UK UK - Claudia Lawrence, 35, Chef, York University, 18 March 2009 #3

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@moonsafari thanks for your input so far it has been invaluable. And not just you, some of you guys have done some excellent work and have good theories.

Do you have a definite suspicion of who you think is most likely to have done this? Or do you think it could be any one of them or even a combination and one is as likely as the next?
 
@moonsafari thanks for your input so far it has been invaluable. And not just you, some of you guys have done some excellent work and have good theories.

Do you have a definite suspicion of who you think is most likely to have done this? Or do you think it could be any one of them or even a combination and one is as likely as the next?
Well the Nags Head appears to be either the murder scene or the body holding area.
With Ray being away this presents either a pre-meditated opportunity at the pub or the scene for some "Tom foolery"
I don't understand why George Foreman was not one of 4 arrested as the combination of the pub and the clearing out of the mattress from one of the rooms the following day "stinks".
Did Ray notice something upon his return from holiday that made him suspicious?
Then the Dark persons and light persons evening and morning almost confuse or confirm things for me.
They turn what could be something that went wrong that night into a Premeditated action.

It's almost as though the arrested 4 are covering for a guilty 5th.
But in the end I do believe the 4 had a role in this and if they cleared up then they are still accessories in the eye of the law.
The answer to your question, sorry so long winded, lies in them being someone powerful enough to get the others to perform a duty and then to stay quiet for so long.

I think some of the other Sleuths know who this person is better than I do?
 
We have been told on multiple occasions that the arrested 4 are guilty of nothing more than caring about Claudia and being her friend. Well let's take another look at this article and consider, were these the actions of people who cared deeply about their missing, presumed murdered friend?
Two brothers and lifelong friend arrested on suspicion of murdering Claudia Lawrence

Today a close friend revealed how prior to the arrests the group of men had all run a sweepstake taking bets on which of them would be the first to be arrested by North Yorkshire Police.
The three men, who all live with partners, were seized in dawn raids at their homes in the Heworth. All of the suspects work or have links to the building trade and today a family friend described how they had all been “leaned on” by police in recent months.
He added: “It was some weeks before the first arrest that they were joking about which one would be arrested first.
"They had had bit of a bet, a sweepstake, on who would be first. Turns out all three were right. It’s no surprise but I guess I might be next.”
 
Well the Nags Head appears to be either the murder scene or the body holding area.
With Ray being away this presents either a pre-meditated opportunity at the pub or the scene for some "Tom foolery"
I don't understand why George Foreman was not one of 4 arrested as the combination of the pub and the clearing out of the mattress from one of the rooms the following day "stinks".
Did Ray notice something upon his return from holiday that made him suspicious?
Then the Dark persons and light persons evening and morning almost confuse or confirm things for me.
They turn what could be something that went wrong that night into a Premeditated action.

It's almost as though the arrested 4 are covering for a guilty 5th.
But in the end I do believe the 4 had a role in this and if they cleared up then they are still accessories in the eye of the law.
The answer to your question, sorry so long winded, lies in them being someone powerful enough to get the others to perform a duty and then to stay quiet for so long.

I think some of the other Sleuths know who this person is better than I do?
Ray was on holiday in Tunisia when Claudia went missing? Is that RB talk or an extract from Gone? Both? I personally haven't ruled out Rodney Ballard or whoever was pretending to be him as a suspect.

That means the B&B rooms were potentially completely empty when she disappeared. The perfect moment to abduct Claudia and ferry her out to NH carpark or lure her there before ambushing.

Most regulars would know Ray had planned a holiday, and that he lived in one of the vacant rooms. She disappeared so soon after he went away.

Thinking caps on:

The perps wanted people to make the link between Ray's absence and Claudia's disappearance.
>> why? To imply a Nag's local or with knowledge of ongoing disagreements between Claudia and Ray to murky the waters? If work based she may have discussed with people she knows outside the Nag's too

Whatever happened to Claudia was accidental and the triangulating factor is that all the B&B rooms were known to be empty at that time.
>> what happened? Who? Just because Ray was away doesn't mean the rooms weren't booked, by who could be an interesting question...

Observant robbers gathered that Ray was away ergo for a good chunk of the night no-one would be at the NH to stop them or raise the alarm. Alarm system and code?
>> again who and when? Did Claudia see something/intervene? Had someone else been drafted in to sleepover while he was away? Pretty sure Ray had a dog, cat, or both. Who looked after them?
 
@moonsafari thanks for your input so far it has been invaluable. And not just you, some of you guys have done some excellent work and have good theories.

Do you have a definite suspicion of who you think is most likely to have done this? Or do you think it could be any one of them or even a combination and one is as likely as the next?
Kind of you thanks evil people rely on the good nature of lawful principles
 
Ray was on holiday in Tunisia when Claudia went missing? Is that RB talk or an extract from Gone? Both? I personally haven't ruled out Rodney Ballard or whoever was pretending to be him as a suspect.

That means the B&B rooms were potentially completely empty when she disappeared. The perfect moment to abduct Claudia and ferry her out to NH carpark or lure her there before ambushing.

Most regulars would know Ray had planned a holiday, and that he lived in one of the vacant rooms. She disappeared so soon after he went away.

Thinking caps on:

The perps wanted people to make the link between Ray's absence and Claudia's disappearance.
>> why? To imply a Nag's local or with knowledge of ongoing disagreements between Claudia and Ray to murky the waters? If work based she may have discussed with people she knows outside the Nag's too

Whatever happened to Claudia was accidental and the triangulating factor is that all the B&B rooms were known to be empty at that time.
>> what happened? Who? Just because Ray was away doesn't mean the rooms weren't booked, by who could be an interesting question...

Observant robbers gathered that Ray was away ergo for a good chunk of the night no-one would be at the NH to stop them or raise the alarm. Alarm system and code?
>> again who and when? Did Claudia see something/intervene? Had someone else been drafted in to sleepover while he was away? Pretty sure Ray had a dog, cat, or both. Who looked after them?
RB Broadcast on Facebook for 2 weeks with a countdown to his holiday and so many would be aware of his planned vacation outside of nags and to @moonsafari point it could have been a way of framing Nags. I wonder who looked after his dog when he holidayed in past-Was it the Pub dog and would George look after it?
 
RB Broadcast on Facebook for 2 weeks with a countdown to his holiday and so many would be aware of his planned vacation outside of nags and to @moonsafari point it could have been a way of framing Nags. I wonder who looked after his dog when he holidayed in past-Was it the Pub dog and would George look after it?
Did George live in the pub?
 
RB Broadcast on Facebook for 2 weeks with a countdown to his holiday and so many would be aware of his planned vacation outside of nags and to @moonsafari point it could have been a way of framing Nags. I wonder who looked after his dog when he holidayed in past-Was it the Pub dog and would George look after it?

I'll answer your questions if you answer mine. Ah entitlement ......
 
I'll answer your questions if you answer mine. Ah entitlement ......
You know I’ve been thinking ( oh no she’s been thinking God help us ! )
That most if not all our questions can be answered easily and quickly by the famous four !
If they are innocent and personally I believe they are,why don’t they come on here and help out ?
Genuine question here: Do police have the right to gage them ?Have they gagged them ?
 
I'll answer your questions if you answer mine. Ah entitlement ......
@moonsafari
I have answered your question which was about my source of information which I have provided as follows:

"RB Broadcast on Facebook for 2 weeks with a countdown to his holiday and so many would be aware of his planned vacation outside of nags"

Correction by @Yozzer from RB to RW

It was from his FB page where he had been mentioning his holiday in Tunisia and counting down for 2 weeks about "can't wait"

I did not rely on Ballard as he had not quoted Ray at any point to my knowledge and I don't rely very heavily on Gone as it has a bias to the family.

I agreed with you that anyone with a knowledge of his holiday, inside or outside of the Nags could have used this as an opportunity or set up.

Unfortunately I cannot answer any of your other questions but always will attempt to if possible in the future.

I don't claim to have any "entitlement"
 
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