 lbs is definitely too high an estimate. Indoor grown plants with just ok lighting (high quality lights are expensive) and no wasted plants might produce (50gx200plants)÷453= 20 lbs (50 grams per plant, see link above )
In comparison, I noticed this statement
https://www.thedailybeast.com/family-massacre-reveals-ohios-massive-illicit-marijuana-business
habitual recreational user might smoke 1/2 lb per year (225 grams, based on a gram of non-daily, shared, use), a heavy user might use a lb per year. So if they were supplying friends and family, that'd be 30 or 40 people, IMO. A pretty large number.
The wholesale price for a lb today in Ohio is $3000.
http://budzu.com/prices/usa/ohio. So if all went well, all the plants went to harvest, they had invested into lights, they had good contacts to sell to, they could make $70,000 over 4 months. Divide between the partners/workers.
This seems correct, since the 38 lb package of, presumably, cheaper California weed sent via the post office was valued at $100,000.
It's a tidy sum for guys who don't look like they lived large. Not exactly cartel-sized earnings though.
Thanks for this analysis! So, does the usual crop turn over every 4 months? Either way, they weren't making a whole lot of money and someone else would be taking a cut of that, esp. if they fronted them the cash to start the operation.
Is the annual volume of that size operation being sold locally, or would the volume be sufficient to make them a regular supplier to a wholesaler who is distributing it elsewhere - to urban areas, etc.? That's why I was asking these questions - to see if their MJ operations put them in contact with big, powerful dealers selling in more than one state.
I'm not thinking as much about the Rhodens' earnings as about who they were working for. How big were the cartels (US or otherwise) they were supplying? Was it some local small time group they were working with or a larger one that had enough at stake to call in a hit if they thought there was a problem? Were the other local grow ops part of the same supply chain, working with the same powerful bosses or were they all free-lancing, eg just growing enough to sell to locals, the local recreation area and some college students down the road? If they were all working for the same bosses who managed much larger volume, could some disagreement among local growers, etc. have resulted in word going up the chain of command to the big bosses to trigger a hit?
Also, the larger and more coordinated the operation (grower to wholesaler to distributor/retailer) the more likely a few LE knew and were helping.
JMO, that's my theory #1 - Rhodens angered someone who was a fellow local MJ supplier who then made up a story (he's talking to feds, etc) and passed it up to the bosses. Bosses developed a hit plan with some assistance or knowledge from crooked LE.
Theory #2, which you all are discussing above, involves harder drugs (opiates, pain meds) moving through some kind of shadowy health service businesses. Jeez, that's a completely different situation. If that were the case, someone else was skimming most of the profits off the top because, again, Rhodens weren't exactly swimming in cash and still experienced a bit of financial insecurity on a routine basis.