GUILTY Australia - 3 dead after eating wild mushrooms, Leongatha, Victoria, Aug 2023 *Arrest* #18

Status
Not open for further replies.
  • #541
A 6 minute summary of the case.

When I first saw her performance when questioned as she got out of her red MG at her house, I said aloud "Guilty as hell!". Seeing it again here makes me really wonder how anyone could think otherwise.

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

At the time, I wasnt keeping up closely with the news. So it was her statement that I saw first- before the carport video.

The first line was - "I have become extremely stressed and overwhelmed". On reading that, I remember thinking, What??? Your three relatives have just died and all you can say is how you are stressed and overwhelmed ?

It only rang true to me as follows - "I have become extremely stressed and overwhelmed by [being suspected of] the deaths of my loved ones," Ms Patterson said.

The entire statement was too full of "poor Erin" for me to buy it. From then on I too felt she was undeniably guilty.
 
  • #542
Has anybody ever considered that this was part of the plan?

Maybe she thought she was so clever that she was playing 5d chess, and the whole idea that nobody would murder 4 people without apparent motive was how she thought she'd get away with it.

Yeah I do think that factored in.

And also - "as if a small country-town churchgoing homemaker and stay-at-home mum of two" would do such a diabolical thing.

At risk of sounding like a broken record - I can't forget that Ian & Heather Wilkinson DID think it was gastro and were sleeping it off. That to me says that her plot was in fact more sound than it seems most think.... as far as murder plots can be called "sound".
 
Last edited:
  • #543
Does anyone else predict a a soon to be released tell all book from Ms. Alison Prior? I do.
She’s a social worker!? Eeks
 
  • #544
Yes, but what I find truly bizarre is that she is hailed as being a "super sleuth" for her ability to put two and two together regarding crimes, yet she somehow expected that a group of relatives becoming very ill and dying at around the same time would not lead to questions as to where they had all been together beforehand.
I think she knew people would question it. But she underestimated how fast the victims would seek medical care, and how fast they would be tested for cause of illness.

I think she thought they'd feel sick that first night but assume it was the stomach flu or simple food poisoning. Maybe it would take them 2 days so to go see a doctor. By then, testing for death caps would not be possible anymore. Or so she thought.
 
  • #545

Erin Patterson reportedly threw a party the night before she was arrested — her final taste of freedom before being locked up.
The Daily Mail reports that on the evening of Wednesday, November 1, 2023, Patterson held a knees-up at her Leongatha, rural Victoria, property for a group of friends, believed to be her four closest female mates.

Her closest ally, social worker Alison Rose Prior, and other members of her then-dwindling inner circle were in attendance, according to the report.

The party is understood to have included Patterson’s two children, a girl and a boy. It was all noticed by neighbours, who speculated Patterson threw the party in the knowledge that charges were imminent.
I had to look up what a " knees-up" was , apparently it's a noisy party with dancing.

I'm sorry but I just can't see Erin getting her boogie on

😱 💃
 
  • #546
Has anybody ever considered that this was part of the plan?

Maybe she thought she was so clever that she was playing 5d chess, and the whole idea that nobody would murder 4 people without apparent motive was how she thought she'd get away with it.
I've always considered that she saw Heather and Ian as collateral damage. She invited them because no one would think she'd have motive to kill all four of them. It sounds preposterous.
 
  • #547
I've always considered that she saw Heather and Ian as collateral damage. She invited them because no one would think she'd have motive to kill all four of them. It sounds preposterous.
My apologies if this has been asked before, but did the fact that she dehydrated the DC's make the toxins more lethal and that is why they deteriorated so quickly?
 
  • #548
The article is by news.com

If you read the article, you will see that they are regurgitating DM info ... The Daily Mail reports that on the evening of Wednesday, November 1, 2023, Patterson held a knees-up at her Leongatha, rural Victoria, property ...

It originates with this article. And I know it was published by them a long time ago, also. It is linked somewhere way back in the thread.


imo
 
  • #549
If you read the article, you will see that they are regurgitating DM info ... The Daily Mail reports that on the evening of Wednesday, November 1, 2023, Patterson held a knees-up at her Leongatha, rural Victoria, property ...

It originates with this article. And I know it was published by them a long time ago, also. It is linked somewhere way back in the thread.


imo

Thank you Sth Aussie. Your skill at producing links is brilliant - my 6th sense about DM was activated correctly :)
 
  • #550
I've always considered that she saw Heather and Ian as collateral damage. She invited them because no one would think she'd have motive to kill all four of them. It sounds preposterous.

The bolder the lie.
 
  • #551
My apologies if this has been asked before, but did the fact that she dehydrated the DC's make the toxins more lethal and that is why they deteriorated so quickly?
I think it was because she made it into a powdered form that it was so quickly toxic.

The powder made it so quick and easy to be absorbed into the bloodstream. No digestion needed.

The toxins would be immediately absorbed into the bloodstream, then into the digestive tract and soon into the liver and other organs.
 
  • #552
I think it was because she made it into a powdered form that it was so quickly toxic.

The powder made it so quick and easy to be absorbed into the bloodstream. No digestion needed.

The toxins would be immediately absorbed into the bloodstream, then into the digestive tract and soon into the liver and other organs.

I don't believe this has been researched and proven? happy to be corrected.

However in powdered form you could add a lot more of it, that much is obvious.
 
  • #553
I don't agree that it is unknowable. That is what trial's are for
I don't understand this blind deference to a jury trial verdict. Plenty of innocent people have been convicted by a jury. And even if someone is actually guilty, a verdict doesn't necessarily mean every aspect of the prosecution's case has been proven to be true.

Someone's state of mind is fundamentally unknowable, IMO. You can make reasonable inferences about it, but you may never actually know for sure. But that might just be a philosophical difference between us.

There were a few obvious motives that became evident. Basic ordinary ones, like a woman and mother going through divorce and wanting no interference from her ex and his family. She took the kids out of the religious school and moved them further away from her in-laws---seemed like she was moving on from them.

It also became apparent that EP was a habitual, if not pathological liar. And she had anger issues that we saw pop up. It created the possibility that she had emotional disorders which would mean she did not need a logical or rational motivation to do this compulsive act. IMO
This is an extremely weak argument for a motive. Even the prosecution admitted (in opening statements) it didn't have a motive for Erin. In those circumstances, I'm pretty comfortable stating there wasn't a motive. A motive isn't required for a conviction, obviously, but lack of motive is evidence against intent.

I agree with you about the lying though. I suspect it was basically what caused the jury to land on guilty. If you don't believe anything Erin says, all you are left with is the prosecution's murder narrative, which as I've admitted before is very compelling when zoomed out.

Intent was shown in several ways.
--Buying the dehydrator but then lying about it's very existence. And tipping it.
--Spending so much time learning to 'hide' mushrooms in people's food in order to fool them.
--Looking up info about Death Caps but then claiming she accidentally picked some ---
--Picking wild mushrooms but never identifying them or checking them for safety, just putting the in her pantry to serve to others
--Lying to the guests about her cancer scare in order to lure them to her luncheon
--Then lying about her scheduled bariatric surgery to explain her Cancer Lie
--Making sure her kids are not at the lunch, to protect them, then backtracking later and denying she did so
--The mismatched plates
--Pretending to have 'explosive poo' every 10 minutes, but then putting on white pants to go on a 3 hour road trip
--Feeding her kids the leftovers, even though she knew her lunch guests were severely ill
--Lying to the Doctors, CPS and Public Health officials about the source of the poison
--Making up stories about the elusive Asian Market full of deadly dried mushrooms

And I'm sure there is more...
Thanks for the list (not sarcasm, it's actually useful to have everything laid out). That's essentially what the prosecution did at trial: Zoom out, provide a long list of circumstantial evidence and ask the jury to fill in the gaps. The problem with that approach is it encourages hindsight reasoning (working backwards from an intended result).

When you actually examine these items, a lot of them are either irrelevant, incorrect, or have an alternative benign explanation (granted, you need to believe some of what Erin said to accept those explanations. As above, I understand why some people might not do that).

For example: The cancer story. You say Erin lied to her guests about having cancer "in order to lure them to her luncheon", but that's incorrect. The only testimony we have about the cancer is Ian's, and he said Erin did not mention it until after everyone had finished eating. Erin didn't need the cancer story to "lure" people to lunch, by all accounts they came willingly. That is, except for Simon, who Erin did tell she had medical news. She didn't say cancer though.

Another example: The plates. First of all, Ian's story about the plates hasn't been proven. The police search of Erin's house didn't show plates matching Ian's description, and Erin's son's police interview disagrees with Ian too. But more importantly, it is totally reasonable to conclude Erin just didn't have 5 matching plates. Simon confirmed she had mismatching plate sets under cross-examination. Personally, I don't have 5 matching plates in my house either. If I was serving a meal for 5 people, I would definitely give my guests the matching plates and eat off the odd one myself. Erin's behaviour here is only suspicious if you already assume she is guilty. It's just not relevant.

One more, just to illustrate what I categorised above as something with a possible benign explanation: The Asian grocer. Erin's testimony was that, as far as she knew, she did use dried mushrooms from an Asian grocer in the meal, and so that's what she initially told medical staff. It was only later she realised she might have accidentally use foraged mushrooms as well. You might not believe Erin's testimony, but for me her story is more plausible than the prosecution's contention that Erin deliberately led authorities on a wild goose chase for purchased mushrooms so she could cover up the murders. As I've said before, if Erin was trying to cover up murders she would have immediately admitted to foraging.

They blew her story apart, imo. She looked very much like a deceitful, dishonest person.
Disagree. The prosecution didn't blow Erin's story apart, if nothing else than because it didn't have the opportunity to do so. You might say that's not fair, but that's how criminal trials work.

She should have done so. She probably would not have been charged with murder if so.

Why didn't she do so since she DID, in fact, serve them foraged mushrooms. Do you have a theory why she didn't just own up to her mistake?

I have one. I think she has some personality disorders which made it hard for her to admit anything. She wanted to walk away free. No accountability. That was her goal, imo
I don't need to come up with my own theory about why she didn't immediately own up - the defence presented one. Once Erin realised there might have been foraged mushrooms in the meal, she panicked and tried to shield herself from allegations of being a danger to her kids.

As above, if Erin had wanted to "walk away free", she would have admitted foraging, not lied about it.

That was months ago. She may not have had her plan fully thought out yet. At the time she was just ibuying a kitchen appliance. She did not think it through apparently.She had no idea it would/could tie back to her.
That's not consistent with the prosecution's case though. The prosecution said Erin deliberately harvested death caps and purchased the dehydrator on that same day, it wasn't just an innocent household purchase. You can't have it both ways.

How many mass murders have you followed? It is entirely 'normal' for the perpetrator to have an organised, methodical plan, but somehow messes up here and there. So it makes total sense to me.

She overlooked the importance of the dehydrator because she underestimated the hospital's ability to focus in on death caps so freaking quickly. It did put her in a tail spin because she had not planned for that.
I agree, it is normal. But that's not what the prosecution alleged here. There wasn't just a couple of little mistakes, there was a whole litany of bizarre actions that directly contradict the prosecution's story of Erin as a calculating person who planned the murders for over a year.

I've thought about this some more, and I think there might be a case to be made that Erin was actually a bumbling idiot type killer. Someone who did things on the fly and never thought much about what story she needed to tell to get out of it or what evidence to dispose of. She might even have just meant to make her guests sick rather than kill them. That would at least be consistent with the facts. The problem is, that's not what the prosecution alleged.
 
  • #554
I think it was because she made it into a powdered form that it was so quickly toxic.

The powder made it so quick and easy to be absorbed into the bloodstream. No digestion needed.

The toxins would be immediately absorbed into the bloodstream, then into the digestive tract and soon into the liver and other organs.
Thank you for your response. So if she planned on it being 48 hours before they sought medical help by which time the DC's could not be detected, she truly outsmarted herself.
 
  • #555
the way the fellow prisoners have been heckling her about the mushrooms definitely makes me think she's generally disliked and won't be popular. Her personality isn't one that's going to take that well. I think its more evidence to the idea that all the stories from prisoners coming out about her are them taking the piss.

As for the doctor, the fact he revealed info about her from before the mushroom incident feels like crossing a line to me. Its one thing to express your heartfelt emotional upset by her actions leading to 3 deaths, its another thing to just blab people's personal health info from years before. Doesn't matter that its her, is he going to do it next time someone else annoys him? Its not a good look for a health professional. I don't think its a deregistering level of trangression, but imho (and I'm not AHPRA, I know its not up to me) he should be censured. Maybe advised to never speak to the media again lol (I'm talking about his appearance on The Mushroom Trial: Say Grace)

I would not worry about him talking about me so long as I am not a triple murderer who killed one of his other patients and there pretending to be sick. And in that case, I would expect him to say much worse than he has.
 
Last edited:
  • #556
I think it was because she made it into a powdered form that it was so quickly toxic.

The powder made it so quick and easy to be absorbed into the bloodstream. No digestion needed.

The toxins would be immediately absorbed into the bloodstream, then into the digestive tract and soon into the liver and other organs.
And that's why EP's claim that she didn't get as sick as the her guests because after they left she gorged on cake and threw up is so preposterous - the toxins get into the bloodstream so quickly that throwing up the mushrooms wouldn't help. Of course, thanks to the CCTV camera at the garbage tip, we know her story is a big fat lie - at the time she was allegedly gorging on cake and vomiting, she was in fact throwing away cardboard boxes. Of course, only EP knows for sure whether those boxes contained the plates on which she served the poisoned beef wellington, but since those plates were never found, what else could it be?
 
  • #557
This podcast is playing audio from Dr Webster's interview where he called EP a crazy b. It was actually recorded in June.


He mentions how he had to ask her about her children, she never brought them up.

She has said she panicked because she was scared her children would be taken from her, yet she cared so much about those same children that she didn't think that they could be in any danger.

Hmmm, I wonder why? Such a mystery! 🤔
 
  • #558
This podcast is playing audio from Dr Webster's interview where he called EP a crazy b. It was actually recorded in June.


He mentions how he had to ask her about her children, she never brought them up.

She has said she panicked because she was scared her children would be taken from her, yet she cared so much about those same children that she didn't think that they could be in any danger.

Hmmm, I wonder why? Such a mystery! 🤔
This is exactly the reason that I have always believed she is guilty. No parent anywhere on the planet would not panic at the slightest chance their children had ingested a deadly toxin and that parent would be rushing them to the hospital STAT.
But no, not Erin.
She didn't want to upset them. Guilty, guilty, guilty. Jmo.
 
  • #559
The Crown’s Unyielding Case: A Summary of Prosecutor Nanette Rogers’ Closing Arguments

In the high-stakes Erin Patterson murder trial, Crown Prosecutor Nanette Rogers, SC, has delivered a compelling and unyielding closing argument, meticulously dissecting the defense’s narrative and presenting a picture of calculated deception.

Rogers’ strategy has been to highlight inconsistencies in Patterson’s accounts, question her credibility, and underscore actions she argues are indicative of guilt.

A central pillar of the prosecution’s case revolves around the origin of the deadly death cap mushrooms. Rogers emphasized expert testimony that death cap mushrooms are wild and not sold in independent stores, directly refuting Patterson’s claim of purchasing them from an Asian grocer.

The prosecutor pointed to the absence of other poisoning cases from store-bought mushrooms as further evidence against this claim.

Rogers vehemently dismissed Patterson’s evolving and often contradictory stories about the mushroom’s source and packaging as a series of “obvious lies” and “fiction she told over and over again.”

She highlighted Patterson’s shifting narratives regarding the specific suburb and packaging details, arguing that her memory became “remarkably specific” only when it served to deflect suspicion onto the Asian grocery store.

Rogers also focused on Patterson’s alleged knowledge of death cap mushrooms, citing evidence of her prior online searches related to these fungi.

The presence of death cap mushroom remnants in Patterson’s dehydrator, despite her claims of using it for store-bought mushrooms, was presented as crucial incriminating evidence.

The prosecutor challenged Patterson’s explanation for disposing of the dehydrator and factory resetting her phone, dismissing them as panicked reactions and instead framing them as deliberate attempts to destroy evidence and cover her tracks.

Furthermore, Rogers cast doubt on Patterson’s claims of feeding her children leftovers from the Beef Wellington, arguing that police found no such leftovers.

She contended that Patterson’s reluctance to have her children medically assessed, despite their potential exposure, was incriminating conduct, as she knew they had not consumed the poisoned meal.

Rogers also questioned why Patterson, who claimed to be ill, did not suffer the same severe fate as the victims, suggesting her account of how much she ate shifted to “manufacture an explanation” for her survival.

Finally, the prosecution delved into the alleged motive,...

suggesting the poisoned meal was intended for Erin Patterson’s estranged husband, Simon Patterson, who ultimately did not attend the lunch.

Rogers highlighted messages and interactions that painted a picture of underlying animosity between Erin and Simon’s family, arguing that Patterson’s claims of love for her in-laws were a facade.

The prosecutor concluded by urging the jury to consider the cumulative weight of the inconsistencies, evasiveness, and suspicious actions as clear indicators of Erin Patterson’s culpability, and to deliver a verdict that reflects the gravity of her alleged crime.



1752198267419.webp



1752198367639.webp
 
Last edited:
  • #560
This is exactly the reason that I have always believed she is guilty. No parent anywhere on the planet would not panic at the slightest chance their children had ingested a deadly toxin and that parent would be rushing them to the hospital STAT.

When I was a child I concocted some strange potion in a Smarties tube that included those silica gel things (not sure what I was thinking) my mother caught me with it and instantly panicked, asked if I'd drank any of it and still took me straight to hospital when I answered no! I vividly remember thinking what is her problem?! Now of course I completely understand the concern and the very valid hospital trip 😂
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Members online

Online statistics

Members online
76
Guests online
2,183
Total visitors
2,259

Forum statistics

Threads
633,067
Messages
18,635,852
Members
243,397
Latest member
Gaz00
Back
Top