Thank you for reposting your thoughts! I posted similar waaaay back but now that the video is out it's good to revisit both the criminal charge and the civil case.
I'll add that since the civil suit is brought in Miami if it doesn't settle and actually goes to trial there's a small chance that a jury will award the family something simply out of sympathy. Most people aren't following the cases as closely as we are and a jury will depend upon what's presented. And as we all know, juries can be unpredictable!
There's also a small chance that RCCL will be found a percentage liable and IMO a larger chance that SA will also be found a large percentage liable. At this point with what I know I'd not award a penny to this family but who knows what a Miami jury would do? Watching a good copy of the video may very well swing things though. I hope so as I strongly feel that no one should be rewarded for acting like a jackass. I feel the same about people who get drunk and fall overboard. We're adults for goodness sakes and responsible for our own actions. MOO.
Actually there's still very little chance, even with it being a "Florida jury" because, again, precedence.
In the case of Nathan Skokan the claims were that RC was negligent in allowing him to drink to much, and that they took too long in starting rescue procedures once he witnessed and reported overboard. It was admitted that a key step in the rescue was skipped, and it took 2 hours for them to get a rescue boat in the water. Jury still found RC not at fault https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/tourism-cruises/article223203335.html
Perhaps more applicable to SA's actions, the case of Samantha Broberg Carnival was found not at fault after a highly intoxicated woman went back to her room, moved the balcony furniture so that she could climb up and sit on the balcony rail and then fell off. This one the family tried to claim violations of regulations but judge dismissed those claims before trial (which I imagine same will happen here) which boiled everything down to "you should have known this would happen". https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/tourism-cruises/article223914815.html
That's just two cases, and there are dozens, if not hundreds and they will all be cited as precedence in RC's defense. Not to mention the video footage, and whatever outcome of the criminal trial. There is pretty much no way the wiegands can get a majority vote from a jury