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RSBMIt's not beyond ALL doubt.
JMO
100%. That right there. And it’s completely lost to some.
MOO
RSBMIt's not beyond ALL doubt.
JMO
RSBMBFF,That is only corroborating evidence if they can prove it was HIS white Elantra. There is no proof of this as far as I know. There's no video that shows the driver or gives any evidence that it is his car.
As far as I know, we also don't know that he drove by the crime scene later that morning. I'm not sure where that came from.
Again, you're mixing up facts with theory here. Yes, he submitted an alibi about stargazing. We don't know if his phone was off or out of a service area (last I heard) and again, we don't know that is his vehicle. That is a white Elantra. He drives a white Elantra. But there is no evidence that is his white Elantra. The prosecution will have to prove that in court.
MOO
Agreed, I believe I read where there is video evidence of the (one) white Elantra driving through the neighborhood the minutes prior to the time of the murders, and then quickly leaving. No other white Elantra's were captured by video driving through the area at that time.RSBMBFF,
“That is only corroborating evidence if they can prove it was HIS white Elantra. There is no proof of this as far as I know. There's no video that shows the driver or gives any evidence that it is his car.”
Respectfully, IIUC and IMO that might not need to be the case. At least not on this case of suspect BK in Idaho. IANAL nor associated with this case. Yet it seems such a premise above is where the matter of ‘beyond a reasonable doubt’ and ‘all’ doubt might enter.
From the evidence pointing to the accused BK released thus far publicly or in court filings, authorities might only need to show that it was A white Elantra.
And fortunately, perhaps it will be more apparent once this trial starts. And when evidence is presented before a jury. Until that time it is difficult to know what other evidence exists and will enter, and there is a gag order in place.
I cannot count how many times either in these threads or on a true solved-crime episode on TV there is grainy video of a vehicle seen at a distance in a poor resolution CCTV or surveillance camera. And those images, once either studied by knowledgeable experts, refined, or compared with other factors and evidence in the case - lead to a conviction. MOO
Much ado about nothing?Much ado about nothing, it seems. The presence of touch DNA on an item only indicates that the person had contact with the object at some point. It does not necessarily mean that the person was involved in the crime. Without the knife itself, there is no direct evidence linking the sheath to the actual murder weapon. The knife could have been discarded, stolen, or replaced, making it impossible to conclusively determine that the sheath belonged to the murder weapon. The timing and location of when the DNA was deposited on the sheath are crucial factors. The DNA could have been placed on the sheath days, weeks, or even months before the crime occurred, making it difficult to establish a direct connection between the DNA and the crime. To establish a clear link between the sheath and the crime, the chain of custody must be meticulously documented. Any gaps or inconsistencies in the chain of custody could raise doubts about the reliability of the evidence.
BBM
That may be true. But it sounds an awful lot like saying it's up to AT to prove BK is innocent. I don't think it's supposed to work that way.
MOO
Exactly.RSBMBFF,
“That is only corroborating evidence if they can prove it was HIS white Elantra. There is no proof of this as far as I know. There's no video that shows the driver or gives any evidence that it is his car.”
Respectfully, IIUC and IMO that might not need to be the case. At least not in this case of suspect BK in Idaho. IANAL nor associated with this case. Yet it seems such a premise above is where the matter of ‘beyond a reasonable doubt’ and ‘all’ doubt might enter.
From the evidence pointing to the accused BK released thus far publicly or in court filings, authorities might only need to show that it was A white Elantra.
And fortunately, perhaps it will be more apparent once this trial starts. And when evidence is presented before a jury. Until that time it is difficult to know what other evidence exists and will enter, and there is a gag order in place.
I cannot count how many times either in these threads or on a true solved-crime episode on TV there is grainy video of a vehicle seen at a distance in a poor resolution CCTV or surveillance camera. And those images, once either studied by knowledgeable experts, refined, or compared with other factors and evidence in the case - help lead to a conviction. MOO
Hmmm, tell that to Jose Baez!Of course the defendant does not have to prove anything. But if his defence goes from passive to active - asking the Jury to believe in an exculpatory theory, of course the Jury will likely need the defendant to point to evidential foundation and not mere speculation
This is the difference between the overall burden of proof (always on the state), and evidential burdens which are different.
I guess at the simplest level, if you ask a juror to believe a story, as a practical matter, you will tend to need to point to some facts the jurors accept as established, and not just a tale you tell.
IMO
I believe the state will connect Suspect Vehicle 1 with BK's Elantra and phone via logical inference. More precise CSL data for the post-crime 4.48am ping isn't available to the public at present, but I can envisage the state making a very strong circumstantial case for connecting the Elantra seen speeding away from 1122 King Road with the 4.48am phone ping ( BK's car is attached and subsequent pings have the phone moving at driving speed back towards Pullman where it is then shown on camera multiple times from around 5.25am).Agreed, I believe I read where there is video evidence of the (one) white Elantra driving through the neighborhood the minutes prior to the time of the murders, and then quickly leaving. No other white Elantra's were captured by video driving through the area at that time.
You know, the knife to massacre four college students. They don't have his DNA on the knife, but they have it on the next best thing. An item the killer had to touch, on a part of that item the killer absolutely had to touch. Doesn't get much better than that, especially considering you rarely have the murder weapon in a first degree murder case like this.BBM. What murder weapon?
So what? BK is not an ordinary man, and he has a diagnosis to confirm that. However, this speaks more in his defense than against him. I find it hard to picture someone with OCD not putting the sheath back on a $300 knife and walking out of the house without a thorough clean-up. In fact, his specific traits make him an unlikely candidate to actually use a knife for murder, even if he wanted to commit one. He is too clumsy for such an exercise. JMO.
Bravo!Not to mention the item left behind is one that 1) can reasonably be connected to the exact type of wounds seen on the victims and 2) is in a location directly connected to the crime.
1) It wasn't a stuffed animal, a pen, or a bracelet with a Goodwill sticker on it. The murders were committed with a knife--the item left behind with DNA from a person who had no business being there is an item that is inherently connected with knives. They weren't killed by a gunshot and then a knife sheath was found in the bed with two of the victims.
The mental gymnastics required to think that a knife sheath that is underneath victims who died by being attacked with a knife is NOT connected to the crime is stunning.
2) The knife sheath wasn't found in the laundry room, a closet, or in a drawer. It is in the same room as 2 people who were killed by a weapon that by its very nature has a natural association with a knife sheath. Additionally, it is found in bed with, between, and slightly under 2 women who were killed with a knife. A bed is not where people keep knife sheaths. People do not sleep on top of knife sheaths. People don't leave their own empty knife sheath in bed with them, have their friend sleep in bed with them as well, and neither of them notice it.
And if somehow that sheath belonged to MM or KG, like they bought it for personal protection at a local military surplus store where BK had just happened to snap it open and then decided not to buy it---why isn't either of the girls DNA mentioned as being found in the snap? MM or KG (whoever supposedly bought it in some theory) never snapped open the sheath in the store or once they got it home? How terribly unlucky for poor BK who just was a victim of circumstance and terrible luck.
And then we keep having the case of how Lukis Anderson was falsely accused of murdering Raveesh Kumra because a tiny amount of his DNA was found on Raveesh's fingernail. Transfer was found to be the cause...by the same EMT who had taken Anderson to the hospital being a responding EMT who just three hours later took Kumra's vitals in attempt to see if he was still alive.
You can bet your bottom dollar the defense team has searched high and low to find some close proximity connection that they could use to explain transfer or lab contamination. Don't you think that if AT had found something, like one of the responding detectives or forensic team members having any knowable contact with BK in the days prior to the crime, we'd be hearing all about that instead of this fight about the IGG and Franks motions??? In Anderson's case when the defense team and the police and the prosecutor figured this out, charges were dropped before he had to go to trial.
Of course it is, which is why they wanted open hearings.it’s why i wonder if most of this stuff is intended for the gallery and not the Judge.
Well done!Below is a detailed, speculative reconstruction of what may have happened on the morning of November 13, 2022, when BK is alleged to have killed four (4) University of Idaho students—Kaylee Goncalves, Madison Mogen, Xana Kernodle, and Ethan Chapin—at 1122 King Road, Moscow, ID. This is based on information from the probable cause affidavit dated December 29, 2022, publicly available details, and reasonable inferences. Since many specifics remain undisclosed due to a gag order and ongoing legal proceedings, this account includes speculative elements to fill in gaps, while staying grounded in the known facts.
Keep in mind: All times are approximate and based on the affidavit and related reports.
The Night Leading Up to the Murders (November 12–13, 2022)
The four victims spent the evening of November 12 enjoying typical college activities. Kaylee Goncalves and Madison Mogen, lifelong best friends, went out to the Corner Club bar in Moscow, later stopping at a food truck around 1:40 a.m. before returning home to 1122 King Road by 1:56 a.m.
Meanwhile, Xana Kernodle and her boyfriend Ethan Chapin attended a party at the Sigma Chi fraternity house. They returned to the King Road residence around 1:45 a.m. The house, a three-story rental near campus, was home to five female students, though only four were present that night, along with Ethan as a guest. Two other roommates, DM and BF, were also home and had returned earlier after their own outings.
By around 2:00 a.m., the house likely settled into a quiet state, with the victims retiring to their rooms. Kaylee and Madison shared a third-floor bedroom, while Xana and Ethan were in Xana’s second-floor room. The surviving roommates were on the first floor, separated from the upper levels.
BK’s Movements (Speculative Build-Up)
BK, a 28-year-old criminology Ph.D. student at WSU in nearby Pullman, WA, lived about 10 miles from Moscow. The affidavit indicates he had been in the vicinity of 1122 King Road at least 12 times prior to November 13, often late at night or early in the morning, suggesting he may have been observing the house or its occupants for weeks or months.
On this night, his phone pinged a cell tower near his Pullman apartment at 2:42 a.m., indicating he was still at home. Five minutes later, at 2:47 a.m., his phone pinged again as it began moving south through Pullman, before going silent until 4:48 a.m. This gap suggests he may have turned off his phone or put it in airplane mode to avoid tracking—a detail the affidavit describes as consistent with concealing his location during the murders.
Speculatively, BK may have left his apartment shortly after 2:47 a.m., driving his white 2015 Hyundai Elantra toward Moscow. Surveillance footage later captured a white Elantra—matching his vehicle’s description—passing near 1122 King Road three times between 3:29 a.m. and 4:04 a.m. He could have been circling the area, possibly assessing the house, ensuring it was quiet, or steeling himself for what was to come. The affidavit doesn’t specify his exact entry point, but the back sliding door on the second floor, accessible from a wooded hillside, is a plausible option given its relative seclusion.
The Attack (Approximately 4:00–4:20 a.m.)
Around 4:00 a.m., BK likely entered the house, possibly wearing dark clothing and a mask, as described by surviving roommate DM. The affidavit suggests he carried a fixed-blade knife, potentially a Ka-Bar (kill-a-bear)-style weapon with a Marine Corps insignia, based on the sheath left behind. His entry may have been silent, taking advantage of the late hour when the occupants were likely asleep.
Second Floor: Xana Kernodle and Ethan Chapin
BK may have first encountered Xana and Ethan in Xana’s second-floor bedroom. Autopsies later revealed all victims were stabbed multiple times, with some showing defensive wounds, indicating a struggle. Speculatively, Ethan, a 20-year-old guest staying over, might have woken to a sound or movement, prompting BK to attack him first. Xana, alerted by the commotion, could have tried to defend herself or Ethan, leading to a brief but violent confrontation. The affidavit notes a knife sheath was found on the third floor, not the second, suggesting BK carried it with him as he moved through the house. The attack here was likely quick, with multiple stab wounds silencing both victims within minutes.
Third Floor: Kaylee Goncalves and Madison Mogen
BK then ascended to the third floor, entering the bedroom shared by Kaylee and Madison. The two 21-year-olds were likely asleep in the same bed, a detail inferred from the sheath’s location next to Madison’s body. The affidavit doesn’t specify the order of attack, but Kaylee’s autopsy showed more extensive injuries, possibly indicating she woke and resisted, while Madison may have been killed more swiftly. The violence here was brutal and efficient, with BK allegedly stabbing both women repeatedly in the chest and upper body. The sheath, bearing his DNA on the button snap, was left behind—perhaps dislodged during the struggle or dropped in haste.
Around this time, surviving roommate DM awoke around 4:00 a.m., initially hearing what she thought was Kaylee playing with her dog upstairs. Moments later, she heard crying from Xana’s room and a male voice saying, “It’s okay, I’m going to help you.” This could have been BK, possibly attempting to quiet Xana before or during the attack, though it’s unclear if DM heard this in real-time or as a delayed perception. The affidavit estimates the murders occurred between 4:00 and 4:25 a.m., aligning with this sequence.
The Aftermath and Escape (Approximately 4:17–4:20 a.m.)
At 4:17 a.m., DM opened her bedroom door after hearing more sounds—possibly whimpers or footsteps—and saw a figure clad in black, wearing a mask, walking toward the back sliding door. She described him as 5’10” or taller, male, athletically built but not muscular, with bushy eyebrows. Frozen in shock, she watched as he passed her and exited. This encounter suggests BK completed the killings and was leaving the scene, unaware or unconcerned that he’d been seen.
Surveillance footage captured the white Elantra making a fourth pass near the house at 4:04 a.m., then speeding away at 4:20 a.m. Speculatively, BK may have exited the house, returned to his car parked nearby—perhaps in a secluded spot off the road—and fled toward Pullman. His phone remained off until 4:48 a.m., when it pinged again south of Moscow, consistent with him driving back to Washington. By 5:30 a.m., campus security footage at WSU showed a similar white sedan returning to Pullman, suggesting he was back at his apartment within an hour of the murders.
Immediate Aftermath (Morning of November 13)
Around 9:00 a.m., BK’s phone pinged near 1122 King Road again, possibly indicating he returned to the area—perhaps to check if the crimes had been discovered or out of curiosity. The bodies remained undiscovered until 11:58 a.m., when one of the surviving roommates, called 911 after finding the scene. Police arrived to find a horrific crime scene: four students dead, blood throughout the upper floors, and a tan leather knife sheath as the key piece of physical evidence.
Speculative Context and Motivation
Kohberger’s motives remain unknown, as the affidavit and subsequent reports offer no clear explanation. His background in criminology and prior interest in criminal behavior (evidenced by a Reddit post seeking participants for a crime-related study) suggest he may have been driven by a fascination with violence or a desire to execute a “perfect crime.” The repeated visits to the King Road area imply premeditation, possibly targeting the house or its occupants for reasons yet undisclosed—whether personal, random, or symbolic. The lack of forced entry and the late-night timing suggest he exploited the vulnerability of a sleeping household.
This reconstruction speculates on the sequence and actions based on the affidavit’s timeline, surveillance data, and DM’s account. However, critical details—like the exact order of the killings, BK’s emotional state, or whether he knew the victims—remain unconfirmed. The trial, scheduled for August 11, 2025, may shed further light, but for now, this narrative blends fact with plausible conjecture to depict that tragic morning.
Case Summary (Updated 02/20/25)
Idaho Judicial Cases of Interest
- 12/29/2022 Affidavit
So what? BK is not an ordinary man, and he has a diagnosis to confirm that. However, this speaks more in his defense than against him. I find it hard to picture someone with OCD not putting the sheath back on a $300 knife and walking out of the house without a thorough clean-up. In fact, his specific traits make him an unlikely candidate to actually use a knife for murder, even if he wanted to commit one. He is too clumsy for such an exercise. JMO.
So what? BK is not an ordinary man, and he has a diagnosis to confirm that. However, this speaks more in his defense than against him. I find it hard to picture someone with OCD not putting the sheath back on a $300 knife and walking out of the house without a thorough clean-up. In fact, his specific traits make him an unlikely candidate to actually use a knife for murder, even if he wanted to commit one. He is too clumsy for such an exercise. JMO.
Great summary with one correction: the two surviving roommates were not both sleeping on the first floor.Below is a detailed, speculative reconstruction of what may have happened on the morning of November 13, 2022, when BK is alleged to have killed four (4) University of Idaho students—Kaylee Goncalves, Madison Mogen, Xana Kernodle, and Ethan Chapin—at 1122 King Road, Moscow, ID. This is based on information from the probable cause affidavit dated December 29, 2022, publicly available details, and reasonable inferences. Since many specifics remain undisclosed due to a gag order and ongoing legal proceedings, this account includes speculative elements to fill in gaps, while staying grounded in the known facts.
Keep in mind: All times are approximate and based on the affidavit and related reports.
The Night Leading Up to the Murders (November 12–13, 2022)
The four victims spent the evening of November 12 enjoying typical college activities. Kaylee Goncalves and Madison Mogen, lifelong best friends, went out to the Corner Club bar in Moscow, later stopping at a food truck around 1:40 a.m. before returning home to 1122 King Road by 1:56 a.m.
Meanwhile, Xana Kernodle and her boyfriend Ethan Chapin attended a party at the Sigma Chi fraternity house. They returned to the King Road residence around 1:45 a.m. The house, a three-story rental near campus, was home to five female students, though only four were present that night, along with Ethan as a guest. Two other roommates, DM and BF, were also home and had returned earlier after their own outings.
By around 2:00 a.m., the house likely settled into a quiet state, with the victims retiring to their rooms. Kaylee and Madison shared a third-floor bedroom, while Xana and Ethan were in Xana’s second-floor room. The surviving roommates were on the first floor, separated from the upper levels.
BK’s Movements (Speculative Build-Up)
BK, a 28-year-old criminology Ph.D. student at WSU in nearby Pullman, WA, lived about 10 miles from Moscow. The affidavit indicates he had been in the vicinity of 1122 King Road at least 12 times prior to November 13, often late at night or early in the morning, suggesting he may have been observing the house or its occupants for weeks or months.
On this night, his phone pinged a cell tower near his Pullman apartment at 2:42 a.m., indicating he was still at home. Five minutes later, at 2:47 a.m., his phone pinged again as it began moving south through Pullman, before going silent until 4:48 a.m. This gap suggests he may have turned off his phone or put it in airplane mode to avoid tracking—a detail the affidavit describes as consistent with concealing his location during the murders.
Speculatively, BK may have left his apartment shortly after 2:47 a.m., driving his white 2015 Hyundai Elantra toward Moscow. Surveillance footage later captured a white Elantra—matching his vehicle’s description—passing near 1122 King Road three times between 3:29 a.m. and 4:04 a.m. He could have been circling the area, possibly assessing the house, ensuring it was quiet, or steeling himself for what was to come. The affidavit doesn’t specify his exact entry point, but the back sliding door on the second floor, accessible from a wooded hillside, is a plausible option given its relative seclusion.
The Attack (Approximately 4:00–4:20 a.m.)
Around 4:00 a.m., BK likely entered the house, possibly wearing dark clothing and a mask, as described by surviving roommate DM. The affidavit suggests he carried a fixed-blade knife, potentially a Ka-Bar (kill-a-bear)-style weapon with a Marine Corps insignia, based on the sheath left behind. His entry may have been silent, taking advantage of the late hour when the occupants were likely asleep.
Second Floor: Xana Kernodle and Ethan Chapin
BK may have first encountered Xana and Ethan in Xana’s second-floor bedroom. Autopsies later revealed all victims were stabbed multiple times, with some showing defensive wounds, indicating a struggle. Speculatively, Ethan, a 20-year-old guest staying over, might have woken to a sound or movement, prompting BK to attack him first. Xana, alerted by the commotion, could have tried to defend herself or Ethan, leading to a brief but violent confrontation. The affidavit notes a knife sheath was found on the third floor, not the second, suggesting BK carried it with him as he moved through the house. The attack here was likely quick, with multiple stab wounds silencing both victims within minutes.
Third Floor: Kaylee Goncalves and Madison Mogen
BK then ascended to the third floor, entering the bedroom shared by Kaylee and Madison. The two 21-year-olds were likely asleep in the same bed, a detail inferred from the sheath’s location next to Madison’s body. The affidavit doesn’t specify the order of attack, but Kaylee’s autopsy showed more extensive injuries, possibly indicating she woke and resisted, while Madison may have been killed more swiftly. The violence here was brutal and efficient, with BK allegedly stabbing both women repeatedly in the chest and upper body. The sheath, bearing his DNA on the button snap, was left behind—perhaps dislodged during the struggle or dropped in haste.
Around this time, surviving roommate DM awoke around 4:00 a.m., initially hearing what she thought was Kaylee playing with her dog upstairs. Moments later, she heard crying from Xana’s room and a male voice saying, “It’s okay, I’m going to help you.” This could have been BK, possibly attempting to quiet Xana before or during the attack, though it’s unclear if DM heard this in real-time or as a delayed perception. The affidavit estimates the murders occurred between 4:00 and 4:25 a.m., aligning with this sequence.
The Aftermath and Escape (Approximately 4:17–4:20 a.m.)
At 4:17 a.m., DM opened her bedroom door after hearing more sounds—possibly whimpers or footsteps—and saw a figure clad in black, wearing a mask, walking toward the back sliding door. She described him as 5’10” or taller, male, athletically built but not muscular, with bushy eyebrows. Frozen in shock, she watched as he passed her and exited. This encounter suggests BK completed the killings and was leaving the scene, unaware or unconcerned that he’d been seen.
Surveillance footage captured the white Elantra making a fourth pass near the house at 4:04 a.m., then speeding away at 4:20 a.m. Speculatively, BK may have exited the house, returned to his car parked nearby—perhaps in a secluded spot off the road—and fled toward Pullman. His phone remained off until 4:48 a.m., when it pinged again south of Moscow, consistent with him driving back to Washington. By 5:30 a.m., campus security footage at WSU showed a similar white sedan returning to Pullman, suggesting he was back at his apartment within an hour of the murders.
Immediate Aftermath (Morning of November 13)
Around 9:00 a.m., BK’s phone pinged near 1122 King Road again, possibly indicating he returned to the area—perhaps to check if the crimes had been discovered or out of curiosity. The bodies remained undiscovered until 11:58 a.m., when one of the surviving roommates, called 911 after finding the scene. Police arrived to find a horrific crime scene: four students dead, blood throughout the upper floors, and a tan leather knife sheath as the key piece of physical evidence.
Speculative Context and Motivation
Kohberger’s motives remain unknown, as the affidavit and subsequent reports offer no clear explanation. His background in criminology and prior interest in criminal behavior (evidenced by a Reddit post seeking participants for a crime-related study) suggest he may have been driven by a fascination with violence or a desire to execute a “perfect crime.” The repeated visits to the King Road area imply premeditation, possibly targeting the house or its occupants for reasons yet undisclosed—whether personal, random, or symbolic. The lack of forced entry and the late-night timing suggest he exploited the vulnerability of a sleeping household.
This reconstruction speculates on the sequence and actions based on the affidavit’s timeline, surveillance data, and DM’s account. However, critical details—like the exact order of the killings, BK’s emotional state, or whether he knew the victims—remain unconfirmed. The trial, scheduled for August 11, 2025, may shed further light, but for now, this narrative blends fact with plausible conjecture to depict that tragic morning.
Case Summary (Updated 02/20/25)
Idaho Judicial Cases of Interest
- 12/29/2022 Affidavit
BBM
That may be true. But it sounds an awful lot like saying it's up to AT to prove BK is innocent. I don't think it's supposed to work that way.
MOO