4 Univ of Idaho Students Murdered, Bryan Kohberger Arrested, Moscow, Nov 2022 #95

DNA Solves
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DNA Solves
snipped for focus @Curiousobserver Thx for your post. Agreeing.

Some ppl say it's a slam dunk case.
Some for prosecution, some for def't.

IDK & won't guess what evidence now-unknown-to-us may be offered.
And ruled admissible. Or ruled inadmissible.
No jury triañ is ever a slam dunk and no professional on either D or P would ever hazard thst.
Casey Anthony.
 
IMO there can be issues with only looking at the "totality of the evidence." While each piece of evidence that goes into a totality of evidence doesn't have to (& very likely won't) scream "guilty" by itself, each piece has to meet a minimum threshold to be considered evidence worth considering. That minimum threshold varies across people. Evidence that is not worth considering/non-persuasive (for a variety of reasons-- could be the collection, the handling/processing, chain of command, the scientific basis, whatever) doesn't suddenly become persuasive and valid IMO when mixed with other pieces of evidence. So in a sense, each piece of evidence must stand on its own. Simply because a piece of evidence is admissable & is introduced doesn't mean jurors must believe it or consider it. That caveat is always part of the judge's instructions to jurors.

To me, evidence that's iffy remains iffy. So, for example, if blood evidence in a case was screwed up IMO, I'm not going to count it anyway just because there's other evidence of guilt (not BARD) so the "totality" says guilty (& BARD) but only if the blood is counted.
MOO

Then discount the evidence that is iffy.

Take the evidence that is reasonable and then put the reasonable evidence together.

Iffy evidence can simply be discounted.

You have 5 pieces of circumstantial evidence that each stand up on their own but then all 5 together can show guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

2 Cents
 
I disagree.

You posted this. "From what I gather touch DNA is only permitted on the actual weapon that was used." The ISP link you provided doesn't have the word "only" in it. That was added by you.
According to the totality of the text, I think CKS's interpretation is likely correct.

The State of Idaho suggests DNA testing of various types is limited to the examples, and when it comes to touch DNA those are:

  • Touch DNA analysis is permitted on weapons in murder and attempted murder cases.
  • Touch DNA testing may be performed on clothing and body swabs in stranger sexual assaults or sexual assaults of children.
However, there's a note further up in the text that reads:

  • Ineligible items may be swabbed for touch DNA by ISPFS for preservation purposes only.
One more, "however," which may grant LE the right to use touch DNA even on an ineligible object if the case warrants:
  • This policy is intended to serve as a general guideline for evidence submission to the ISPFS Biology Section. This policy provides clarity and ensures consistent processing of cases across all Idaho law enforcement agencies while maximizing ISPFS resources. Case circumstances vary, and sometimes, deviation from this policy may be necessary. These deviations must be approved by ISPFS staff before testing.
There was a lot of publicity surrounding this case from day one so ISPFS may have approved the testing. Whether it will be admissible, though, or used strictly for preservation as the guidelines suggest is yet to be known.
 
No jury triañ is ever a slam dunk and no professional on either D or P would ever hazard thst.
Casey Anthony.
One of the best examples out there.

At this point, I'm leaning toward an 80:20 percentage of getting a conviction. If the gag order is ever lifted and we hear more, that will likely change one direction or the other.
 
Then discount the evidence that is iffy.

Take the evidence that is reasonable and then put the reasonable evidence together.

Iffy evidence can simply be discounted.

You have 5 pieces of circumstantial evidence that each stand up on their own but then all 5 together can show guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

2 Cents
That's fine. But it seems the "totality of the evidence" argument has often used here on WS in discussions of potentially iffy evidence. The general position doesn't seem to be what you've described above. Rather, the general position I'm disagreeing with seems to be that even normally questionable evidence should be seen as "good unquestioned evidence" as long as there's other evidence (a totality) to combine it with. So what if X is not very good or maybe not valid at all? Combined with Y & Z the totality is great. So that seems to mean if there's other evidence, flawed/iffy evidence needs to be accepted as unflawed. I don't agree. Other evidence doesn't automatically transform iffy evidence.
MOO
 
BARD is the basis for signfiicant decisions, but it is not about 100% certainty, which is an unattainable goal.
This. Sorry, catching up on this thread, but it feels like in the current day, BARD has become 'I need to personally travel back in time, be there for the murders and witness the murders happen while the murderer is verbally stating his identity and the reasons behind committing the crimes'.

For me, BARD is a case of, can I believe reasonably that if I was the accused, there could be a scenario where evidence of A, B, C, D exists (in this case touch dna on a sheath, a description that doesn't exclude me or my car, me posting questions re: motivation behind crimes, me turning off my phone for the duration of the murders, etc) while I am still not the person who's done it?

It is probably a weird way of thinking it, but that's how I work things out. In some cases, like JonBenet, I still think 'ah, I don't know'. I mean even Michael Peterson who I never found likeable is a bit of a 'I don't know' for me. With BK, I find any other scenario but the P's case very unlikely - especially because he had no reason to be anywhere in that house. IMO
 
According to the totality of the text, I think CKS's interpretation is likely correct.

The State of Idaho suggests DNA testing of various types is limited to the examples, and when it comes to touch DNA those are:

  • Touch DNA analysis is permitted on weapons in murder and attempted murder cases.
  • Touch DNA testing may be performed on clothing and body swabs in stranger sexual assaults or sexual assaults of children.
However, there's a note further up in the text that reads:

  • Ineligible items may be swabbed for touch DNA by ISPFS for preservation purposes only.
One more, "however," which may grant LE the right to use touch DNA even on an ineligible object if the case warrants:
  • This policy is intended to serve as a general guideline for evidence submission to the ISPFS Biology Section. This policy provides clarity and ensures consistent processing of cases across all Idaho law enforcement agencies while maximizing ISPFS resources. Case circumstances vary, and sometimes, deviation from this policy may be necessary. These deviations must be approved by ISPFS staff before testing.
There was a lot of publicity surrounding this case from day one so ISPFS may have approved the testing. Whether it will be admissible, though, or used strictly for preservation as the guidelines suggest is yet to be known.
Maybe. That link is far from clear on what the rules of evidence are for DNA in Idaho. JMO.
 
Maybe. That link is far from clear on what the rules of evidence are for DNA in Idaho. JMO.
IMO that rule is not there to signify what is accepted as evidence, but rather to optimise resources in the selection of what gets swabbed and send for testing and what isn't. It is more of a 'priority of processing' guideline, IMO.
 
IMO that rule is not there to signify what is accepted as evidence, but rather to optimise resources in the selection of what gets swabbed and send for testing and what isn't. It is more of a 'priority of processing' guideline, IMO.
That sounds reasonable. Also that link only covers the ISP and not outside resources. Can't the prosecution use outside labs to do DNA testing if they chose?
 
That sounds reasonable. Also that link only covers the ISP and not outside resources. Can't the prosecution use outside labs to do DNA testing if they chose?
I think the guidelines for saving resources fly out of the window the moment we enter quadruple homicide territory - that's why we see millions spent prosecuting such cases. IMO. And yes, in those cases I see prosecution hiring private labs to expedite testing.
 
Per JJJ's scheduling order, today is the last day for the defense to submit a challenge to the DP.
Screenshot_20240905-214339~2.png
So far I haven't seen any new documents show up on the docket.
Perhaps the motion to challenge the DP was submitted in the 8/30 sealed in camera submission noted by @Nila Aella earlier in this thread?
Or maybe they'll file something later today?
 

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