2023 Hurricane and Tropical Weather

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical storm Jose forms; could Katia be next? Idalia now a TS and Franklin still a hurricane

We are a little over a week away from the Sept 10 statistical peak of the hurricane season, the tropics are crowded with storms and tropical systems to close August.

www.islandernews.com

On Thursday morning, the National Hurricane Center (NH) in Miami was monitoring new wave of low pressure off the coast of Africa, west of the Cabo Verde Islands, which is getting better organize and the NHC says a tropical depression is likely to form by the weekend as the system moves west-northwestward across the eastern Atlantic.

Should the system become a named storm, it will be called Katia.

Tropical Storm Jose formed Wednesday and is moving north at 7 miles per hour (mph) with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.

As of 5 a.m. Thursday, Jose was located 785 miles ESE of Bermuda. The NHC says Jose’s forward speed is expected to increase for the next day or so before the system is absorbed by Hurricane Franklin.

Hurricane Franklin continues to create life-threatening surf and rip currents along the east coast of the United States and Bermuda as it continues to move ENE at. 15 mph.

As of 5 a.m., Franklin was located 200 miles NNE of Bermuda as a formidable hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 100 mph with higher gusts. The NHC expects Franklin to gradually weaken over the next few days.

 

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical Storm Jose forms as Idalia joins Franklin and 3 more systems in Atlantic

Tropical Storm Idalia heads into the Atlantic joining new Tropical Storm Jose and Hurricane Franklin along with 3 more systems tracked by the National Hurricane Center.

www.orlandosentinel.com

The NHC is tracking two more systems with potential to form into the season’s next tropical depression or storm. The next names on the list after Jose are Katia and Lee.

The more likely of the two is in the eastern tropical Atlantic, an area of low pressure located just west of the Cape Verde Islands with showers and thunderstorms becoming more organized.

 

[PayrollNerd]

This Hurricane Season Is Unprecedented

A very strange climate drove Hurricane Idalia. Scientists can’t predict whether more storms like it are coming.

www.theatlantic.com

This hurricane season has been a weird one, because two opposing trends are driving storm dynamics. The planet is in an El Niño year, a natural, periodic climate phenomenon that tends to suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin.

But we’re also in a very hot year, on track to becoming the warmest on record. Earth’s oceans have been warmer this summer than at any other time in modern history.

We’ve never seen a year quite like this, with its particular mix of extreme ocean temperatures and El Niño conditions—which means no one knew exactly how bad this season’s storms could be.

“We have El Niño pushing us to maybe think that we have a below-normal season, but then the very, very warm tropical Atlantic is pushing us to think maybe there would be an above-normal season,” Allison Wing, a professor of Earth, ocean, and atmospheric science at Florida State University, told me. “For the hurricane season overall, I think we don’t know yet which one wins at the end.”

 

[JerseyGirl]

2023 hurricane season: Idalia, Franklin, Jose, Gert and soon-to-be Katia all churn in active tropical Atlantic

The Atlantic Ocean is bustling with tropical activity as the National Hurricane Center is tracking several disturbances, including four named storms and a fifth coming soon.

www.aol.com

The Atlantic Ocean has transformed into a tropical traffic jam, bustling with activity as the National Hurricane Center is tracking several disturbances, including four named storms and a fifth coming soon.

Tropical Depression 12 just off the western African coast is on the cusp of possibly becoming Tropical Storm Katia, and forecasters are eyeing another future disturbance that is showing signs of developing off western Africa in the coming days.

 

[RichardKimble]

Franklin is pushing the jet stream north of the UK to allow some fine weather, its been a wet and miserable July and August.

Weather for the week ahead

Dry and warm weather to start September, but how long will it last? Ben Rich has the details.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[PayrollNerd]

Hopefully just another fish spinner.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEAN

Current Storm Information | Tropical Tidbits

The latest information on active storms in the Atlantic Ocean

www.tropicaltidbits.com

 

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical Storm Katia forms, Idalia hits Bermuda while new system could target Caribbean

ORLANDO, Fla. — What had been Hurricane Idalia continued its assault as a post-tropical system on Bermuda on Saturday while the hurricane season got its 11th named storm with the formation of Tropical Storm Katia. But the National Hurricane Center also upped the odds for what could be the 12th...

news.yahoo.com

Of biggest concern is a new potential tropical system expected to form from a tropical wave coming off the west coast of Africa.

In its 2 p.m. tropical outlook, the NHC said the system was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands.
Its path shows it potentially hitting the Leeward Islands by next weekend.

The NHC gives it a 20% chance to form in the next two days and 70% chance in the next seven.

If it were to gain named-storm status, it could become Tropical Storm Lee.

 

[PayrollNerd]

MSN

A tropical disturbance swirling off the western Africa coast has developed enough to be designated as Invest 95L.....

"The disturbance has lots of runway to organize into a mature tropical storm or hurricane on its track to the general vicinity of the northeastern Caribbean islands next week,".....

 

[HmmMysterious]

MSN

A tropical disturbance swirling off the western Africa coast has developed enough to be designated as Invest 95L.....

"The disturbance has lots of runway to organize into a mature tropical storm or hurricane on its track to the general vicinity of the northeastern Caribbean islands next week,".....

Well...hello Lee

 

[PayrollNerd]

Well...hello Lee

Yup, and I think Lee has the east coast of the US written all over him. JMO

 

[Puzzles8]

MSN

A tropical disturbance swirling off the western Africa coast has developed enough to be designated as Invest 95L.....

"The disturbance has lots of runway to organize into a mature tropical storm or hurricane on its track to the general vicinity of the northeastern Caribbean islands next week,".....

I really don't like the way Lee is tracking.....

 

[lonetraveler]

I really don't like the way Lee is tracking.....

Me either.

 

[lonetraveler]

Yup, and I think Lee has the east coast of the US written all over him. JMO

Unfortunately me too.

 

[PayrollNerd]

Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

 

[PayrollNerd]

MSN

The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on a disturbance that has a 90% chance of formation and will likely become Tropical Storm Lee.

Forecasters believe a tropical depression or tropical storm could form in the next day or so as the system moves toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph.

 

[JerseyGirl]

I set up a thread for Lee:

Tropical Storm Lee, Sept 2023

https://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2023&storm=13 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/051456.shtml BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132023 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2023 ...NEW TROPICAL...

www.websleuths.com

 

[HmmMysterious]

From the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Center

...JOVA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC...

9:00 PM MDT Wed Sep 6
Location: 15.7°N 113.0°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 929 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph

And the forecast discussion predicts Jova will strengthen even more, up to having winds of 175 mph

Look how big Jova is

 

[Anthony96]

Is that moving to the northeast

 

[HmmMysterious]

Is that moving to the northeast

West north-west actually and away from land

 

[PayrollNerd]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN