GUILTY UK - Helen Bailey, 51, Royston, 11 April 2016 #3

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  • #621
Possible route to the garage. The gate is clearly visible in pic 2. Note that there don't appear to be any doors leading from the house directly out onto the driveway. The dense foliage on the left of pic 3 provides a lot of privacy.

Click to enlarge pics.

1.JPG

Gate.JPG

Left side of house.JPG

Left side of house 2.JPG
 
  • #622
Hello everyone. I’m new to this thread but it’s lovely to see some familiar faces here. IB told me about this fascinating case and, like all of you, I’m shocked beyond belief that any person could be murdered and disposed of in such a horrendous way. And then there’s poor little innocent Boris who was so callously and cruelly disposed of along with Helen.

It’s taken me the past three days to read everything from the very beginning, and that meant staying up until 2-3am each night. Congratulations to everyone who has contributed thus far. You’ve all done an amazing job. It’s no surprise that LE officers frequently come to WS to follow the thoughts of people who think outside the square and come up with some truly brilliant suggestions.

JJ

Had been wondering (and hoping) whether the police peruse WS.
There are some brilliant detective minds and theories here which would help them tremendously.
 
  • #623
Nick and Joe

Following his arrest in December, IS told his youngest son, Oliver, that two men, Nick and Joe, had repeatedly visited the home demanding paperwork and had assaulted him on one occasion. IS claimed one of the men had given him a phone and forced him to follow certain instructions.
So IS would have his sons, the court and us believe that these men had visited the home repeatedly, had assaulted him and he never contacted the police.

Oliver told the court, “When he was telling me about these people, I could see that he was not joking; I could see the fear. Purely by him telling me that, that was the road I can see he was going down.” Prosecutor Trimmer asked, “What road was that?” to which Oliver replied, “That they were linked to the taking of Helen.”

Oliver said his father made these claims for the first time when he had gone to visit him while he was being held in custody. Oliver said, “He just made me aware that there were these two guys, Nick and Joe. He said they came to the house on a couple of occasions when we were away. He said originally when they were coming they wanted to find out from Helen about some paperwork; apparently they came to find this paperwork. Helen claimed to know nothing about of it but they seemed to be fairly sure she would have known something of it. Knowing Dad had had an operation, on arrival at the front door they decided to punch him in the stomach.”
By not contacting the police, if they were responsible for Helen's death, IS would have to take complete responsibility for her death. He knew the men were violent and also knew that they wanted something from Helen. Who knew what violence these men were capable of?

Oliver said that one of the men was said to have tattoos, while the other one was bald. “He let me know that they had given him a phone and they were instructing him to do things via the phone”. He said his father had never mentioned their existence prior to his arrest. Oliver drew conclusions about their involvement in Helen’s disappearance due to the way his father was behaving. He said, “I concluded they were involved in taking Helen because of the way he was telling me – there was fear in his face, he was not just joking about this.”
These were obviously men capable of violence and IS was more than happy to allow them into his home thereby putting Helen, his sons, if they were at home, and anyone else who may have been there at the time in danger. I can’t wait to hear what IS says these instructions via the phone were.

Isn’t it fascinating that the elder brother, Jamie, told the court that his father had never told him about the two men.

This is all grist for the mill for the Prosecution. If IS elects not to testify, the jurors will be instructed that this is hearsay and must be totally rejected. IS thinks he's “making the bullets” and having Oliver fire them, but in reality he’s arming the Prosecution with cannon balls. If he does take the stand, he’ll be crucified.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news...l-told-fiance-pushed-for-sale-of-her-property
 
  • #624
Hi JudgeJudi! Great to hear from you again! Long time since the start of the Pistorius trial! Hope we're all back there again soon!
 
  • #625
  • #626
Possible route to the garage. The gate is clearly visible in pic 2. Note that there don't appear to be any doors leading from the house directly out onto the driveway. The dense foliage on the left of pic 3 provides a lot of privacy.

Click to enlarge pics.

View attachment 108748

View attachment 108749

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I'm not sure I've uploaded this pic right but pic below was when the house was up for sale before Helen and IS bought it. The conservatory roof can be seen.

The DM pics show the conservatory has since had a new roof. Didn't IS say Helen had been stressing about the new conservatory and they'd put it on hold until the following year?
Even if the previous owner had the new roof installed before they actually sold the house, it can't be very old. No wonder Helen was stressing about it, it probably weren't necessary! Just an observation.

http://media.rightmove.co.uk/dir/70k/69430/30773989/69430_41779A_41779_IMG_18_0000_max_656x437.JPG

http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-30773989.html
 
  • #627
G'day mate. It's great to see you here. It's been quite a while. I'm not quite sure what's happening on the OP front. Did you know he's been moved to a much smaller prison? I'd love to know when this was taken.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world...th-Africa-prison-Reeva-Steenkamp-family-photo

Yes, knew about the smaller, more comfortable prison; still following the case here and on another website. Your expertise at the time of the OP trial was remarkable and hope to hear more from you when the appeal is heard.. next month?

Edit 2: You had a blog? Or was that someone else?
 
  • #628
Yes, knew about the smaller, more comfortable prison; still following the case here and on another website. Your expertise at the time of the OP trial was remarkable and hope to hear more from you when the appeal is heard.. next month?

O/T

L2L do we have any idea when the appeal is? I haven't been able to find anything in the press though confess to not have been looking lately. It will be good to put the case to bed after 4 years.
 
  • #629
Good spot on the roof! He did say they'd put off having it redone but then in interview said the conservatory guy (who's name he couldn't remember) had been working on the house. So maybe Helen's disappearance made him decide to do it anyway. Cos obviously if she came back she'd be thrilled to find a stranger around doing a job she was feeling stressed about...
 
  • #630
O/T

L2L do we have any idea when the appeal is? I haven't been able to find anything in the press though confess to not have been looking lately. It will be good to put the case to bed after 4 years.

I don't know for sure, IB, when it is but seem to recall 'someone' on the OP thread mentioning next month; like you, I've seen nothing to back this up though.
 
  • #631
Yet again I look at photos of that beautiful house and am staggered IS was not willing to share it with Helen. Did he plan to spend the rest of his years living alone in luxury, as a wealthy bachelor? I have always wondered if he had another woman waiting in the wings - it would add further motive to what is apparently a straightforward financial motive. But as the prosecution has mentioned no 'other woman' it seems he really did simply want rid of Helen to take her house and money from her.
 
  • #632
I doubt he would have done this if he hadn't been convinced that the relationship was falling apart. Just because Helen wasn't telling anybody doesn't mean that she wasn't considering leaving the situation. She had said elsewhere that she wished she had never left London. This would indicate that her heart was only half in Royston and that she did not intend to stay there. He did know that she had made provisions for him in the event of her dying first, even without marriage, and perhaps he just wanted control of the money immediately.
 
  • #633
Yet again I look at photos of that beautiful house and am staggered IS was not willing to share it with Helen. Did he plan to spend the rest of his years living alone in luxury, as a wealthy bachelor? I have always wondered if he had another woman waiting in the wings - it would add further motive to what is apparently a straightforward financial motive. But as the prosecution has mentioned no 'other woman' it seems he really did simply want rid of Helen to take her house and money from her.

Dolly, I also look at that house and think how fabulous it is. Thing is, it seems everything she had, (and as we know, she had a lot) she was willing to share with him and then if she were to die before him, leave everything to him. Such generosity and a massive honour after such a short time together. Especially when it wasn't accumulated together.
But it seems he wasn't willing to share. Or wait. Just wanted it all to himself. I think this is one of the saddest cases I've ever followed.



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  • #634
IS thinks he's “making the bullets” and having Oliver fire them, but in reality he’s arming the Prosecution with cannon balls. If he does take the stand, he’ll be crucified.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news...l-told-fiance-pushed-for-sale-of-her-property

Yes it's another example of how manipulative he is and how he'll use anybody, including his own son, to get what he wants or to get away with things. So we've had him trying to get facebook group members to report the media for harrassing him, trying to get the mental health nurse to get him out of police interviews(and attempted to get her to OK his holiday but when she didn't he said she did anyway)and trying to get his son to get the Joe &nick story out there.

The way he manipulates and gets others to do his dirty work I'm surprised he actually commited the murder himself!

I guess putting the drug into something that Helen would then unwittingly self administer (herbal capsules, powdered tea) would fit well with his modus operandi.
 
  • #635
Yet again I look at photos of that beautiful house and am staggered IS was not willing to share it with Helen. Did he plan to spend the rest of his years living alone in luxury, as a wealthy bachelor? I have always wondered if he had another woman waiting in the wings - it would add further motive to what is apparently a straightforward financial motive. But as the prosecution has mentioned no 'other woman' it seems he really did simply want rid of Helen to take her house and money from her.


Personally I think his illness and time in intensive care may have made him realise that if he died first not only would he never had had full control of all Helen's cash but his sons would lose their home and only inherit his share of the main house. If Helen died first he would have the main house plus extras and he could also pass everything on to his sons in the event of his death.
 
  • #636
I was just thinking.... maybe the real plan was to feed her the drugs until she had a car crash. She wasn't a confident driver and driving on sleeping tablets could easily cause an accident. Maybe it's true when she said she wasn't going to drive again. Albeit she didn't say this on the Monday and he decided he'd have to get rid of her some other way. I still have an inkling something went wrong that Monday that forced him into this botched plan though...


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  • #637
Personally I think his illness and time in intensive care may have made him realise that if he died first not only would he never had had full control of all Helen's cash but his sons would lose their home and only inherit his share of the main house. If Helen died first not only would he have the main house plus extras, he could also pass all that onto his sons.

About this. It's possible but having lived with someone who was dying you find that usually all their personal motives go to survival and they don't care about anything else. If this man thought he could actually die and he was thinking and plotting all this it would surprise me. The whole thing seems very complex. He must have been planning this before he became seriously ill then once he got the all clear he just thought 'now's the time! OLLI' and went for it. Just a thought...


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  • #638
This is all grist for the mill for the Prosecution. If IS elects not to testify, the jurors will be instructed that this is hearsay and must be totally rejected. IS thinks he's “making the bullets” and having Oliver fire them, but in reality he’s arming the Prosecution with cannon balls. If he does take the stand, he’ll be crucified.

BIB Great point, Judge Judi!

"Following his arrest in December, IS told his youngest son, Oliver, that two men, Nick and Joe, had repeatedly visited the home demanding paperwork and had assaulted him on one occasion."
..................
Isn’t it fascinating that the elder brother, Jamie, told the court that his father had never told him about the two men.

Can I just clarify that poor punctuation in the newspaper report gives the impression that IS was arrested in December. He was arrested and bailed on 11 July, and charged with murder on 15 July whereupon he was remanded in custody.

The point is that as far as we know, it wasn't until December (when he had already been in custody for five months) that he mentioned "Nick & Joe" to anybody, . And we have been told that Jamie has not visited him, so he has had no opportunity to tell him since July.
 
  • #639
I was just thinking.... maybe the real plan was to feed her the drugs until she had a car crash. She wasn't a confident driver and driving on sleeping tablets could easily cause an accident. Maybe it's true when she said she wasn't going to drive again. Albeit she didn't say this on the Monday and he decided he'd have to get rid of her some other way. I still have an inkling something went wrong that Monday that forced him into this botched plan though...


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Yes could be . She might even have changed her mind on selling the flat that day.
 
  • #640
About this. It's possible but having lived with someone who was dying you find that usually all their personal motives go to survival and they don't care about anything else. If this man thought he could actually die and he was thinking and plotting all this it would surprise me. The whole thing seems very complex. He must have been planning this before he became seriously ill then once he got the all clear he just thought 'now's the time! OLLI' and went for it. Just a thought...


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I think maybe originally he was playing the long game and drugging her to either get POA due to her mental state, or like you suggested hoping she'd drive under the influence and crash. Then his unexpected time in intensive care might have made him think that he might not have time to play the long game and that he had to act quickly. At the time he would have made the decision he wouldn't have thought he was dying... he'd had the all clear and had survived the unexpected intensive care stay, but maybe it made him reassess things.
 
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