i think the current discussion is helpful as it's always a good idea to challenge all assumptions.
the video from the dance club as well as the account from her family sets a fairly solid starting point - she appeared by all accounts to be fine until around 6:00AM. the dance club video doesn't show someone who appears to be drugged. the conversation she had with her brother doesn't indicate someone who appears to be drugged. the fact that her father saw her around 5:30ish puts 6:00AM as a good starting point for her going missing.
it'd be great to know exactly how far out the ship was at 6:00AM - we've heard "near the shore" but how near? we've heard ab was a good swimmer but how good? i'm a good swimmer but i don't know that i could swim to shore from any distance after a fall into unknown waters. we've heard that someone saw her get into the elevator with a member of the band. who was that person and do we have any first-person quotes from that person? how did they know it was her for sure?
the family indicates they raised the alarm by 7:00AM so that means in the span of an hour something had to have happened to her. why did they become so alarmed so quickly?
i'll stop here but you can see where i'm going - trying to separate what we think we know from what we know we know.
the video from the dance club as well as the account from her family sets a fairly solid starting point - she appeared by all accounts to be fine until around 6:00AM. the dance club video doesn't show someone who appears to be drugged. the conversation she had with her brother doesn't indicate someone who appears to be drugged. the fact that her father saw her around 5:30ish puts 6:00AM as a good starting point for her going missing.
it'd be great to know exactly how far out the ship was at 6:00AM - we've heard "near the shore" but how near? we've heard ab was a good swimmer but how good? i'm a good swimmer but i don't know that i could swim to shore from any distance after a fall into unknown waters. we've heard that someone saw her get into the elevator with a member of the band. who was that person and do we have any first-person quotes from that person? how did they know it was her for sure?
the family indicates they raised the alarm by 7:00AM so that means in the span of an hour something had to have happened to her. why did they become so alarmed so quickly?
i'll stop here but you can see where i'm going - trying to separate what we think we know from what we know we know.