• #25,801
Border Patrol was circling mountain tops in that general area last night....
Who knows???? Seems like an odd place due to the elevation and that it's winter but what do I know?

So, the army helicopter in Tucson could be doing border patrol duty near Tucson because the obviously doing it in the Laredo sector.



The US Army was circling areas near Laredo last night and they're at it again tongiht and with this flight path, I'm 99% sure they're doing border surveilance.

View attachment 644410

View attachment 644411
I'm seeing at least 4 separate US Army helicopters on there now that are all circling mountains/canyons/mines/playas around Tucson in all directions, not border patrol labeled and not near the border. Looks interesting for sure. I added a couple more posts on it after my original.

EDIT: For example this one has been circling various mountains/mines north of Tucson for at least the past hour and has currently circled here 5+ times (there are no roads/homes/businesses). If anything, I hope they ARE searching for NG, as they should be. Interesting that it's after dark though.

1770955735304.webp
 
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  • #25,802
The military helicopters could be training. I live a few hours from Fort Rucker and close to Fort Benning. Fort Rucker almost always has training helicopters in the area. Just my opinion based on life experience
 
  • #25,803
Something went wrong, and those individuals (I do believe more than one) took the body to hide evidence. Perhaps one of the perpetrators assaulted her in a way that would have caused her to have dna on her and they were savvy enough to realize it, and thought it was easier to take the body.
Very good perspective overall, but this particular part I did not even think of, very possible if it was a robbery gone bad. A few things have been bothering me as I have been thinking about this case. LE has not shared much about what happened, or what they think has happened inside. They have every right not to tell us anything, but so many people think it is a robbery gone wrong, and to your point, maybe something happened and they had to take her. So if it was a robbery they should tell us if there are things missing, tell us to be on the lookout for something. It may help crack the case.

With all of that being said, the fact that not only are they not mentioning things that are missing, they are clearly stating that her phone, watch and personal belongings were left behind, which tells me that they went there to kidnap her and that is what they did, and that is why they are not treating the crime scene as a robbery.
 
  • #25,804
So let's just say the person(s) who drove her home and maybe walked her inside (although LE would have some record of this, no?), and some argument then accident occurred, person panicked. They left the house pretending all was well, went about their business, then middle of the night dressed up and came back to the house to remove the body because they believed the body contained some kind of evidence of their involvement in the crime. Certainly possible. I think unlikely. Unless both of the parties to the earlier evening events were involved, one or the other would be questioning the other's activities by now, right?
SBM. This is one of the theories I've been operating under since LE started spending so much time in AG/TCs neighborhood. Searching, talking to neighbors, asking for video. I think they're trying to pinpoint the movement of cars that night. There's a reason they are so hyper focused on that street and the roads in between. There's also a reason they alerted AB so early. There's something wrong with the initial story. As for why you would move a body? You were the last one to see that person and the first one LE is going to come looking for. People kill their spouses at home all the time and remove their bodies and claim they've "gone missing". We've seen that a hundred times. IMO
 
  • #25,805
Google Trends and Google Analytics are not the same thing. Google Analytics is not relevant here (it can't be used for this). People are using Google Trends, which is designed to show how the popularity of common search terms varies over time. To my knowledge (MOO, possibly out of date information disclaimers apply), it operates on a sample of search data rather than all data. For example (completely making up the number here), they might decide that they only need to look at 1% of search data to generate trends, because any sufficiently popular search term will still be in those millions of searches, in the right proportions compared to other popular search terms. But if you have an uncommon search term, it's possible or even likely that it won't show up at all in that 1% slice. And maybe it does show in the next 1% slice and it looks like suddenly there's a spike in traffic, when it was roughly the same.

I would not expect the problem to be that it shows searches that didn't happen. I expect that it will miss searches that did happen, but potentially inconsistently, which can show up as spikes and valleys that don't actually exist.

It's also possible that some search term normalization happens (things like spell correction, clustering of similar search terms, etc.) which might cause searches to show up in a trend when you might not expect them to.

Finally, the geolocation stuff is really iffy at small numbers. If all of the searches in that "spike" come from one user who happens to be using a VPN, it's going to be way wrong. This effect generally will cancel out on a common search term with millions of searches.

Bottom line really, without needing to know any technical details of how this works, is that it's not what Google Trends was designed for. Just like any other time we're using something in a way other than what it was designed for, the results might not be what we hope.

JMO, based on a combination of experience, knowledge, and educated guesses. There may be mistakes here. Trust at your own risk.
Incredible answer! Makes sense, thanks for taking the time to explain that.
 
  • #25,806
Dbm
 
  • #25,807
Woefully behind, but I did have a comment. I feel very differently about the FBI and its abilities now than I did in the not so distant past. Perhaps, there was actual reasons behind these decisions, and perhaps, all the negative “leaks” about the Sheriff are being promoted by an overly self-promoting and not so trustworthy current FBI
Exactly.
 
  • #25,808
  • #25,809
Quoting myself: “When I think foot of the bed I think a bench. How many people have a dresser 3 or more feet away from the foot of the bed”?

How many women who wear Apple Watches charge the watch on the dresser near other jewelry? Nightstand top is cramped up with lamp, cellphone, landline, book, glass of water etc.. Foot of the bed is odd to me because I can’t see anyone using a bench to charge electronics? What else could be at the foot of the bed beside a dresser? If it was a dresser where NG charged her phone why say foot of the bed?
Maybe an end table near a chair at foot of bed or since she lives alone or even a chair/recliner where she watches tv with a charging port built in. Her bedroom set up might be different than what is considered “standard”. MOO
 
  • #25,810
Michael Ruiz (we've seen a million of his tweets) being interviewed right now:

Despite the friction, there's real progress here.

Talking about how the doorbell camera footage being recovered has possibly never been done before.

Also discussing the inconsistency with the sheriff saying he called the FBI, and then saying seconds later that he didn't even have to call them, because they called him.

Former FBI agent talking about how that Florida lab wouldn't have access to CODIS, which will cause a delay once that DNA is processed.

Talking about a glove being found INSIDE the house. I'm not taking this as fact as this point, because of the other gloves that have been found.

Former LE officer talks about how they obviously have evidence if they're able to quickly clear a potential suspect, like we saw with that DoorDash driver.
 
  • #25,811
  • #25,812
Maybe an end table near a chair at foot of bed or since she lives alone or even a chair/recliner where she watches tv with a charging port built in. Her bedroom set up might be different than what is considered “standard”. MOO
a bench, a footstool, a trunk a table with TV etc. Without context, it is hard to know what is meant by that, it could be something totally reasonable if we saw it or more peculiar, imo.
 
  • #25,813
Google Trends and Google Analytics are not the same thing. Google Analytics is not relevant here (it can't be used for this). People are using Google Trends, which is designed to show how the popularity of common search terms varies over time. To my knowledge (MOO, possibly out of date information disclaimers apply), it operates on a sample of search traffic rather than all traffic. For example (completely making up the number here), they might decide that they only need to look at 1% of search traffic to generate trends, because any sufficiently popular search term will still be in those millions of searches, in the right proportions compared to other popular search terms. But if you have an uncommon search term, it's possible or even likely that it won't show up at all in that 1% slice. And maybe it does show in the next 1% slice and it looks like suddenly there's a spike in traffic, when it was roughly the same.

I would not expect the problem to be that it shows searches that didn't happen. I expect that it will miss searches that did happen, but potentially inconsistently, which can show up as spikes and valleys that don't actually exist.

It's also possible that some search term normalization happens (things like spell correction, clustering of similar search terms, etc.) which might cause searches to show up in a trend when you might not expect them to.

Finally, the geolocation stuff is really iffy at small numbers. If all of the searches in that "spike" come from one user who happens to be using a VPN, it's going to be way wrong. This effect generally will cancel out on a common search term with millions of searches.

Bottom line really, without needing to know any technical details of how this works, is that it's not what Google Trends was designed for. Just like any other time we're using something in a way other than what it was designed for, the results might not be what we hope.

JMO, based on a combination of experience, knowledge, and educated guesses. There may be mistakes here. Trust at your own risk.
Thank you for taking the time to respond with such helpful detail!

I wonder if something as simple as SG and NG being clustered together could be a partial explanation for the spikes showing for NG. I'd find it much less surprising for there to be spikes in searches for SG than NG.
 
  • #25,814
Savannah did a whole show ( or series?) about her mother and her life growing up in Tucson.
It was in Nov 2025, so only a couple of months ago. Just an idea why people would research her.

JMO
Very interesting that SG recently - just a few months ago - did a whole show about NG and her life growing up in Tucson. Seems people might research her, just on the basis of that show or series. Also, if somebody wanted to get to SG, it would be clear that she was quite close with NG and that could have set something in motion.

MOO
 
  • #25,815
I 've read hundreds of posts on X , where one {group} says she deserves all of this . I was flabbergasted , yet not .
What evil times we live in.
BRING NANCY HOME !!
I have done searches on the name GUTHRIE on X/Twitter and have been dismayed by what I've seen. In the so-called old days of Twitter you could search a name or word and then ask for results from verified accounts. Back then the verified accounts were mostly all news accounts. Unfortunately, everything comes up in a search and you can't drill down on actual news versus what I can only personify as hate posts. Usually I just exit the search because it's not worth the agita.

MOO/JMO
 
  • #25,816
“The FBI asked Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos for physical evidence in the case, including a glove and DNA from the home of 84-year-old Nancy Guthrie, to be processed at the FBI's national crime laboratory in Quantico, Virginia, but Nanos has insisted instead on using a private lab in Florida," the official said.

According to the source, the FBI will likely need to re-test the evidence themselves
Why? If this is a well regarded lab?
 
  • #25,817
The military helicopters could be training. I live a few hours from Fort Rucker and close to Fort Benning. Fort Rucker almost always has training helicopters in the area. Just my opinion based on life experience
I'm too far behind to contribute much, but there's a subreddit for FlightRadar24 that usually has answers to weird military flight paths. Probably not an approved source, per se, but they seem to know what's going on/what's otherwise unexplained by normal military exercises.

MOO
 
  • #25,818
SBM. This is one of the theories I've been operating under since LE started spending so much time in AG/TCs neighborhood. Searching, talking to neighbors, asking for video. I think they're trying to pinpoint the movement of cars that night. There's a reason they are so hyper focused on that street and the roads in between. There's also a reason they alerted AB so early. There's something wrong with the initial story. As for why you would move a body? You were the last one to see that person and the first one LE is going to come looking for. People kill their spouses at home all the time and remove their bodies and claim they've "gone missing". We've seen that a hundred times. IMO
I think you are likely correct in thinking there was likely some inconsistency in the initial story. Enough to raise suspicion but so far haven’t been able to piece it together.
 
  • #25,819
I don't think anybody here is going to have conclusive info, but a few points to keep in mind:
  1. NG was on the Today show with SG in November, so millions of people saw her and learned about her there. It's not surprising if some wanted to learn more.
  2. There is an author with the same name who probably gets some search traffic.
  3. Geolocating the person doing a search query is inexact at the best times, and can be totally off if they are using a VPN or other privacy-protection measures.
  4. As I mentioned earlier, Google Trends is not accurate for exact counts of searches, or for information about low-volume searches. Its intended purpose is for showing trends in popularity of relatively common/popular search terms. I would be cautious about drawing conclusions from data about uncommon searches (especially things like "there were no searches before date X, and suddenly people are searching it!")
JMO, YMMV, MOO, IMHO, all the things
Yeah, I got the impression it was more of a marketing strategy tool when I took it for a spin this afternoon.
 
  • #25,820
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