There’s been a lot of debate around Erin Patterson’s claims during her testimony, especially regarding how many beef Wellingtons were made, eaten, discarded, and served as leftovers.
Let’s break it down logically with the numbers she’s given, and check if the maths holds up.
- Erin made 6 beef Wellingtons.
- She served 5 at the fatal lunch (for 4 guests and herself).
- The 6th Wellington was intended for her ex-husband Simon but he didn’t attend. She says this one was put in the fridge and later thrown out.
- Erin says she only ate half of her Wellington.
- She claims she served leftovers to her children the following day (amount unspecified).
- The guests reportedly all ate their meals completely, except for Gail who only ate half—her husband Don ate the rest.
- Police recovered 1.5 beef Wellingtons worth of leftovers, including pastry and mushroom fragments.
Person | Amount Eaten (Wellingtons) |
---|
Gail | 0.5 |
Don | 1.5 (his + Gail’s other half) |
Heather | 1.0 |
Ian | 1.0 |
Erin (self) | 0.5 |
Total consumed at lunch:
0.5(E) + 1.5(D) + 1.0(I) + 1.0(H) + 0.5(G) = 4.5 Wellingtons
Based on Erin’s statements:
- 1 whole Wellington (Simon’s) was discarded
- Erin ate half of hers, so 0.5 remained
- She claims to have served leftovers to her children the next day (no quantity specified)
Total Made (6) = Total Consumed (4.5) + Discarded (1) + Leftovers to Children (C)
6 = 4.5 + 1 + C
→ C = 0.5
So her story only checks out if she served
exactly half a Wellington (her own half eaten leftovers) to her children the next day. There is no explanation as to why she retained that, and disposed of a full, untouched BW.
Leftover and Discarded Breakdown (according to Erin):
- 1.0 Wellington discarded (Simon's)
- 0.5 of Erin’s was left uneaten
- 0.5 served to her children the next day
Total unserved leftovers she accounts for: 1.0 Wellington
But police recovered 1.5 Wellingtons worth of leftovers.
That’s an extra 0.5 Wellington that doesn’t fit into Erin’s timeline.
This leftover discrepancy raises questions:
- If all guests ate their meals entirely (as claimed), where did the additional 0.5 Wellington come from?
- Did she eat less than she claimed?
Did she serve something else to her children?
All of these possibilities carry weight, especially considering the recovered food contained death cap mushroom residue—and was allegedly served to her children.
For her version to work, the numbers must match exactly:
- 4.5 eaten at lunch
- 1.0 discarded (Full, untouched BW)
- 0.5 served to children (Her own, half eaten portion)
That adds up to 6.
But with 1.5 Wellingtons worth of leftovers recovered, there’s half a Wellington too many—and that means something doesn’t line up.