That’s the beauty of a circumstantial case. Richard Allen was convicted on a whole raft of evidence, not merely his confessions –
- He unexpectedly cancelled plans to have lunch out with his parents and sister. He opted not to adduce evidence as to why, when something clearly disrupted the civilized course he headed out on that morning. He made that relevant. No one wanted or needed to know what he was doing four hours before the crime, but that’s where it started for him. Something went wrong that morning when he left his parents and went and purchased beers.
- He went home, got a coat on and headed to the bridge that the girls were abducted from. He does not deny that his car with distinctive wheel rims is captured on CCTV at 1.27pm, which tallies with his Feb 16th account of arriving at 1.30pm. Had that been him leaving, driving westbound, that would mean he had been parked somewhere east of the CCTV camera, yet he introduced no evidence of an alternative old building with parking space. Therefore, the CCTV corroborates his original account, which means he drove a very long and unusual quiet country route to get to the trails, which tallies with someone wanting to avoid being spotted driving through town.
- He parked his car in an obscure location next to a disused building, which fits with not wanting his car to be noticed by others who came to park their cars and walk.
- He entered the trails not via the trail head, but via lesser-used tracks leading from the disused building.
- He changed his times of arrival and departure by two hours, five years later, with no explanation for why he now had a better memory of his timings, which is distancing from the time of the crime. He would not have known if police would find evidence of him being on the trails from other witnesses’ photos or recordings, or trail cams, so he avoided being caught in a lie when he first came forward.
- With his original timings, his path would have crossed with Abby’s and Libby’s. He would have seen them given the time that he was there but he denied seeing them, which is distancing behavior.
- He did not see bridge guy on the bridge, which he would have done, with his original timings.
- His phone at the time was the only phone missing from his collection of old phones.
- There was no outright denial from him that the bridge guy photo was him.
- His range of attire included the same clothing worn by bridge guy.
- His build and frame were comparable to bridge guy’s.
- After the murders he didn’t come forward for three days to say he had been on the bridge that afternoon. But we know he was keeping an eye on the news, because he contacted police on the fourth day, the day after they released the bridge guy photo. He also admitted he had thought about it a lot since 2017; leakage.
- He opted not to have police come to his house in Feb 2017, which could be seen as not wanting to alert his neighbors at a time when police were asking if people recognised bridge guy.
- He changed his height and weight on his fishing licence 2 months after the murders.
- His wife did not testify that she didn’t recognize it to be his photograph, his build, his stance, or his voice.
- His wife offered no alternative narrative of what he’d told her about his day. Even during his period of torment, she didn’t reassure him and remind him of his first ever alibi to her. She revealed doubts about him in the interview room in October 2022.
- He knew about a van appearing and being visible from the scene of his intended rape that the police weren’t even aware of. According to the FBI (apparently) they thought the van wasn’t there at that time. The timing according to the van driver who had no knowledge of Libby’s phone movements fits with RA being spooked and then Libby’s phone moving. That timing in his confession couldn’t have been in the discovery or on internet forums because police only investigated it after his confession, and RA indeed adduced no evidence of that either.
- He had box cutters, a blade that matched the depth of the wounds, and the same ammo as that found at the crime scene.
- He wasn’t seen leaving the bridge on the trails by anyone. Ergo he hid in the trees, as he said he did.
- His detailed confession included what he planned, felt and saw, reasoning, logical sequence, as well as humility and self-awareness, as opposed to being I did this, this and this. The false confessions expert put on by the defense identified those as the distinguishing features of a real memory.
The quoted info in your post originates with an organisation (Innocence Project) who will know exactly how many cases involving false confessions have been overturned with DNA evidence. Yet they don’t divulge the number of cases, while making reference to a percentage of them. It could be 25% of 12 cases, or 100 cases. The numbers matter, so why hide the exact figure and give a meaningless percentage?
Then there is willy-nilly language of “many” of an already meaningless percentage of cases where false confessions involved crime-details not made public. Again, they will have the hard numbers, so why hide how “many”? They chose not to state the number, so one should question if the number of cases would not really be that impactfull.
Drilling down deeper, are their figures (that they chose not to make public) based on really old convictions dating back say fifty years, or more recent? Do they reflect times when police were able to get away with more dubious practices and recording of interviews was not commonplace? Did the police divulge the information to the confessor? Was the confessor a career criminal already serving time for the same type of offense? How nuanced was the information gathered? - “I think I shot him”, or more comparable to “I was disturbed by a van and so I immediately moved my victims”? - corroborated by phone movement and later by police investigating the time the van arrived
It looks very much like hyperbole to me.
I don’t doubt that they have done some invaluable work, but this new industry of promoting false-narratives that every other high-profile case is a far-reaching conspiracy against the defendant, is not only nonsensical when one stands back and sees it for the trend it has become, spilling over from social media onto the streets outside courts so that juries have to be shielded from it, it’s ignorant of the harm it brings to the victims’ families, and is hugely damaging to society, devaluing law enforcement and disrespecting the jury system.
This jury spent time away from their own families and considered and rejected the defendant’s case over many days that his 60+ confessions were false and a product of mental illness and maltreatment, from top to bottom and sideways, with hours of video evidence, and there is no indication that they did not understand the meaning of a reasonable doubt.
JMO