Mistakes? Dunning-Kruger Effect?
@x_files Thanks for your post. Agreeing w ^.
Using the three ways "things go wrong" listed below,* I'm trying to decide where his most critical mistake was:
- ignoring bad odds,
- taking unnecessary risks, or
- failing to prepare for contingencies.
Maybe boo-boos in all three categories?
Thoughts, anyone, everyone?
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* "... cognitive bias[2] whereby people with low ability, expertise, or experience regarding a type of task or area of knowledge tend to overestimate their ability or knowledge.
"Not all accounts of the Dunning–Kruger effect focus on its negative sides. Some also concentrate on its positive sides, e.g. that ignorance is sometimes bliss....To distinguish the negative from the positive sides, two important phases have been suggested to be relevant for realizing a goal: preparatory planning and the execution of the plan.... overconfidence may be beneficial in the execution phase by increasing motivation and energy. But it can be detrimental in the planning phase since the agent may ignore bad odds, take unnecessary risks, or fail to prepare for contingencies."
^
Dunning–Kruger effect - Wikipedia