2020 Hurricane Season Starting Early, "High Activity" Expected This Year

[PayrollNerd]

The Gulf storm may just be a rainmaker but flooding is going to be an issue.

Central Florida Hurricane Center 2020 - 25 Years Tracking Storms
11AM Update 22 July 2020
SEVEN is rapidly organizing and has become the earliest seventh named storm in the Atlantic on record, besting even 2005's Gert by two days. Gonzalo is a small, compact and well organized system, and as such, may continue to intensify counter to the global models, which all but missed this cyclone entirely. In fact, NHC now calls for further strengthening and for the cyclone to become a hurricane prior to reaching the Windward Islands.

Elsewhere, recon will be flying Invest 91L in the Gulf of Mexico today, which should help with its forecast. As it stands, the disturbance has about even odds of becoming a named storm prior to impacting the western Gulf. Interests especially from Louisiana to Texas may want to pay close attention to this one, as it could be a prolific rain/flood maker.

 

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical Storm Gonzalo becomes earliest Atlantic 'G' storm on record

The previous record for the earliest 'G' storm, or seventh storm of the season, was July 24, 2005.

2005 was the most active Atlantic hurricane season in recorded history with 31 named systems including a record 15 hurricanes. These storms caused an estimated $171 billion in damage. The bulk of the damage was caused by Hurricane Katrina.

 

[PayrollNerd]

Tropical Tidbits

 

[PayrollNerd]

I heard from my oldest last night. The research vessel anchored north of Cedar Key, FL and will remain there today. The vessel is 90’ in length and there were 6-7’ waves. A few scary moments she said.

Tropical Tidbits
Tropical Depression Eight has formed in the Gulf of Mexico, and has a healthy central mass of thunderstorms this morning. Its appearance remains ragged, an indication of its still broad and weak nature. TD8 will strengthen, but this will likely be slow to occur at first. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the Texas coastline due to the potential wind impacts. However, the greatest impact will likely be heavy rain and potential flooding, as TD8 will be moving rather slowly at landfall, which is expected to be sometime on Saturday. We'll be watching this one very closely over the next 2 days.

 

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical Tidbits
Tropical Depression Eight has formed in the Gulf of Mexico, and has a healthy central mass of thunderstorms this morning. Its appearance remains ragged, an indication of its still broad and weak nature. TD8 will strengthen, but this will likely be slow to occur at first. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the Texas coastline due to the potential wind impacts. However, the greatest impact will likely be heavy rain and potential flooding, as TD8 will be moving rather slowly at landfall, which is expected to be sometime on Saturday. We'll be watching this one very closely over the next 2 days.

#8 ALREADY!??!?!?!?!?!

I had to go back and look and see that G is 7.

If 8 turns to storm, her name is Hanna.

 

[oviedo]

#8 ALREADY!??!?!?!?!?!

I had to go back and look and see that G is 7.

If 8 turns to storm, her name is Hanna.

Just what we need now - not - I don't know if I should keep my freezer full for COVID or empty for hurricane season.

 

[JerseyGirl]

Tropical Storm Hanna forms, heading for the Texas coast

Tropical Depression Eight strengthened into Tropical Storm Hanna just before 10pm Thursday night, becoming the record earliest "H" storm in the Atlantic Hurricane Season.

 

[PayrollNerd]

flhurricane's post of NHC 2pm advisory for Tropical Storm Hanna

TS Hanna Spotlight (2020) - FLHurricane.com

 

[PayrollNerd]

Stay safe those of you in TX!!

Flhurricane.com

Hanna is now forecast to be a Hurricane at landfall, and Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings have been issued for portions of the south Texas Coast. With the core appearing better on radar. If you are in the warning area, please be mindful of local media and officials.

On the flipside, Gonzalo is no longer forecast to become a hurricane, and all the hurricane watches have been replaced with tropical Storm warnings.

A Hurricane Warning has been issued from Baffin Bay northward to Mesquite Bay, Texas.

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from Baffin Bay to Sargent, Texas, including Corpus Christi Bay, Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay and Matagorda Bay.

Key Messages

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge along the Texas
coast from Baffin Bay to Sargent, where a Storm Surge Warning is in
effect. Residents in these locations should follow advice given by
local emergency officials.

2. Hurricane conditions are expected along the Texas coast from
Baffin Bay to Mesquite Bay, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast
within the warning area Saturday morning.

3. Hanna is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of
southern Texas and northeastern Mexico. These rains could result in
life-threatening flash flooding and isolated minor to moderate river
flooding.

 

[PayrollNerd]

Hang on Hawaii!

 

[JerseyGirl]

Hurricane Hanna batters COVID-hit Texas coast

 

[PayrollNerd]

I hope they’re right and that massive storm, 92L, that just came off the coast of Africa, turns into a fish spinner!!

Flhurricane.com

Hanna is back down to a Tropical Storm as it just moved into Mexico after going through South Texas after a landfall yesterday around 5PM CDT ON an uninhabited part of Padre Island. Surge was seen north of it along parts of the coast near Corpus Christi as well.

92L In the East Atlantic is one to watch next, now with a 90% chance for development. Those in the Northeastern Caribbean islands should monitor it pretty closely. Beyond that it depends on how well organized it gets, climatology generally favors it recurving out to sea, but if it remains weak it could slip further west. At this point it's too early to tell, especially since nothing has developed yet. But we'll be monitoring it over the next week or two. General timeframes: For those in the Northeastern Caribbean, the closest approach would be this Thursday. If it were to make it closer to us in Florida, it would be in the middle of the first week of August, but odds are it stays away. This is the time of year to watch these closely, however.

 

[PayrollNerd]

Stay safe Hawaii!

Tropical Tidbits

The overnight recon flight into Hurricane #Douglas found the central pressure gradually rising, which indicates weakening, but max winds on the north side remain high at ~90 mph. Direct impacts are likely in #Hawaii later today, where hurricane warnings are in effect. It is possible that Douglas could make landfall in Oahu or Kauai, but even if it doesn't, life-threatening impacts from high surf, flash flooding, and strong winds are likely to occur. Be prepared and stay safe. We'll be tracking the wobbles in how Douglas moves very closely over the course of the day.

 

[mickey2942]

Hurricane Hanna batters COVID-hit Texas coast

The real danger here are the rain bands, if the storm just keeps circling the flooding will be catastrophic.

Hanna has been downgraded to a Tropical storm, which can still be a problem with the excess rain.

 

[JerseyGirl]

I set up a new thread for Hurricane Isaias, once #10 forms (letter J) we will continue here with J:

Hurricane Isaias - July 2020

 

[JerseyGirl]

New Tropical Depression or Storm Could Form in the Atlantic This Week | The Weather Channel

This latest disturbance is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. It's been dubbed Invest 95L by the National Hurricane Center.

Josephine will be the name given to the next Atlantic tropical storm that forms. If Invest 95L or another future system gains this name before Aug. 22, then the Atlantic would have its earliest-forming "J" storm on record.

 

[PayrollNerd]

Let’s hope this fizzles or turns into a fish spinner.

Flhurricane.com

The area well east of the Caribbean now has a 90% chance for development, and advisories could start on it later today. This area, tracked as Invest 95L, may develop. It may come close to the islands, but conditions generally aren't favorable for it ahead.

800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

First-light visible satellite imagery shows that a better-defined
center of circulation is forming in association with a low pressure
system located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm
activity has become more organized since yesterday. Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for additional
development, and advisories could be initiated on a tropical
depression as early as later today if these development trends
continue. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward
at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next few
days, and conditions are expected to become less conducive for
development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

 

[JerseyGirl]

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook today due to the presence of Invest 95L 2020 that will likely form into a tropical cyclone over the Atlantic Ocean.

NHC forecasters say that environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for additional development, and advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression as early as later today if these development trends continue.

NOAA: Invest 95L 2020 Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

 

[enelram]

WFTV Orlando meteorologist yesterday predicted September will be a very, very busy hurricane month.
Stay tuned folks and thanks for keeping us updated.

 

[lonetraveler]

WFTV Orlando meteorologist yesterday predicted September will be a very, very busy hurricane month.
Stay tuned folks and thanks for keeping us updated.

Wow, I'm still cleaning up debris from Isiais.