The conversation on this thread has made it clear that the prosecution did not do a good job clarifying how many mushrooms would be needed to poison the guests, how much would be deadly, how quickly it would be deadly, etc
I found testimony from a toxicologist who stated
Victoria's chief toxicologist Dimitri Gerostamoulos returned to the witness box on Friday for his second day of testimony, being questioned by the defence's Colin Mandy SC.
The defence questioned Dr Gerostamoulos about all the factors that led to illness from death cap mushrooms, reiterating to the court that medical knowledge was based on animal studies.
"There are lots of variables that needed to be considered for that lethal dose," Dr Gerostamoulos said, including the age and health of the subject.
He said a lethal dose was considered to be 0.1 mg per kg of body weight.
Defence lawyers for accused killer Erin Patterson have suggested a person could survive death cap mushroom poisoning, even after eating the same meal as someone who fell seriously ill.
www.abc.net.au
That particular dosage was also cited here:
So essentially a person could become seriously ill or die after eating a single death cap. Unfortunately it gets complicated here because we don’t know how many dried death caps were added to the duxelles plus we have to consider any juices that leaked into the meat and the phyllo leaves, maybe into the puff pastry as well.
At 0.10mg/111kg Erin should have been pretty ill even after purging some time later (she only said that evening) somewhere between approximately 3 and 5 hours maybe.
And the kids should have shown some symptoms, maybe mild ones like a tummy ache. Of course this is all supposition as none of us are toxicologists or mycologists. And Dr. G pointed out the variables that could affect a person.
Also, I think another dosage was cited by… Dr. May? That testimony was posted here but it’s not easily found. Maybe someone has the link?
I wonder if the prosecution will bring up more about this? I’d be surprised but who knows?
We still have the mystery of the missing plates and where did the leftovers meal come from if the accused only made 6 beef Wellingtons and threw one whole one away. Maybe these things aren’t all that important so the prosecution may be heading to a totally different narrative.
Edit: I changed the time range where Erin threw up the cake because I forgot that while the guests left around 3:30 the lunch was eaten earlier, maybe around 12 to 2.