May I ask how you all knew so early on that the SM was such a strong suspect? I only saw her fb page, and didn't really see any red flags. But I did take note of Ontario Mom saying something to the effect that you shouldn't be deceived by what people publicly post, so I know I missed something. Just curious.
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She was the last one to see him. She was alone in the home with him and he disappeared with no sign of anyone taking him and no one reporting him wandering in the street. One of the first things I did was to look at the map on Google maps and I could see so many houses in all directions...how could a little five year old boy with no shoes or coat be wandering around for 3 hours without being noticed?
If Lucas had been found hiding in a shed in a neighbor's garden within a few hours or something like that, then that's different. But I didn't come into the threads until it had been 2 or three days, and by then I felt that there was a 95% chance that it was the stepmom. I also feel the timing doesn't feel right. I think the shower was in preparation for calling LE to say that Lucas was missing, not that he was in the house when she took that shower. As soon as the story breaks, the neighbors will be thinking back to any activity in that street, so I don't think anyone could have easily taken Lucas from the house during those three hours or even shortly before that time.
EG's activity on Saturday will have been queried by LE to ensure it matches what observations the neighbors had when LE knocked on their doors and asked them what they'd seen in the street that day. It would be pushing things to try to lie about her activities that day imho (and I could be proved wrong on that part, but I'm just saying the things that went through my head before this news came out).
It's not the middle of nowhere, someone should have seen a child being put into a car or something if there had been an abduction. So, for me, everything points back to the house and the person in the house...which is EG.
I didn't see her FB page right away, I don't find them particularly useful really in gauging someone's likelihood of this kind of thing. The main thing that interested me was whether there were pics of Lucas on there (how well he's integrated into the family unit) and also the type of things she's drawn to, like the Chakras and the photos she posted for locations and whether anything seemed meaningful to her -- for trying to consider what kind of dump site she'd possibly want to use for a child.
Having said that I wouldn't rule anything out. I wouldn't attack someone on these grounds. But for me it was the circumstances more than anything else. Add in that dad was away and then that there had been allegations of suspected abuse from both sides of the family. I think the crazy thing is that these are all things that a person can't really hide after the fact, so people like Sherin's parents, Mariah's mom's bf (and the mom to an extent), and EG are always going to stand out like a sore thumb and there's nothing they can do to change that no matter how they try to cover up.