There is no credible source for any of the information the public has been given, other than HB is missing. The only reason we know what some of the interests HB has are because of a youtube video and pictures. Too many versions of her disappearance to make heads or tails of it all. This case is like one of those books where you pick your own path and end up with any number of possible outcomes.Yeah all we have to go on is what little has been disclosed but what we can also tell from the few friends and locals who have spoken up or shown their support for Holly.
To get that much community support so fast and for so long (3 months in and going strong) she seems to have been a really nice, good, person. Lots of times when people vanish or die all the skeletons come out of the closet but nothing here.
The ex b/f rumor was big but I don't believe it for a few reasons. One things like injunctions are public record and no one has ever turned one up. If Holly was a good girl with decent friends the chance of her having this supposed abusive b/f are much less. No one with any credibility has mentioned such a person either. Its not like Brittnee Drexel's mom who has called out people in her daughter's life for being involved.
I doubt she was snatched totally at random like Jaycee Dugard. You couldn't see Holly from the road to know she was in her front yard. Someone had to know she was there and had to know where to hide to get her and where to hide a get away car. To me a total stranger would make it a crime of opportunity. If someone knew her enough to find her house, get to know her schedule etc then its probably someone who had some knowledge of Holly in the first place. Like a friend of a friend, etc. Could be the bag boy at the local grocery, the guy that cleans stables where she rides, etc. Someone that knows Holly but who she may just be familiar with visually.
Not knowing what direction Clint saw Holly walking away really makes it hard to say what could have happened next. The house has woods in all directiosn around it, but some are thicker, some are thinner, some are deep and some you could hide a car behind easily. Depending on what direction they went, there could be a vehicle within a matter of feet.
Theres mixed messages about where LE thinks she is. Its been said this was local and shes still in the area or state, but then pictures of her are put on long range trucks working out of the area. Thats contradictory.
You mentioned her friends and locals have shown up to search and spoken up on her behalf. Yes, that is true. They showed up in droves to search but have not said anything at all really. IMO it feels more like they are smiling and waving at anybody that is not a local. What have they said about her? Not much, even the family has been sequestered and seemingly forced to read from a script. In fact, the only friend I have seen even make a peep toward the media is a friend from her church, and the media clip she is in is almost 3 months after the disappearance.
Also, is it possible a restraining order happened when they were under 18 years old and there is no paper trail? Even if not, I do not think it is much of a stretch to assume HB was having issues with a past boyfriend, it has come up to many times from "unreliable" sources to not have any consideration.
In regard to LE thinking it is a local and the recent decals on trucks campaign to spread awareness across the country being contradictory, I would say that the Bobo family and friends are doing this on their own, I do not think the TBI has any part of it, so you probably cannot attribute these decals giving any clues as to what the TBI thinks.