@otto -- do you agree that this is a crime of opportunity? In Thread No. 25 you mentioned another case, perhaps Delphi, in which the perp left "clues" to misguide LE. Aren't we perhaps seeing the same thing here? Did the perp do enough research that he led LE straight to a man with a criminal record for the same thing, thereby wasting precious time? Would that kind of preparation also indicate he stalks his victims, knows exactly who the next will be? Is this possible?
Absolutely a crime of opportunity. I mentioned the Evansdale cousins abduction and murder, where the abductor left the girls' bikes, cell phone and purse at a secluded location next to Meyers Lake. Police spent a lot of time looking around the lake for the girls. Months later, the girls were found by chance 20 miles North of Evansdale. The abductor left evidence that misled police.
In this case, we see police spending a lot of time looking in the Guernsey area, but I doubt that Mollie is in that location. At the same time, we know that a "ping" of some sort led them to that area. That could well be a similar evidence trail intended to milead police.
Regarding one farmer in the Guernsey area, when social media learned about the Guernsey area searches, they zeroed in on one person who had a run-ins with police. Everyone else in the area who owns land and farms that were searched has been ignored. I think it's a coincidence that police are searching an area where one person has some legal issues.