spiritualdreaming
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How factual is the info that was reported in MSM, that it was a surprise visit to Grandma's?
The more I read the more I think it is misadventure and he just hasn't been found yet. I don't think the Speddings or his family are involved in his disappearance as there are too many reasons why it couldn't have been planned.
I don't think the child in that pic is him most of them are much older than WT would have been, he is a baby.
When I see those aerial views, I can completely understand why no neighbours saw anything at all. I'm almost back at my original scenario, I believe William was missing for more than five minutes, what if it was really twenty minutes, and no searcher happened to go in the direction he went immediately, everything soon increases exponentially, the fact that the children
n were playing hide and seek also means he may have kept quiet, or wandered further. This and the fact that three year olds seem very attracted to water makes me think he has simply been missed.
I'm not putting much weight on the lack of scent the dogs found, the more you read about these dogs, the less an exact science it seems to be.
I cant see any way this was a planned abduction, the odds weren't great that William would ever be alone that weekend, if the current person of interest is cleared I'm back to misadventure.
Panda, all very good points you've raised and misadventure is still very much on the table IMO.<modsnip> Suffice to say that each scenario I've looked at has one or two sticking points that just don't make sense. But then again the disappearance of Daniel Morcombe, Zarah Baker, Kiesha Weippeart (to name but a few) didn't make sense at the time either.
Abductions of children his age are predominantly accidental - for example, they are in a vehicle which has been stolen, or they are taken because of domestic disputes, i.e. a father, mother or girlfriend, boyfriend (which, due to lack of any information is hard to assess). The third group are random abductions. The usual scenario are children taken during the early hours of the morning (2am say), whereby the perpetrator gains access through a bedroom window for sample. The other scenario is opportunistic whereby children are taken during the day at places such as beaches, play areas, pre-schools, etc.
Children who wander off, are quite common in this age group. Interestingly, a lot children in this age group who wander off seem to be in the care of grandparents, and/or in an unfamiliar house, though some do wander off from their own homes. They tend to wander anywhere up to a few miles, though most are found either dead or alive, within a radius of about a mile. Quite a few wander into wooded areas, and a disturbing amount are found drowned, in creeks, dams and the like. There have been a number of cases of children of this age group who wander from their homes with the family dog, or following stray animals. There was a case of a Russian girl who was around 3 1/2, who wandered off with the family dog, to be found over 3 miles from her home. Another Polish child of a similar age was found several kilometres from his home. In both these instances, the family dog actually kept them alive, providing warmth, and aided in them being located. There have been cases of children of this age being found in abandoned houses, and other such obscure places, such as the boot of a car.
I know they made fantastic efforts to try and locate William, but looking at some of the search pictures, where the SES were waist high in bush, if he was incapacitate in the bush, he would be very difficult to find. It is also unfortunate that the search scene was contaminated, making it very difficult for the search dogs to reliably pick up and follow his scent. Given the nature of the bush, the tracker would also have had his work cut out, so I'm not surprised he was unable to make any headway - if indeed he did wander into the bush.
Unless Mr Spedding knew William would definitely be at his grandmothers at that precise time, I find that scenario a bit precarious, to say the least. If it was a pedophile type predator, unless he had prior knowledge of William specifically being at his grandmother's, I personally find that precarious also. There are a lot easier and less risky scenarios for dedicated pedophiles to obtain children, than randomly picking on a middle class house in a suburban area, during the day.
Another consideration is the actual timeframe when it was realised William had gone missing. Unfortunately, people usually have a very distorted perception of time. What seems like 5 minutes, could in fact be 15 minutes. People don't intend to distort this information - they may believe it is correct. However, when multi tasking, for example, it is very easy to lose track of time and give an inaccurate account.
Unless there is further information available or evidence to the contrary, I'm more inclined to think he's probably come to a misadventure, in which case, he may not be found for quite some time.
I'm pretty sure someone at one point mentioned a tracker (Jake) heading up to kendall to join the search for William, but this is the first time I've read about this 'camp' site Jake found up there..."We got deep into a rainforest and we found a campsite out there where someone has been camping and leaving some supplies....So we're going to go and suss around that area and see who's doing that..."
has anyone heard more about this? I might have a chat with him and see what he really saw?
http://www.abc.net.au/local/stories/2014/09/16/4088629.htm
I'd be interested to know who is in this pedo ring that was uncovered in the area (that was spoken about up-thread somewhere), and if a neighbourhood person was known or suspected to be in it, and if Spedding was also known or suspected to be in it. (Hence, perhaps, the very early involvement of the Sex Crimes squad.)
Then I could see this being a collusive and opportunistic or not-so-opportunistic abduction.
These pedos are not always dirty old/young men that hide out by themselves. Unfortunately they are also married men, the nice neighbour across the way, coaches, teachers, priests, and on and on .....
^THIS^
There is no way that campsite was not followed up on. If Jake stopped posting on Facebook, he must have been instructed by LE.
Does anyone know the time the photo on the back porch was taken? He's not wearing shoes. Jake asked about shoes. They wouldn't let him run around the yard without shoes, would they?
Here in the northern hemisphere, southern exposure has sunlight most of the day, while the north side of a house will always be in shadow. Is it just the reverse in Australia?
If anyone else is metrically challenged, the temps that day were between 60 and 75F. IMO It was a chilly morning.
All that's been reported is that the photo was taken within an hour of his disappearance.^THIS^
There is no way that campsite was not followed up on. If Jake stopped posting on Facebook, he must have been instructed by LE.
Does anyone know the time the photo on the back porch was taken? He's not wearing shoes. Jake asked about shoes. They wouldn't let him run around the yard without shoes, would they?
Here in the northern hemisphere, southern exposure has sunlight most of the day, while the north side of a house will always be in shadow. Is it just the reverse in Australia?
If anyone else is metrically challenged, the temps that day were between 60 and 75F. IMO It was a chilly morning.
I keep coming back to the idea that Wlliam's body could just be out there trapped in bushes... But surely the cadaver dogs would have picked up on his scent after he expired, if that were the case.I know they made fantastic efforts to try and locate William, but looking at some of the search pictures, where the SES were waist high in bush, if he was incapacitate in the bush, he would be very difficult to find. It is also unfortunate that the search scene was contaminated, making it very difficult for the search dogs to reliably pick up and follow his scent. Given the nature of the bush, the tracker would also have had his work cut out, so I'm not surprised he was unable to make any headway - if indeed he did wander into the bush.
Correct.Here in the northern hemisphere, southern exposure has sunlight most of the day, while the north side of a house will always be in shadow. Is it just the reverse in Australia?