• #23,201
I'm not falling for the black glove, maybe just me .
Doesn't look like the same type glove.
The one the perp is wearing looks more rubbery and thicker,
We have that same type and they are for bar-B-Q ing.
They are thick black rubber with a white cotton type lining.
So , no, too much coming in at once .
Nancys home should have NEVER been released as a crime scene, from DAY 1.
We shouldn't really even know about a random glove they found, before any examination or testing. Now it's a whole thing and it shouldn't be, if you ask me. There is going to be tons of random crap outside on the side of the roads. I'm not saying they won't find anything. But this little glove on the side of a road should not be national news. That's a lot of pressure for a piece of trash.
 
  • #23,202
If it was solely for murder, why did they go to the trouble to remove the body. Even Jon Benet was left in the house. JMO

More of a chance of getting away with it. Less evidence. Easier disposal environment. Life insurance confusion. In this case the perp or perps eventually had to leave the home. JB's killer never had to leave.
 
  • #23,203
  • #23,204
That the criminal brought something with him to uses/supplies he thought might be needed for some purpose. That is what I would think a backpack with items means.

Yeah, we call it a "kit".

Backpack, with zip ties, duct tape, tarp, plastic sheeting, gag, etc.
 
  • #23,205
Still the question - what would Occam's razor say about the backpack that looks loaded BEFORE going into the house? (ignoring anything about SIL - question is just about the backpack).

Sincere question, btw.
That either they needed a bunch of materials in the house for some reason (that apparently didn’t even include tape that could cover a camera lens), or they needed it to look like what everyone would imagine a ruthless kidnapper would look like.

JMO
 
  • #23,206
Snipped: TMZ said it received a new note Wednesday in connection with the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie. The note doesn’t appear to be from the kidnapper, but rather from someone offering information that could lead to the kidnapper
“If they want the name of the individual involved, then I want 1 Bitcoin to the following wallet,” the note reads, according to TMZ, which forwarded the note to the FBI. “Time is more than relevant.
Snipped: One bitcoin is currently worth about $66,000

Not sure if this was mentioned, I tried to look back and didn't see anything.
 
  • #23,207
Occam's razor can point toward a simple explanation like ransom/kidnapping if there are real ransom demands and credible evidence. Occam's razor doesn't mean "it's ransom" it means the explanation requiring the fewest assumptions is more likely.

If these things are true:
The family publicly acknowledges ransom demands, they publicly say they will pay, there are credible reports that ransom notes/messages were sent, there is video of a suspect/abduction:

Then (right now) Occam's razor would favor the ransom kidnapping as the simplest explanation.
 
  • #23,208
  • #23,209
thank you...i don't disagree.

what i'm saying is that over the last 1160 pages we've gone round and round with zilch. IMO the "ransom requests", TMZ, etc etc are simply 'hoax' distractions. those of us that have been here for (too) a long time see 'it is what it is'.

for all we know the intruder video was filmed last night under the FBI and LE watch. we have no idea. they're trying to make someone nervous IMO. the media is analyzing stride length, posture, behavioral biometrics. PULEEEZ.

after thousands of speculations, i'm only more cemented in the who the why the where and the how. JMO.
FBI/LE may be trying to make someone nervous, but not by filming the video "last night."
The blood spots were clearly visible in the very first crime scene photos, the video released yesterday had no blood, and explains the "mysterious" dried vegetation seen in those first crime scene photos.
I'd be willing to bet the blood spots are STILL there--so I can't believe that the video was filmed anytime after early am February 1st.
 
  • #23,210
Occam’s Razor is really pointing to a kidnapping for ransom now. There is the footage of the perp. There are the multiple asks for ransom. What is complicating things is the amount of press and scrutiny this thing is getting and the number of LE, FBI and private agents involved. That is creating some hoax ransom demands that are getting mixed up with the real ones. Plus the real kidnappers are probably scared of being busted if they share too much info like a voice or video recording. They know the whole country is looking for NG now.
There was also a proven ransom hoax, and real ransoms don’t come days later and don’t say that you won’t hear from them again, and real ransoms aren’t sent to the media and not the family alerting authorities right away. They usually tell the family not to alert authorities or they’ll hurt their loved one. Perhaps the perp is just dumb but this is truly not how normal ransoms work.
 
  • #23,211
How would killing them mean they wouldn't have to share the inheritence?
If they knew the will said one thing right now and it was going to be changed in the near future?
 
  • #23,212
They just left it there? Strange. It’s a Men’s golf shirt.
I think someone said it was an L.L Bean, but I have no idea what type.
 
  • #23,213
  • #23,214
Just some random thoughts:
  • Was the person smart enough to not bring his cell phone?
  • Are there any LPRs in the area — on a likely exit route? Or was the person smart enough to not use a vehicle with correct plates? Maybe had stolen plates, or a temporary tag, or removed/covered the plates?
  • Is there not a single camera in the neighborhood or at a business that caught even a bad image of a vehicle?
  • The untraceable (so far) messages to the media outlets and the bitcoin account suggest some level of sophistication. Yet you don’t bring something to obscure the doorbell camera? Of course, this assumes the messages and bitcoin account are actually connected to the perpetrator, rather than an opportunist.
  • There was a search warrant for the residence in Rio Rico, which requires LE to put forth some facts or evidence in an affidavit and present it to a judge. They would need more than similar eyebrows. LE must have had some type of information that made the gentleman who was detained last night viable. I’m convinced that gentleman is a dead-end lead, but to get the search warrant, I wonder if LE had some type of information that put him (and perhaps many others) in a pool of potentially viable leads. In other words, does LE have at least some dataset of digital evidence, from which they can include or eliminate individuals as possible persons of interest?
  • Hopefully there’s a reporter on the ground who is working to dig up the affidavit for that search warrant. It will likely hold valuable information.
 
  • #23,215
I think the possibility of a political motive can't be ruled out. The fact that SG called Senator Mark Kelly before anyone raises some questions with me. He's currently under political attack of his own and being made an example of by the current administration. His wife was also violently targeted by a deranged individual who killed several others. It could just be because they are close and she trusts him. But, on the other hand, could there have been something left in the house that indicated to her that this was a politically motivated crime? Was she seeking his advice? Fearful of who to trust?

There’s more going on than what is publicly known, said my peace hundreds of pages ago. She is by no means to blame for anything but I’ve always believed its related to SG. Willing to be wrong and most likely am but I think she’s connected somehow, even loosely. SG moderated 2 governors speaking on political extremism in Dec 2025. Nothing is beyond the realm of possibility at this point. MOO

Bear with me, …Another political violence thing that’s itching in my brain…Vermont Air National Guard (green mountain boys) were deployed in the mission supporting Operation Southern Spear against Venezuela /Maduro in Dec 2025 they then transitioned to February 2026 deployment in the Middle East. Maybe NG disappearance has something to do with some sicko blaming NG son Cameron. I know he’s a retired fighter pilot but joined the Vermont Air National Guard after retiring. Is he still active? Maybe another angle to consider of some party seeking personal retribution. MOO. Im spitballing here


 
  • #23,216
Yeah, we call it a "kit".

Backpack, with zip ties, duct tape, tarp, plastic sheeting, gag, etc.
I wonder how much 'lighter' the backpack was when they were leaving. What supplies did he use?
 
  • #23,217
We shouldn't really even know about a random glove they found, before any examination or testing. Now it's a whole thing and it shouldn't be, if you ask me. There is going to be tons of random crap outside on the side of the roads. I'm not saying they won't find anything. But this little glove on the side of a road should not be national news. That's a lot of pressure for a piece of trash.
Higher ups are grasping ! So now lets wait weeks to get any DNA results , if they can even get some. This whole thing is a 💩 show.
I feel SO bad for SG, mostly !!
 
  • #23,218
In one post someone said it almost looked like it was a guy with a few drinks in him, the way he was just casually strolling then picking up the latanas flowers, then fumbling with the doorbell cam. I chuckled, but it resonated. He does have some sort of casual detachment or abnormal comfort level given the gravity of what he's doing, and it's not in some cold and calculated pro-criminal way.

Regarding the way the gun was holstered at his crotch. There is a way to conceal carry a sidearm called appendix carry. It involves tucking the gun into your belt, front and center. It gives you quick access for a fast draw but can be awkward.
View attachment 644009
What he did was not concealed. It was an awkward low hanging version of this, and it was in a long hanging holster that did not seem to match the gun. This seems to indicate opportunity, cheap, worked practically but it did not match the gun and that further makes me think the gun could have been a replica/airsoft used just for intimidation. If he thought he might actually need to use the gun in commission to a crime why would he have such awkward gloves on that would put him at such a disadvantage if there was a potentially armed homeowner. But if he's coming for an 84 year old lady that lives alone in a dark secluded neighborhood. a replica displayed front and center might be all he needs to threaten her. Remember in the earlier frame he had the gun concealed, and he came up with it hanging front and center, which means to me, he wanted it to be seen, likely for intimidation and coercion to get the homeowner to comply.

So it seems to me to be an awkward, practical albeit fumbling way to display a threat (which again may not be a real firearm, we just don't know) that matches the obtuse practicality he displayed with the rest of his get-up (mouth light, thick awkward gloves that he thought would hide fingerprints/dna better perhaps, reflective backpack--poor choice strictly practical, will do, etc.)
bbm

i like this. i keep thinking he put a lot of thought into this, not all of it smart thought, but a lot of thought.

and even in the doorbell footage, you can see the gears turning in his head in real time. carefully watching where he steps. somehow improvising with the flowers. the choices didn't all necessarily make sense or benefit him, but his mind keeps going. doesn't just charge ahead. doesn't seem to panic.
 
  • #23,219
  • #23,220
The same guy who didn’t anticipate the door cam and was grabbing shrubs to cover it up.
A-m-a-t-e-u-r.

The shrub pulling made me think “gardener/landscaper”.

Amateur opinion and speculation only
The grabbing of some weeds/flowers to put up against the camera is SO odd that I've been considering the idea that this is a young man with very little experience in anything and/or a young man with mental issues of some type. The extreme weirdness of this case tends to make me lean toward the mental angle, at least on the part of the male on the video. MOO.

I have the luck to actually be in Tucson right now, so I've obviously been following it closely. I don't have any ties here (I'm on vacation) so I can't provide any insider info. But dang, who needs insider info when you have Brian Entin working like a dog!
 
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